All seems to be quiet in Crimea ahead of tomorrow's referendum. The western press is stressing warnings of a Russian invasion while talking of the Ukrainian "president" as if he were a legitimate, elected leader.
The Russians, on the other hand are reporting on troubles in East Ukraine and efforts to have the governor released from captivity.
We will just have to wait until tomorrow and beyond.
Ukraine's
president fears Russia could invade after Crimea referendum
14
March, 2014
Link
to video: Tatars in Crimea: caught between the west and a hard
place
Ukraine's
president has said that there was a "real danger" Moscow
would seize further territory after the referendum in Crimea, and he
accused "Kremlin agents" of orchestrating turmoil in the
Russian-speaking east of his country.
Acting
leader Oleksander Turchinov said there was every possibility that
Russia would advance deeper into Ukraine following Sunday's poll,
which has been condemned by the west as illegal. He told parliament:
"The situation is very dangerous. I'm not exaggerating. There is
a real danger from threats of invasion of Ukrainian territory. We
will reconvene on Monday at 10am."
A
group of Russian commandos advanced beyond Kremlin-occupied Crimea on
Saturday and landed by helicopter in an area of southern Ukraine
under Kiev's control, Ukraine's defence ministry said. Some 60
Russian troops arrived at 1.30pm in the village of Strilkove, in
Kherson province, 5km beyond the autonomous Crimean border. They came
in four helicopters. Another 60 flew in in six helicopters at 3.30pm.
Early
reports suggested that Ukrainian forces evicted them, but the Russian
contingent still appeared to be there on Saturday night. A spokesman
for Ukraine's border guard service, Oleg Slobodyan, said the Russian
soldiers had taken up positions next to a gas production facility,
backed by three armoured personnel carriers. Ukrainian troops had
reportedly retreated to a nearby crossroads.
Ukraine's
foreign ministry dubbed the incursion a "military invasion by
Russia". It demanded that Moscow withdraw its forces and said
Ukraine "reserves the right to use all necessary measures"
to stop the invasion. The area, Arbatskaya Strelka, is a long section
of land running parallel to Crimea. Since independence it has been in
Kherson province, but the land was originally part of Soviet Crimea
and Vladimir Putin may be attempting to restore this Communist-era
border.
Most
of the infrastructure that supplies Crimea with water and electricity
is in the Kherson region. Reports suggest that Crimea's secessionist
authorities have claimed the gas production company that owns the
facility, which would explain the arrival of Russian troops.
Ukraine's
acting foreign minister, Andriy Deshchyta, told the Observer on
Saturday that it is essential that the new government in Kiev,
supported by the EU and the US, resists what he called Russian
"provocations". He said he was prepared to discuss greater
autonomy for Crimea – but only with the proper "legal
authorities" there, and not while there were "guns on the
streets". He described the referendum as "totally illegal".
In Kiev the Rada, Ukraine's parliament, voted to dissolve the
regional assembly in Crimea that organised Sunday's poll and has
already endorsed union with Russia.
At
the UN security council in New York, Russia vetoed a US-backed motion
declaring the Crimea referendum invalid. The Russian envoy, Vitaly
Churkin, claimed that Crimea was given illegally to Ukraine in Soviet
times – a view apparently held by Putin. Russia's vote was the only
no, with China abstaining, while 13 nations voted yes. The US
ambassador to the UN, Samantha Power, said the result underscored
Moscow's profound isolation over Crimea. Russia could not, she said,
"deny the truth that there is overwhelming international
opposition to its actions".
The
mood in the east, meanwhile, remains febrile following three deaths
in two days in the cities of Donetsk and Kharkiv. On Thursday
evening, Russia's foreign ministry posted an ominous statement saying
that Moscow reserved the right to "protect" ethnic Russians
in Ukraine. A day later, following talks with US secretary of state
John Kerry in London, Russia's foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, said
no invasion was "planned".
There
was more violence on Saturday when pro-Russian protesters stormed
Donetsk's security service. Both cities have seen large pro-Russian
demonstrations stirred up – Kiev says – by Moscow and its
operatives on the ground.
Addressing
parliament, and speaking to the political faction of fugitive
president Viktor Yanukovych, who fled to Russia, Turchinov declared:
"You know as well as we do who is organising mass protests in
eastern Ukraine. It is Kremlin agents who are organising and funding
them, who are causing people to be murdered."
On
Saturday, a local journalist in Kharkiv, Zurab Alazania, told the
Observer that "Russian tourists" from across the border
were travelling throughout the region – with a hardcore of about
1,000 pro-Russian activists inflaming tensions. "The mood is
dangerous. It's difficult to live here. There are a lot of thugs in
the city." He warned: "There can be further bloodshed, not
only in Kharkiv."
Two
men, aged 21 and 30, were killed by buckshot late on Friday when
pro-Russian demonstrators besieged an office of the far-right
Ukrainian nationalist group Right Sector, which rose to prominence
fighting riot police in Kiev over the winter. Police said 32 Right
Sector activists and six pro-Russian demonstrators were detained and
a number of weapons seized.
A
spokesman for Right Sector in Kharkiv said his group had been
besieged in their office overnight by pro-Russian activists firing
shotguns and rifles and throwing petrol bombs and stun
grenades.Kharkiv governor Ihor Baluta, newly appointed by the interim
authorities in Kiev, said the "well-planned provocation by
pro-Russian activists" began when unidentified men in a minibus
provoked a confrontation with pro-Russia demonstrators and then drove
off. When pursuing demonstrators caught up with the vehicle, it was
parked outside the nationalists' building.
The
Right Sector spokesman, quoted by Interfax-Ukraine news agency, said
his group had taken no part in the initial clash and believed the
minibus was left outside its office by others.
The
prominence of groups like Right Sector in positions of influence in
Kiev, and measures such as a short-lived move last month to end the
use of Russian as an official language, have led Russia to accuse
leaders of a "coup" in Ukraine of planning to impose
"fascism" and discriminate against Russian speakers.
In
Moscow, a senior foreign ministry official with responsibility for
human rights issues, Konstantin Dolgov, said on Twitter that the
arrest in Kharkiv of people he described as "neo-fascist
militants" must be followed by wider action to "neutralise
and punish rampant extremists".
Western
powers, preparing economic sanctions against Russia over Crimea,
largely dismiss Russia's characterisation of the new authorities in
Kiev as the successors of Nazi-allied Ukrainian forces that fought
the Red Army in the second world war.
Reports of armed police
raiding hotel in Simferopol
Here’s
Reuters take on the hotel incident. It counts 30 armed men in
balaclavas and quotes Crimea’s de-facto defence minister saying it
was a false alarm:
Armed
police burst into a hotel in Simferopol, the capital of Crimea, on
Saturday night on the eve of a referendum aimed at deciding whether
the Ukrainian region leaves Ukraine and becomes part of Russia.
Witnesses
saw around 30 men in balaclavas carrying automatic weapons inside the
Hotel Moscow, a Soviet-era hotel popular with Western reporters
covering Sunday’s referendum.
The
witnesses said the men burst in brandishing weapons and made their
way to the building’s fourth floor.
Crimean
Defence Minister Valery Kuznetsov told reporters that police were
reacting to an alert which turned out to be false.
“We
received a false alarm. We came to check,” he told reporters at the
hotel.
“We
have checked everything and it turned out to be bogus. There is an
information war going on, being waged by Kiev ... So we have to check
everything and be ready for any contingency.”
By
9:40 p.m. (1940 GMT) the policemen had started to leave the hotel.
The
incident occurred at a time when Russian state media has ratcheted up
its anti-Western rhetoric, accusing the West of supporting what it
says are fascist elements within Ukraine’s provisional government.
Western
reporters working in Crimea have complained of harassment by
pro-Russian activists in recent days.
Some
witnesses at the hotel said the raid appeared to be designed to
intimidate journalists on the eve of the referendum.
Ukraine Says It Has Repelled
A Russian Army "Invasion"
Zero hedge,
15 March, 2014
With
a day left until the critical, if widely expected, results from the
Crimean referendum are revealed, it is worth recalling the main
footnote in last night's State Department travel
alert for Russia:
"all U.S. citizens located in or considering travel to the
border region, specifically the regions bordering Ukraine in Bryansk,
Kursk, Belgorod, Voronezh, and Rostov Oblasts and Krasnodar Krai,
should be aware of the potential for escalation of tensions, military
clashes (either accidental
or intentional)."
See, for the purpose of a military provocation, "accidental"
will do. It is therefore not surprising to see that moments ago all
major news wires blasted the following headline, quoting the Ukraine
ministry of defense:
- UKRAINIAN MILITARY REPELS ATTEMPT BY RUSSIAN FORCES TO ENTER REGION ADJACENT TO CRIMEA-UKRAINE'S DEFENCE MINISTRY
The
incursion allegedly took place in the Ukraine region of Kherson,
neighboring the Crimea.
Below
is a video allegedly showing the Russian military helicopters
involved in the incursion:
Here is the full google translated statement from the Ministry website:
Another provocation on the part of members of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation has failed.
Today, 15 March 2014, forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine halted the penetration of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the territory of Kherson Oblast from the "Arabatka." Response was made immediately.
Ukraine accused Russia on Saturday of invading a region bordering Crimea and vowed to use "all necessary measures" to ward off an attack that came on the eve of the peninsula's breakaway vote.
The dramatic escalation of the most serious East-West crisis since the Cold War set a tense stage for the referendum on Crimea's secession from Ukraine in favour of Kremlin rule -- a vote denounced by both the international community and Kiev.
The predominantly Russian-speaking Black Sea region of two million people was overrun by Kremlin-backed troops days after the February 22 fall in Kiev of a Moscow-backed regime and the rise of nationalist leaders who favour closer ties with the West.
President Vladimir Putin defended Moscow's decision to flex its military muscle by arguing that ethnic Russians in Ukraine needed "protection" from violent ultranationalists who had been given free reign by the new Kiev administration.
But Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov had told Secretary of State John Kerry in London on Friday that Moscow "has no, and cannot have, any plans to invade the southeast region of Ukraine."
The invasion reported by the Ukrainian foreign ministry was small in scale and concerned a region that lies just off the northeast coast of Crimea called the Arabat Spit.
The Ukrainian ministry said 80 Russian military personnel had seized a village on the spit called Strilkove with the support of four military helicopters and three armoured personnel carriers.
The Ukrainian "foreign ministry declares the military invasion by Russia and demands the Russian side immediately withdraw its military forces from the territory of Ukraine," it said in a statement, "Ukraine reserves the right to use all necessary measures to stop the military invasion by Russia."
There was no immediate response to Ukraine's announcement from Moscow but Washington's UN representative Samantha Power called any new Russian troop movement in south Ukraine an "outrageous escalation".
So
the official line is that the Ukraine repelled a Russian "military
force" in a region inside east Ukraine and out of Crimea the day
after Russia's foreign minister Lavrov said Russia has no plans to
Invade Ukraine? Call us cynical, but something tells us if Russians
wanted to "penetrate" east Ukraine, the would have done so
without "being repelled."
Additionally,
here is Reuters' take:
Ukraine's military scrambled aircraft and paratroops on Saturday to repel an attempt by Russian forces to enter a long spit of land belonging to a region adjacent to Crimea, Ukraine's defence ministry said.
"Units of Ukraine's armed forces today...repelled an attempt by servicemen of the armed forces of the Russian Federation to enter the territory of Kherson region on Arbatskaya Strelka," a ministry statement said. "This was repelled immediately."
It said the Ukrainian military used aircraft, ground forces and its aeromobile battalion in the operation. The territory in question is a long spit of land running parallel to the east of Ukraine's Crimea peninsula, now controlled by Russian forces.
But
just so Russia isn't accused of being inert, moments ago it too
re-escalate the war of words and provocations, either accidental or
intentional, and stated that:
- RUSSIA'S FOREIGN MINISTRY SAYS REQUESTS FOR DEFENCE OF PEACEFUL CITIZENS IN UKRAINE WILL BE CONSIDERED
Specifically,
the Russian Foreign Ministry says in website statement that it will
examine Ukrainians’ requests. Armed radicals are heading to eastern
Ukrainian cities of Donetsk, Lugansk. Radicals provoked 2 deaths at
pro-Russian rally in Kharkiv. The full
statement is below:
On March 14 in Kharkov Ukraininan elements including the "Right Sector" arranged provocation against peaceful demonstrators who came to express their attitude to the so-called new government. As a result, the militants opened fire, killing two people, some were injured.
Of disturbing information that from Kharkov Donetsk and Lugansk left column with armed mercenaries "right sector" , whose leaders have announced the opening of the "Eastern Front" , and on one of the garment factories in Russia urgently sew uniforms.
At the risk of making the Verkhovna Rada of legitimizing the "right sector " and other radicals by converting them into system power structures like the National Guard
paid attention Secretary of State John Kerry Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov during their meeting in London on 14 March . of While Lavrov urged John Kerry to use Washington's influence on Kiev to curb rampant ultra- nationalists.
Russia To receive many calls asking to protect civilians. These applications will be considered.
Meanwhile
in Crimea, the Russian flag is already flying above the Crimean
Supreme Council:
And
finally, just in case things weren't exciting enough, the US appears
to finally be flexing its muscles too.
- U.S. WARSHIP TRUXTUN TO CARRY OUT FURTHER EXERCISES WITH ALLIES IN BLACK SEA-COMMANDER
From
Reuters:
The USS Truxtun, a U.S. guided-missile destroyer, will carry out more exercises with allied ships in the Black Sea, its commander said on Saturday, in a further sign of the international response to Russia's actions in Ukraine.Commander Andrew Biehn was briefing reporters aboard the 300-crew destroyer as it lay docked in a Bulgarian port.
The USS Truxtun last week took part in drills with Romanian and Bulgarian ships a few hundred miles from Russian forces that entered Ukraine's Russian-majority of Crimea after mass protests toppled the country's pro-Moscow president.
If
all this has happened while it is still light in Ukraine and before
the Crimean referendum, we can't wait until darkness falls on Sunday
night.
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