What
is it about these idiots? When was there ever a time to STOP
worrying about Europe?! About a week ago Wiesenthal was announcing
the “end
of the financial crisis”!
Suddenly,
There Are Reasons To Worry About Europe Again...
Joe
Wisenthal
3
February, 2013
Thanks
to the ECB's promise that it will backstop the government bond
market, if necessary, the acute financial crisis from the past couple
of years is basically over.
But
there have always been risks.
For
one thing, the economy is horrible, and people can only accept that
before so long before society starts to tear apart.
And
then there's always been politics, and the worry that these
governments will lose the support of the public, and be seen as
corrupt.
That's
what's going on now.
In
Spain, a country that's always been one of the biggest worries, there
are calls for PM Mariano Rajoy to resign amid
a big corruption bombshell in a Spanish newspaper.
Via
Email, economist Frederik Ducrozet of Crédit Agricole explained
to Business
Insider the
overall cause for concern:
It
looks bad for Rajoy facing such a massive pressure all of a sudden,
mostly because no obvious alternative is available in terms of
leadership. This also give Catalunia and other regions a fresh
opportunity to contest central policies. And, of course, it happened
at a time when activity is still very weak and a risk to fiscal
sustainability. Italian politics are getting more unstable. EU
cohesion could be more broadly impacted. True,
there is always the OMT backstop to cap any sell-off in Bonos but
clearly we are approaching the danger zone.
It
should be interesting watching Europe again for a bit.
Spain's
stock market (the IBEX) dived on Friday amid this scandal, the end of
a short-selling ban, and bad bank numbers. There's Italian politics.
There's the ongoing bailout of Cyprus. And then there's the
ultra-strong Euro ostensibly harming German exporters, who are
watching their Japanese competitors enjoy a weakening yen. This week
there's an ECB meeting. Should be interesting.
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