Treasury
Yields Plunge To All-Time Record Lows Across The Curve
23
July, 2012
While
it seemed somewhat inevitable given the trend, the dismal reality
from Europe has sent investors scurrying for the 'safety' of the US
Treasuries overnight. The entire yield curve has fallen to all-time
record lows with 10Y trading below 1.40% and 30Y below 2.48%.
7Y - the seeming cusp of Twist - is below 90bps now and 2Y below
20bps. The shortest-dated T-Bills still trade around 4-6bps (as
opposed to the deeply negative rates in Switzerland and Germany this
morning with FX risk premia expectations, and Twist+, affecting this
differential). Not a good sign at all - and definitely not yield
curve movements on the basis of renewed QE as we see stock futures
plunging to the old new reality (as those pushing dividend yields as
the 'obvious move here may note that since Friday's highs,
you've lost
half a year's dividend as equity capital has depreciated 2%).
Perhaps the sub-1%
10Y we noted yesterday is
not such a crazy idea after all...
30Y
- record low yields...
10Y
- record lows - intraday
and
remember equities remain a considerable way from any kind of relative
reality (QE or no QE) to bonds...
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.