Unlike
the steelmakers and the shipbuilders there will be nothing to replace
the refineries as industry (and along with it, civilisation) dies
U.K.
Refinery is Latest Casualty of Europe's Slump
Like
steel-makers and shipbuilders before them, the aging oil refineries
that provided Europe's fuels are dying off as demand shifts to
suppliers elsewhere, depriving communities of jobs that will be
difficult to replace
WSJ,
9
July, 2012
The
Coryton oil refinery, perched on the mouth of the Thames River 40
miles east of London, just became the latest casualty. The refinery
was one of the largest and most modern in Europe, supplying some 10%
of the U.K.'s fuel market and was a primary source of jobs for the
local community. This summer it is shutting down, the latest
industrial victim of a prolonged European economic slump and
competition from the Middle East and Asia—regions with closer
access to burgeoning emerging markets.
The
site is set to live on in radically changed form as an oil
distribution terminal employing no more than 50 permanent staff, a
tenth of the current staff of 500. A first batch of 180 dismissal
notices was handed out at the end of June, with more to follow.
Waiting
for his notice is Scott Davey, a control-room operator who has worked
here for 20 years and is now thinking about relocating to Asia, where
his expertise is in demand, leaving his wife and two children in
England. "There are virtually no jobs for us in the U.K. and
almost none in Europe," says 41-year old Mr. Davey.
Coryton
is the eighth refinery to close in Europe and the second in the U.K.
since the start of the economic crisis in 2008, from around 100 in
the region. The downturn and the euro zone's sovereign debt problems
have sharply cut the continent's demand for fuel such as diesel and
gasoline. Most European refineries were built to maximize gasoline
production, but demand for the fuel in Europe has fallen as people
drive less and switch to more economical diesel.
The
fall in European demand has coincided with the refining boom in Asia
and the Middle East and a global shift in demand to diesel, leaving
European refiners without access to many export markets. By contrast,
there is strong demand for fuel from companies in Asia and the Middle
East that have money for upgrades and capacity expansion and can
still make a profit when crude prices are high.
More
bad news for European refiners has come from the U.S., the world's
largest oil consumer. The country's transformation into a net
exporter of refined products and declining U.S. gasoline demand have
diminished a market where European refiners once shipped much of
their surplus gasoline.
That
shift has trimmed more than one million barrels a day from European
refining capacity, equivalent to 8% of the regional total that was on
line in the first quarter this year.
European
refiners and analysts believe that at least another one million
barrels a day of refining capacity will need to shut down for the
remaining refiners to survive.
Problems
in the European economy were a key reason for the failure of
Swiss-based Petroplus Holdings AG, the Swiss company that owned the
Coryton refinery. It filed for insolvency earlier this year after
profit margins failed to improve due to lower demand for refined
products and lack of credit.
Industry
experts at the time said that of Petroplus's five refineries, Coryton
was most likely to survive. Three of those refineries have since been
sold to commodity trading houses and a private Iranian company is
bidding for a fourth one, leaving Coryton the only Petroplus plant to
close..
In
terms of countries likely to see further closures, "U.K.,
France, Italy and likely Germany are pretty much vulnerable,"
says Roy Jordan, downstream consultant at Facts Global Energy.
The
slow death of many European oil refineries has added to the
lengthening list of industrial employers that are folding in the face
of growing competition from overseas, gutting local economies. For
workers at Coryton, the chances of finding a new job in the area
slim.
"The
only real option unfortunately would be to relocate, even to another
part of the world," says Russell Jackson, 54-year-old chairman
of the Unite labor union's Coryton branch and a process controller
who has worked at the plant for 29 years.
The
U.K. government said it looked into providing state aid to the
refinery, but decided that supporting the plant with public money
would be unsustainable given the state of the European refining
sector.
"If
government did step in to help Coryton, this would be a short-term
fix, and it could potentially lead to job losses at other refineries
who would be at an unfair disadvantage," Energy Minister Charles
Hendry said in June.
Local
government authority Thurrock Council estimates the refinery's
closure will cost the local and national economies more than £100
million ($155 million) each year, including around £30 million in
wages, almost as much in contractor costs and the rest in locally
sourced materials, services and supplies.
"It
has been very quiet for the past couple of weeks as [Coryton]
contractors are gone and locals aren't spending at the moment,"
says Nuala Keren, licensee and manager of The New Pompadour, a pub
that used to be packed with contractors on weekdays.
Belson
and Sons Optometrists is one of many shops in the area that has had
direct links with the refinery. It supplied safety spectacles for
refinery workers and contractors, as well as prescription glasses for
them and their families, says manager Karen Wide. Now she says she is
worried for her job, as the business could suffer if many customers
leave the area because of the Coryton closure. "Corringham could
turn into a ghost town; crime will rise," she says.
Most
of those losing jobs at Coryton can't afford to take a sharp pay cut:
at least 85% of houses are mortgaged in the Corringham area,
according to realtor Connollys. Local residents fear that it could
cause property prices to plummet.
"The
market will most probably be flooded with property, including the
rental market," says Cheryl Bemister, letting administrator at
Connollys.
Some
Coryton workers put their homes up for sale before redundancies were
announced, as it may take months to sell them, says 53-year-old Tony
Clements, who has worked at the plant for 23 years. Mr. Clements is
relatively lucky—he doesn't have a mortgage to repay and is
planning to retire and live off the pension he has already earned.
For
local businesses, the future is uncertain at best.
Paulette
Glover, who owns a bakery, said when asked about her expectations:
"Come and see me in a year."
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