I
have been measuring the temperatures for over a month now and have
found that temperatures are WAY above the “average”.
I
fully expect NIWA to distort the situation (ie. LIE) when they report.
"Niwa is shortly due to release the official statistics for July, which its meteorologist Ben Noll last week said was on track to finish somewhere in the top five."
Jim Salinger reveals the true situation.
"Our hottest summer (2017-18), our second hottest year (2018), our hottest month (January 2018) and two marine heatwaves – one which would likely be considered freakish even amid anticipated 2050 conditions."
Climate
scientist: It's cold now, but NZ region just saw its warmest July
4
August,2019
A
climate scientist says last month was New Zealand's warmest July on
the books, going by a measure that took in more than the official
number of stations.
Niwa
is shortly due to release the official statistics for July, which its
meteorologist Ben Noll last week said was on track to finish
somewhere in the top five.
New
Zealand's warmest July ever recorded, at 1.8C above average, came in
1998 – just as that year's devastating El Nino climate system was
dissipating.
Toward
the end of last month, the official July temperature record was
tracking at about 1.5C above average.
Niwa
used the benchmark, long-running seven station series – but
Professor Jim Salinger, who helped create that programme, has looked
at the picture using 22 land stations.
By
that wider measure, July's land temperatures had finished up a record
1.79C above average, while the Tasman Sea had come in at 0.72C.
Using
the 22 stations measure, the July 1998 measurement comes in at second
at 1.74C above average.
Salinger
put much of it down to a Southern Annular Mode (SAM) - effectively a
ring of climate variability that encircled the South Pole and
extended out to the latitudes of New Zealand - in the positive phase.
In
its positive phase, the SAM was associated with relatively light
winds and more settled weather over New Zealand latitudes, together
with enhanced westerly winds over the southern oceans.
Salinger
also singled out warmer sea surfaces, the absence of any strong El
Nino or La Nina influence, and a background of global warming.
Worldwide,
some agencies were reporting July as the hottest month ever
recorded, matching or even beating the previous record-holder,
July 2016.
New
Zealand's warm July, which has given way to a series of icy blasts
more characteristic of winter, also marked the 30th straight month
of above-average temperatures.
The
30-month run, in which each month had finished above respective
mean temperatures for the 1981-2010 period, included some of the
most dramatic climate events ever observed in New Zealand.
Among
them: our hottest summer (2017-18), our second hottest year
(2018), our hottest month (January 2018) and two marine heatwaves
– one which would likely be considered freakish even amid
anticipated 2050 conditions.
The
combined effect could be seen in the Southern Alps' snow-starved
glaciers, which one scientist recently described as "sad and
dirty" after another major melt.
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