Saturday 15 December 2018

Australia's housing collapse is now in full swing


Australia's House Of Cards Is Collapsing: Recession Coming Up

13 December, 2018



Australia's housing collapse is now in full swing. A recession will follow shortly.

Inga Ting, Geoff Thompson and Alex McDonald provide and excellent set of graphics and information on the bursting of Australia's housing bubble at House of Cards.
Home prices in more than four out of five council areas have reached their peak and are sliding towards an unknown nadir, according to the latest figures from property market analyst CoreLogic.
As the slump moves into its second year with little or no prospect of rebound, the downturn in capital city property markets threatens to drag down the rest of the economy.
And with a mixed outlook for the global economy, doubts are surfacing about where Australia is going to find the fuel to extend its near-record run of 27 years of unbroken economic growth.

Yearly Change in Median Dwelling Value

The graph in the article is interactive with a choice of eight cities. Sydney displayed above
.

Major Declines Since 1980

 

Click on the graph for an even larger image.

Perth and Darwin have been clobbered. Sydney is in the works.


Every Bubble is Different

 

I also like this Tweet in response.
I believe this person means 2019 not 2018
The VIC debt accelerator continues to fall.

The DA of May-2018 determined the Nov-2018 MEL annual house price result of -7.6%.

The DA was 1.9% in May-2018; it has now fallen to -7.5% in Oct-2018, indicating MEL prices will decline more rapidly through to Apr-2018.
See Philip Soos's other Tweets

 

Party is Over


There is no way Australia avoids a recession. I don't care what the central bank does.

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