This
important interview has been making the rounds on You Tube
Mike Maloney urgent warning !! The central bank chose a day for the collapse
Mike Maloney urgent warning !! The central bank chose a day for the collapse
A
particularly informative interview from about a month ago
Mike
Maloney NOV 2018 Manipulation Always Fails, The Next Economic Crash
Is Going To Be A Horrific
A
Horrified Wall Street Reacts To The Mnuchin Massacre
25
December, 2018
Heading
into December, a majority of traders still quietly hoped that the
volatility observed in October and November would finally fade, and
give way to the traditional Santa rally allowing them to escape what
in just two months had mutated into a devastating year for most,
unscathed: after all, in the past century, December has not only been
the month with the highest average stock market return, but the month
which has closed in the green on 74% of instances, the most of all
other months of the year.
It was not meant to be.
Instead
of being the best month of the year, this December has been the
worst month for the stock market since the Great Depression -
the average one-day drop in the S&P this month has
been 1.6% - and
was appropriately capped with a Christmas Eve crash which not only
saw it plunge almost 3% - the biggest pre-Christmas plunge on record
- closing at a 20-month low, but in the frenzied liquidation which
saw more than 1.7 billion shares changing hands in the painfully
illiquid half-day session which deepened losses after the worst week
since 2011, as it closed, the S&P triggered a bear market,
sliding 20% from the Sept 20 all time highs, and putting an end to
the longest bull market in history.
While
the reasons for the relentless three month selloff are legion,
starting with the "renormalization" (i.e., bursting) of the
biggest asset bubble blown in history by the Fed and other central
banks, and continuing through trade war tensions, rising and/or
falling interest rates, political gridlock and instability in the US
and elsewhere, peak profit fears, and economic slowdown concerns, the
immediate catalysts for today's plunge are two: Trump's ongoing feud
with the Federal Reserve (which today we learned, can't
putt)
and its Chairman, Jerome Powell, who may or may not be fired soon,
and Mnuchin bizarre, crisis-era announcement that bank liquidity is
fine, even though not a single person in the market doubted that not
to be the case, prompting a chill down traders' spines that bank
liquidity was not, in fact, fine.
So
while we got the market's verdict loud and clear to what will forever
be known as the "Mnuchin Massacre", here
is a sample of
what analysts, investors and pundits are saying:
Cowen
& Co.’s Jaret Seiberg
- “None of these controversies are positive,” the senior policy analyst wrote. “All of them put the economy at risk, which is negative for financial firms and housing. And all three incidents are unforced errors," Seiberg wrote, referring to Trump’s discussion of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s ouster, the partial government shutdown and Mnuchin raising questions about financial stability.
- "Our broad concern is that Team Trump might trigger the very downturn it wants to avoid."
Amundi
Pioneer Asset Management’s, Paresh Upadhyaya
- Mnuchin’s statement about banks “clearly backfired,” Upadhyaya said. “It smacks of desperation and nervousness. I found it odd that he spoke to them about liquidity when it’s obvious that banks would be aware of it. I’m not sure what they planned to achieve with this plunge protection team since none of the agencies involved have legal authority to intervene in the equity markets.”
- The portfolio manager sees little risk of Powell being ousted. He said that Trump’s undermining of the Fed could reduce the appeal of the U.S. dollar. What’s more troubling is the selloff in bank stocks, which signals distress in the credit market.
MRV
Associates Inc.’s Mayra Rodriguez Valladares
- “The timing is terrible” amid thin markets before a holiday, said Valladares, a former Fed foreign-exchange analyst who conducts training for bankers and regulators. “It’s going to make people in the markets even more nervous.”
- “When you have a president treating Powell as a pinata, it’s really terrible and undermines the credibility of the central bank as an independent authority.”
Whalen
Global Advisors’ Christopher Whalen
- Mnuchin’s tweet about his talks with bank CEOs was “not helpful,” Whalen said.
- “It is normal for a secretary of the Treasury to talk to banks privately, but not on Twitter,” he said, citing a “near disaster” in 2008 when markets cratered after then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson discussed buying bad bank assets.
Sullivan
& Cromwell LLP’s Rodgin Cohen
- Cohen was at the center of the bank bailouts during the 2008 financial crisis. He said he didn’t field calls from finance executives over the weekend, an indication that the industry isn’t facing the same concerns it was a decade ago.
- “If you ever get contagion, that could sweep away reality and logic,” Cohen said in an email. “But today, we just don’t have anything like 2008. You’ve got banks which have two to three times the capital, and even more importantly -- what really brings banks down -- is a liquidity shortage. And these banks are incredibly liquid.”
Last
but not least, here
is Maxine Waters, soon to be the Chair of the House Committee on
Financial Services:
- "The financial markets need certainty, and a Federal Reserve that can independently set monetary policy. The recent actions of the President and the Treasury Secretary, however, have been erratic and are creating uncertainty and instability in the markets. It would be in our nation’s best interest if they stopped what they are doing."
And
the scariest news: there are 3 more trading days in 2018, and at this
rate we may be looking at a 1-handle in the S&P as we usher in
the new year.
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