Sunday, 23 December 2018

Wall Street's worst week in a DECADE


Wall Street's worst week in a DECADE ends with Nasdaq in a bear market and benchmark S&P 500 at a 18-month low


  • The Nasdaq Composite Index closed in a bear market on Friday for the first time since 2008 after falling 195 points, or 3 percent, to 6,332
  • That total is down 21.9 percent from the index's August 29 record closing high, exceeding the 20 percent decline considered the threshold for a bear market
  • The S&P 500 index hit an 18-month low as it closed at 7 percent down at 2,416
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 414 points, or 1.8 percent, to 22,445
  • Major US indexes are now 16 to 26 percent below summer and early fall peaks
  • Barring huge gains during the upcoming holiday period, when trading is usually quiet, this will be the worst December for stocks since the 1930s

The US stock market suffered a third consecutive day of big losses on Friday, capping off  Wall Street's worst week in a decade. A trader is seen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange
22 December, 2018

Wall Street suffered through a third consecutive day of large losses on Friday, capping off the US stock market's worst weekly drop in a decade.

The Nasdaq Composite Index (above) closed in a bear market for the first time since 2008 after falling 195 points, or 3 percent, to 6,332
The Nasdaq Composite Index closed in a bear market for the first time since 2008 after falling 195 points, or 3 percent, to 6,332.

Meanwhile the benchmark S&P 500 (above) hit an 18-month low as it closed 7 percent down
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (above) fell 414 points, or 1.8 percent, to 22,445 - its lowest level in 14 months
That total is down 21.9 percent from the index's August 29 record closing high, exceeding the 20 percent decline considered the threshold for a bear market.

The Nasdaq is the first of the three major US stock indexes to cross that threshold, with its drop in less than four months serving as the latest sign that the bull market that began during the financial crisis a decade ago - the longest in history - could be almost done.

Meanwhile the benchmark S&P 500 index hit an 18-month low as it closed at 7 percent down at 2,416. The decline was led by big drops in former market favorites like Facebook and Amazon.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 414 points, or 1.8 percent, to 22,445 - its lowest level in 14 months.

Across the board major US indexes are now 16 to 26 percent below the peaks they reached in the summer and early fall as investors fear a recession is on the way.

Barring huge gains during the upcoming holiday period, when trading is usually quiet, this will be the worst December for stocks since the 1930s.

Analysts' predictions of a volatile day for Wall Street held true on Friday as stock prices shot up early on before meandering into decline through the middle of the day.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a peak of 23,405 at 10.20am Eastern before plummeting nearly three percent to 22,750 by 12.25pm, 0.5 percent lower than when the market opened.

The S&P 500 index climbed to 2,500 by 10.20am but had dropped to 2,456 by 12.25pm, a decrease of 0.37 percent from market open.

The Nasdaq peaked at 6,578 at 10.20am before falling precipitously to 6,404 at 12.25pm, a 2.57 percent decrease from market open.

Traders blamed the volatile prices on 'quadruple-witching' - when options on stocks and indexes as well as futures on indexes and single-stocks for the quarter all expire - which tends to raise volatility and trading volumes as investors replace expiring positions.

The Federal Reserve's plan, announced Wednesday, to keep raising interest rates was an added headache for investors already fearful that trade wars and other geopolitical concerns would grind economic and corporate growth to a halt.

The US central bank's view that the economy is strong will be tested amid a slew of economic data, including third-quarter GDP and November consumer spending, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.

Adding to the nerves was a chance that the government could be shut down unless President Donald Trump and Congress cut a deal before midnight on their long-running battle over funds for a Mexico border wall.

Volatility may rise again on Friday on account of 'quadruple witching', as investors unwind interests in futures and options contracts prior to expiration.

'The indices are headed for another volatile, negative session as options expirations, turmoil in the White House and a renewed possibility of a partial government shutdown continue to shatter the nerves of investors,' said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.
In premarket trading Friday, S&P 500 e-minis were down 0.57 percent at 7.30am Eastern, falling for the seventh session in a row, their longest losing streak since November 2011.
A five-day summary for the Dow (above) shows a steep decline through the end of the week 


Dow e-minis were down 0.46 percent and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 0.73 percent.

One silver lining was Nike Inc, whose shares jumped 8.5 percent in premarket trading after the company's quarterly results beat Wall Street estimates on strength in North America.

The three main Wall Street indices are already in correction territory, having fallen more than 10 percent from their record closing highs, and are closing in on bear market territory, when a security closes 20 percent below a recent high.
While the Nasdaq came within a whisker of bear market territory on Thursday, other segments of the market, including the Russell 2000 small-cap benchmark and the Dow Jones Transport Average are already in bear market territory.

Reports released Friday morning revealed the US economy expanded at a solid 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, slightly slower than the previous estimate as consumer spending and exports were revised lower. The economy is expected to slow further in the current quarter.
The Commerce Department says growth in the gross domestic product, the economy's total output of goods and services, was revised down from an earlier estimate of 3.5 percent. 
The still-strong performance followed a sizzling 4.2 percent advance in the second quarter and a moderate 2.2 percent increase in the first quarter.
Economists believe that economic growth is slowing in the fourth quarter to around 2.5 percent. But the overall GDP performance for the year will still be the best since 2005. 

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