Posts
Just
look at these headlines aka the writing on the wall
Vineyard of the Saker,
10 Apil, 2018
UNSC fails to pass 3 resolutions on Syria ‘chem attack’ as Russia calls for restraint
“Imminent
Announcement” Of US Action In Syria Coming Amid Expectations Of Air
Strikes “Within Hours”
No
commentary needed, I think.
The
Saker
AngloZionist options (intermediate report) UPDATED
An
AngloZionist attack on Syria appears to be inevitable and imminent.
There is always a chance of a major pushback from some putative
mentally sane, realistic and patriotic generals in the Pentagon, but
I am not holding my breath (I asked two of my best informed friends
about that, they both told me to forget about it). Counting on
those who have made a life obeying orders to suddenly refuse one, and
wreck their career in the process, is naive. Besides, most of
what we now have at the Pentagon are not Admiral Fallon types, but
rather the same “an
ass-kissing little chickenshit”
type à
la Petraeus.
They might not push for a confrontation with Russia, but they will do
what they are told to. The commander of CENTCOM recently said
just that (“we
will do what we are told“).
However,
what kind of attack options the US Neocons and their Israeli pals
will chose is probably what is being debated right now. Here
are the basic options
1)
A repeat of last year’s attack on the Syrian Air Force base in
Shayrat. That would be by far the best option and that would
allow the Neocons a face-saving, even if entirely symbolic, “look
how tough we are” option. They might as well strike the same
T4 base the Israelis did a few days ago, just with more missiles.
And, just to make this look all very “democratic” they might ask
the French, Brits or Israelis to participate in that attack.
2)
It is too late, militarily speaking, to try to reverse the situation
on the ground, but hitting more Syrian Air Force bases, communication
nodes, air defenses, etc. is definitely an option. Following
such an attack, the US allies on the ground (the “good” and the
“bad” terrorists) would go on the offensive and the Syrians and
their allies would struggle to “plug the holes” thus created.
That would not fundamentally change the outcome, but would prolong
the chaos and associated bloodbath.
3)
Attack the Iranians. This is a grand favorite with the Israelis
and the Neocons, but it is also a much riskier option because if the
attack is successful, the Iranians would have a huge number of
potential US targets to chose from to retaliate, as would Hezbollah.
Still, that would placate the Iran-haters, at least temporarily, and
it would allow Trump to show how “tough” and “great” a guy he
is.
4)
A full scale attack on the Syrian military and on the government
(including Presidential facilities). We are talking about
hundreds of cruise missiles in the first wave. Targets would
include not only purely military targets (ammo dumps, troop
concentrations, etc.) but also the “regime support infrastructure”,
i.e. civilians and that which makes civilian life possible: power
plants, water purification, communications, bridges, roads, ports,
schools and hospitals (“camouflaged regime objectives”) etc.
Basically, that is what the US/EU/NATO did to Serbia and what the
Israelis have done many times to Lebanon: murder as many civilians as
possible to make them pay for supporting the “Animal Assad”.
A time honored Anglo and Jewish tradition, by the way.
5)
A deliberate attack on Russian and Iranian positions in Syria to
“punish” them for supporting “Animal Assad’s” chemical
attacks.
Of
course, a combination of the options above are possible.
Roughly speaking options 1, 2 and 3 might (conditional) remain
manageable. Only option 1 is (relatively) safe. Options 4
and 5 are absolutely insane and are likely to result in an extremely
dangerous escalation.
Let’s
look at it from another point of view.
What
would be the goal of a AngloZionist attack?
I
think that we can all agree that nobody seriously believes that a
actual chemical attack took place and that everybody knows that this
is a (poorly) staged false flag predicted by both Nikki Haley and the
Russians weeks ago. As for a full-scale reversal of the outcome
in Syria or a reconquista by
US/NATO, these are not militarily speaking realistic options.
So
then what is the point?
1)
Internal US politics: Trump wants to appease the Neocons and looks
“tough”.
2)
Make the Syrians, Iranians and Russians pay for defeating the “good”
and “bad” terrorists.
3)
Appease the always bloodthirsty Israelis and create a nice pretext to
renege on the nuclear deal with Iran.
4)
The need to act on the rhetoric (that one is often ignored, but the
fact is that when a regime spews a constant stream of paranoid and
hate-filled nonsense about another country, it eventually has to do
something about it. Speaking of “Animal Assad” and do
nothing about him just does not look good for The Donald).
5)
Some hope to actually kill Assad (unlikely, the integrated
Russian-Syrian air defenses will warn him of the attack).
6)
Re-establish, by means of example, that the USA is still the biggest
and baddest guy out there and that neither Iran nor Russia can do
anything about it. Scare Russia and Iran into submission (I
know, this is a stupid notion, but Neocons are not very bright!).
I
think that we should not over-intellectualize all this.
Frankly, I don’t think that the folks in the White House are very
bright and that their level of planning is roughly similar to “if
all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail”. What
they have is a mental hammer: the desire to lash out, to strike, to
hurt, to punish. Just hatred and infinite arrogance.
As
to where and how the hammer will strike – your guess is as good as
mine.
Attempting
to predict the actions of delusional psychopaths is an exercise in
futility.
Besides,
we will find out very soon.
The
Saker
UPDATE1: RT
reports that Russia
and the US are both submitting resolutions to the UNSC. Both
resolutions demand an international investigation; the
OPCW announced its decision to dispatch a fact-finding mission to
Syria.
RT is
also reporting that
one Russian newspaper has declared that a top
level Russia-US meeting over Syria is scheduled for next week.
Maybe, just maybe, this insanity can be stopped?
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