More on the hurricanes - 09/17/2017

Batten down the hatches! As Hurricane Jose weakens another one forms; Tropical storm Maria expected to become strong Hurricane category 4 by Tuesday

EarthWindMap

theBig Wobble,

17 September, 2017

With tropical storm, Maria expected to reach strong Hurricane force later today and tropical Storm Lee not far behind and both heading Northwest the recent devastation caused by Harvey, Irma and Jose may yet not be over for the Caribbean and Florida.

Following the development of Tropical Storm Lee, budding Hurricane Maria poses a significant threat to Irma-devastated areas in the northern Caribbean early this week.

Tropical Storm Maria, is located less than 600 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles but that's not good because there is plenty of warm Caribbean water between which is like jet fuel for a Hurricane and presents the biggest risk to land as it continues to gain strength over the coming days.

Maria will quickly track to the west or west-northwest the next few days.

Conditions are conducive for the storm to ramp up into a Category 2 hurricane prior to reaching the Lesser Antilles on Monday night and Tuesday.

This is the third tropical system to impact the area in two weeks, following major hurricanes Irma and Jose during the first week of September.

While it is unlikely that the storm will reach Irma’s intense strength by the time it approaches, the brisk pace of the storm means there is little time for preparations to be completed on the islands.

Seas will build along the east-facing beaches of the Leeward Islands as the strengthening storm approaches on Sunday and Monday.

Torrential rain and damaging winds will then increase on Monday night and into Tuesday.

Some of the islands that were largely spared from Irma’s wrath may take a direct hit from the storm, including Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica and Martinique.

Residents should prepare for widespread tree damage, days to weeks of power outages and structural damage at the hands of a Category 2 hurricane.

Well-constructed homes may sustain major roof or siding damage.

"Rainfall amounts of 100-200 mm (4-8 inches) and storm surge will lead to flooding,"  AccuWeather Meteorologist Jordan Root said.

URGENT:HURRICANE JOSE' MAY BE DO-OVER OF "THE ASH WEDNESDAY STORM OF1962"

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The most recent European Computer Model is out as of 3:15 PM Sunday, September 17 and it shows Hurricane Jose' MUCH CLOSER to the shore than ever before; commencing its effects on New Jersey early Tuesday and both NJ and NYC throughout Tuesday-Wednesday.  But while the "eye" may not make landfall, something worse seems to be in the works . . 

According to weather expert Joe Bastardi,

"The Euro slow moving offshore Idea raises the spectre of Hurricane-induced version of the March 1962 type event, Offshore storm wave and tidal event"

The Ash Wednesday Storm of 1962 occurred on March 6–8, 1962 along the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States.

Also known as the Great March Storm of 1962, it was considered by the U.S. Geological Survey to be one of the most destructive storms ever to affect the mid-Atlantic states.

Classified as a level 5 or Extreme Nor'easter by the Dolan-Davis scale for classification of Atlantic Nor'easters, it was one of the ten worst storms in the United States in the 20th century.

It lingered through five high tides over a three-day period, killing 40 people, injuring over 1,000, and causing hundreds of millions in property damage in six states. The storm also deposited significant snowfall over the Southeast, with a regional snowfall index of 12.663.

All the current computer models for Hurricane Jose, already show it lingering through two full days. Because the Earth rotates through two tidal “bulges” every lunar day, coastal areas experience two high and two low tides every 24 hours and 50 minutes. High tides occur 12 hours and 25 minutes apart. It takes six hours and 12.5 minutes for the water at the shore to go from high to low, or from low to high.

So we already know that Hurricane Jose is going to be affecting New Jersey and New York City for at least FOUR high tides between Tuesday and Wednesday.  One more makes it equal-to or worse than the Great Ash Wednesday Storm of 1962.  FLOODING is the big concern because as the storm lingers, rivers and streams will not be able to drain out to the ocean. 

Like during hurricane Sandy in 2012, ocean water is likely to get pushed UP the rivers and streams. As such, starting this coming Tuesday, New Jersey and New York City could see a very real repeat of the massive flooding from 2012's Hurricane Sandy!

Here is the comparison of the EURO supercomputer weather model, to the National Weather Service GFS Model.  Look how much coser to shore the EURO puts Hurricane Jose:

 

As of 3:30 PM on Sunday, September 17, people throughout New Jersey and New York City are URGED to top-off car gas tanks and have extra fuel for electric generators in case power goes out.  They are also URGED to have Emergency food, Emergency Water, Flashlights with spare batteries and portable radios with spare batteries to hear news and official information.

DO NOT WAIT TO GET PREPS.  If you wait (the way people in Houston and Florida waited) you may find EMPTY SUPERMARKET SHELVES and EMPTY GAS STATIONS.

Get your preps RIGHT NOW.


 Here is old film-to-video of what happened to New Jersey during the Grat Ash Wednesday Storm of 1962: