Crude Inventories Surge To Record High As Energy Demand Collapses
1
May, 2013
A
month ago we highlighted the
somewhat stunning reality of the real economy via the EIA's detailed
energy supply and demand data. The key takeaway was that we
hoped this did not represent the true state of the economy since the
data was so dismal.
Fast
forward to today and the DOE just released amuch
higher than expected build in crude inventories that took the
stuffed-channel of oil products to all-time highs. The
395.3 million barrels is higher than the previous record in July
1990.
There
appears to be a number of factors at play - none of which are
positive.
There
is a surge
in supply due
to the incessant harvesting of
shale oil (which could
have its own problems as we noted here).
Second,
we suspect there is a degree of 'channel-stuffing' occurring
- if we pump it, they will buy - as producers and transporters are
desperate to keep active and show incremental business (despite
fading railcar loadings).
But
perhaps most important, as EIA
data has shown,
there has been a
collapse in end demand for crude products not seen since the
1990s. Today's
surge in inventories appears to confirm demand remains subdued at
best.
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