What
happens if the Israelis “use force” against Russian deliveries of
arms?
"In
my long career I do not ever remember Israel even suggesting military
action against Russia.That suggestion may have been made in Suez in
56, or in 1967, or in 73. But current events do then match with a
major regional conflict that shook the world. There are many signs
that the Syrian conflict is going regional and moving towards a war
that will stretch from the Mediterranean all the way to the Caspian
Sea."
---Mike
Ruppert.
Israel
warns Russia against giving Syria missiles
27
May, 2013
Israel's
defense chief said Tuesday a Russian plan to supply sophisticated
anti-aircraft missiles to Syria was a "threat" and signaled
that Israel is prepared to use force to stop the delivery.
The
warning by Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon ratcheted up tensions with
Moscow over the planned sale of S-300 air-defense missiles to Syria.
Earlier in the day, a top Russian official said his government
remained committed to the deal.
Israel
has been lobbying Moscow to halt the sale, fearing the missiles would
upset the balance of power in the region and could slip into the
hands of hostile groups, including the Lebanese militia Hezbollah, a
close ally of the Syrian regime.
Israel
has carried out several airstrikes in Syria in recent months that are
believed to have destroyed weapons shipments bound for Hezbollah.
Israel has not confirmed carrying out the attacks.
The
delivery of the Russian missiles to Syria could limit the Israeli air
force's ability to act. It is not clear whether Israeli warplanes
entered Syrian airspace in these attacks.
Earlier
this month, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu traveled to
Russia to discuss the Syrian situation with President Vladimir Putin.
The sides have said little about the talks, but the S-300s were
believed to have been on the agenda.
"Clearly
this move is a threat to us," Yaalon told reporters Tuesday when
asked about the planned Russian sale.
"At
this stage I can't say there is an escalation. The shipments have not
been sent on their way yet. And I hope that they will not be sent,"
he said. But "if God forbid they do reach Syria, we will know
what to do."
Since
the Syrian conflict erupted in March 2011, Israel repeatedly has
voiced concerns that Syria's sophisticated arsenal, including
chemical weapons, could either be transferred to Hezbollah, a bitter
enemy of Israel, or fall into the hands of rebels battling Syrian
President Bashar Assad. The rebels include al-Qaida-affiliated groups
that Israel believes could turn their attention toward Israel if they
topple Assad.
Syria
already possesses Russian-made air defenses, and Israel is believed
to have used long-distance bombs fired from Israeli or Lebanese
airspace. The S-300s would expand Syria's capabilities, allowing it
to counter airstrikes launched from foreign airspace as well.
In
Moscow, Russia's deputy foreign minister, Sergei Ryabkov, wouldn't
say whether Russia has shipped any of the S-300s, which have a range
of up to 200 kilometers (125 miles) and the capability to track and
strike multiple targets simultaneously. But he insisted that Moscow
isn't going to abandon the deal despite strong Western and Israeli
criticism.
"We
understand the concerns and signals sent to us from different
capitals. We realize that many of our partners are concerned about
the issue," Ryabkov said. "We have no reason to revise our
stance."
He
said the missiles could be a deterrent against foreign intervention
in Syria and would not be used against Syrian rebels, who do not have
an air force.
"We
believe that such steps to a large extent help restrain some
'hotheads' considering a scenario to give an international dimension
to this conflict," he said.
Russia
has been the key ally of the Syrian regime, protecting it from United
Nations sanctions and providing it with weapons despite the civil war
there that has claimed over 70,000 lives.
In
any case, an open confrontation between Israel and Russia would seem
to be months away. Russian military analysts say it would take at
least one year for Syrian crews to learn how to operate the S-300s,
and the training will involve a live drill with real ammunition at a
Russian shooting range. There has been no evidence that any such
training has begun.
If
Russia were to deliver the missiles to Syria, Israeli and Western
intelligence would likely detect the shipment, and Israel would have
ample time to strike before the system is deployed.
Ryabkov's
statement came a day after European Union's decision to lift an arms
embargo against Syrian rebels. He criticized the EU decision, saying
it would help fuel the conflict.
Israel's
defense chief spoke at an annual civil defense drill to prepare for
missile attacks on Israel. This year's exercise comes at a time of
heightened concerns that Israel could be dragged into the Syrian
civil war.
A
number of mortar shells from the fighting in Syria have landed in the
Israeli-controlled Golan Heights. While Israel believes most of the
fire has been errant, it has accused Syria of firing intentionally at
Israeli targets on several occasions, and last week the sides briefly
exchanged fire.
Israel's
civil defense chief, Home Front Minister Gilad Erdan, said this
week's drill was not specifically connected to the tensions with
Syria.
"But
of course we must take into consideration that something like that
might happen in the near future because of what we see in Syria, and
because we know that chemical weapons exist in Syria and might fall
to the hands of radical Muslim terror groups," he said.
US
backs EU’s step to arm Syrian rebels, slams Russia's shipments to
Assad
RT,
28
May, 2013
The
US has welcomed the EU’s decision to lift an arms embargo on Syria,
as a show of “full support" for rebels fighting against
President Assad. At the same the White House has opposed Russian
sales of S-300 missiles to Syria, calling it “a mistake”.
The
State Department has called for an end
of the embargo
on shipment of arms to rebels, saying that this step "gives
the flexibility of specific EU member states to support the
opposition as they see fit,"
acting State Department deputy spokesperson Patrick Ventrell said at
the briefing on Tuesday.
At
the same time, for President Bashar Assad this should be a message
"that support for the
opposition is only going to increase”,
Ventrell said.
As
the United States has so far provided only non-lethal aid to Syrian
rebels, Ventrell said the new decision “allows
others to continue to accelerate that assistance to the opposition."
The
State Department has stressed that it will not change its policy
based on the EU’s decision.
Ventrell
reiterated America’s position, saying that it opposes Russia
selling anti-aircraft missiles to the Assad regime.
“We
think that's a mistake. They've described it as fulfilling existing
contracts,”
he said, then assuring that the US government will “continue
to work with them [Russia]."
The
comments came after Russia criticized the EU lifted its arms embargo,
with diplomats branding the move as an "example
of double standards".
Russia insists that its own sale of arms to the Syrian government may
help restrain warmongers.
However,
it has neither confirmed, nor denied “the
status of those shipments”
Russia is carrying out under a contract signed with Syria several
years ago.
Moscow
has been asserting its right to ship S-300 batteries, maintaining
that it does not violate international law.
Russia’s
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov lambasted the EU’s latest move as
“an illegitimate”
decision.
"This
is an illegitimate decision, in principle, to discuss seriously on
official level the issue of supplying or not supplying arms to
non-state actors is contrary to all norms of international law,”
Lavrov said.
He
recalled negotiations on the text of the Global Arms Trade Treaty,
which read that “arms should
be supplied to governments and only with requirement of an end-user
certificate”.
“I
don’t know which end-user certificate the Syrian opposition can
give to exporters from Europe,”
Lavrov added.
The
Syrian government has slammed the easing of the EU’s embargo as an
“obstruction of efforts to
resolve the conflict in the country peacefully”.
The
country’s Foreign Ministry has accused the Union of giving “support
and encouragement to terrorists by providing them with weapons in
clear violation of international law and the UN Charter.”
Despite
Britain and France having made a commitment not to deliver arms to
the Syrian opposition "at
this stage,"
the UK’s Foreign Secretary William Hague has not ruled out arming
the rebels before August 1, saying that Britain now has the right to
do so.
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