Despite 'Promises', Japanese Market Chaos Continues
24
May, 2013
UPDATE
1: Japanese
stocks turned negative (NKY -600pts from highs, -1.5% on day; and
TOPIX down over 4% from highs); Japanese banks -11% from yesterday
highs; S&P
futures down 10 points from after-hours highs...
UPDATE
2: *KURODA
WANTS TO AVOID INCREASING VOLATILITY IN BOND MARKET (yeah
thanks... as useful as saying "we all want to avoid syphilis")
UPDATE
3: Nikkei
225 Drops below 14,000 - TOPIX
down 11% from highs
For
the second day in a row, and in spite of comments from Abe and Kuroda
on communicating with the market (as Kuroda
says BoJ Monetary easing sufficient), Japanese
capital markets are out of control.
JPY,
after weakening 150 pips from early this morning and breaking back
over 102.50 has just given 100 pips back in matter of minutes and is
now trading stronger vs the USD on the Japanese session. Japanese
stocks have cliff-dived with the NKY
dropping 400 points in minutes and TOPIX over 1.5%.
JGB futures (prices not yields) have surged back higher to trade
unchanged on the day as the correlation we noted earlier - and
believe is now critical - has held between an out of control bond
market and any further sustainable gains in stocks.
This
is not good... as
if the JPY carry trade implodes (driven quite simply by a total lack
of reward-to-risk given the volatility in the carry currency and loan
rates themselves) then what happens to all the levered longs in
European peripheral bonds and any number of the 'most-shorted'
companies in the US... It
seems clear that this is all an experiment to see how markets react -
the answer - not well!
30
minutes later...
Where's
Maria B and the 'Buy on the dip mentailty' when we need her?
When
is Tuesday already??
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