Unfortunately, unsourced
Putin: "If Ukraine Attacks Donestsk or Luhansk, Ukraine will cease to exist"
17
December, 2018
Russian
President Vladimir Putin has said "Any attack on the Donbass
(i.e. Donetsk or Luhansk) by the Ukraine government in Kiev, will
lead to the end of Ukraine’s existence as a sovereign country."
Those remarks have now been confirmed by high-ranking sources in the
Russia Ministry of Defense.
According
to the public newspaper SMI_li in Telegram, in an interview with the
newspaper, the military allegedly stated that they "can only
repeat the words of the supreme commander that, in the event of an
attack on the Donbass, with political or other goals, Ukraine will
suffer dire consequences and loss of its statehood."
“We
also confirm the OSCE’s information on the heavy armaments --
banned by Minsk-2 -- having now been brought to the line of
contact by the Ukrainian Armed Forces,” reads the quote.
They are referring to numerous social media reports of heavy tanks
and artillery having been moved toward Mariupol by the Kiev
government within the past two weeks.
In
addition, the authors of the article report that "this
information was also confirmed to them by two independent sources in
the Federation Council and the State Duma of Russia."
Moreover,
one of the sources recalled how similar aggression ended for Georgia
in 2008. He added that at the same time "in 2008 the
Russian army was much less equipped and efficient".
"Do
not even think of going to climb, if you do not want to lose your
country,"
he added, referring to the authorities of Ukraine.
Recall
that during a direct interview, Vladimir Putin answered the question
of Zakhar Prilepin - he wondered if the president was not expecting
an attack by Ukraine on the Donbass during the 2018 World Cup.
Putin,
in response, expressed the hope that "things will not come to
such provocations." “And
if this happens, I think that this will have very serious
consequences for the Ukrainian statehood as a whole. Once again I
want to emphasize: I hope that nothing of the kind will happen,”
the Russian leader warned.
This
statement immediately led to active discussion in expert circles and
social networks. In particular, the Russians and experts have
suggested what exactly Russia can do in response. Among the
options is the official recognition of the Luhansk - Donestk (Donbass
National Republic (DNR) with all the ensuing consequences (the
Foreign Minister, by the way, called this option “emotional” and
counterproductive), a “recall” of recognition of the presidential
elections in Ukraine and forcing Ukraine to peace in the image of
Georgia 2008.
"There
is a concentration of enemy forces and equipment on the Gorlovka
direction and in the Svetlodar arc. Here are the 72nd mechanized 58th
motorized infantry, the 1st tank and the 81st airmobile brigades. In
addition to the existing artillery grouping there, of the MLRS
high-power division of the Uragan 15th artillery regiment and the
27th artillery brigade, the three-millimeter jet division of the
Smerch volley fire of the 40th artillery brigade, ”Alexander Kots
writes in his blog.
"In
the near future, to strengthen the grouping, the 30th and 93rd
mechanized brigades are expected to arrive. Thus, our defenders in
the Gorlovka direction will be confronted by enemy grouping in the
SIX brigade, with a total of up to 20,000 people, over 120 tanks,
more 250 field artillery guns and mortars, more than 110 multiple
rocket launcher systems, "he said.
The
journalist also shares information about the instructions to leave
the houses allegedly received by Svetlodar residents and move at
least to Zhytomyr. True, other sources write that "rumors
about evacuation are only at the level of rumors".
We
add that, despite the recall by Vladimir Putin himself of the right
to send troops to Ukraine, the head of state did not lose the
opportunity to do so at any time.
“Yes,
on June 25, 2014, the Federation Council canceled the March 1
permission to deploy troops, but the president of Russia remains“
in reserve ”a decree passed back in 2009 — then Dmitry Medvedev
received from the Federation Council the right to promptly use the
armed forces for border ", - experts say.
It
should be noted that sources in military circles, OSCE
official observers and diplomats agree that the President of Ukraine
will give an order to attack DLNR before the New Year - in order to
“crush” the rebellious regions and give themselves a reason to
extend martial law and cancel the elections of the Rada and President
Square
In
addition, in an interview with KP, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov said that Moscow has information about the provocation of Kiev
in the Crimea that is being prepared for the last ten days of
December.
He
stressed that the Russian special services will not allow this. Well,
if the provocation does take place, “Poroshenko will receive an
answer, it will not seem a bit, I assure you.” The head of the
Foreign Ministry added that Russia has evidence that "Kiev
coordinates its actions with Western curators and trustees,"
advising "to support low-intensity fighting."
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