Wednesday 3 October 2018

Very warm conditions in the Arctic.= -10/02/2018

There is a lot of heat still in the Arctic and not too many signs of a rapid refreeze in the Arctic.
A week’s missing data on methane emissions in the Arctic

Thanks to Margo we know that there has been a week’s missing data on CAMS while at the same is true for NOAA data from the EU Metop-1 and Met-op 2 satellites
Now the data is up on CAMS for both Friday, 28th and Saturday 29th (but not for the days since or the days preceding).

Given how they manage data for other emissions one really does have to wonder if the data is being manipulated and what the missing data may have shown.


Although it could be overlooked with the massive emissions from elsewhere it can be see that there are emissions well above the average coming straight out of the Kara Sea.


 Friday, 28 September


  Saturday, 29 September





https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/methane-forecasts?facets=undefined&time=2018092900,3,2018092903&projection=classical_arctic&layer_name=composition_ch4_surface 

This is what Robert Fanney had to say about this a couple of days ago - huge sea temperature anomalies with warm water entering the Arctic from the warm waters of the North Atlantic and Pacific.


I suspect that what is going to happen this Fall and Winter is going to be highly significant.




This shows the warm temperatures in the Arctic. Although temperatures are above or about freezing salt water freezes at about -2 deg C.




This is how an overview looks in the Arctic from today. I don't see too many signs of a refreeze


That is a large area of blue ocean that we are seeing in the Beaurfort Sea, to the north of Alaska that seems to have eluded the attention of EVERYBODY.




And what is that area of green to the north of Greenland? It looks suspiciously like an algal bloom to me.



Here is a representation of ice thickness in the Beaufort Sea




And in the Arctic sea as a whole




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