Wednesday 31 October 2018

Why is there a trainload of tanks heading for the US-Mexican border?

It is the contention of Hal Turner, who has been right about some important things and equally wrong about some others that the meaning of the trainload of US tanks on their way to the US-Mexico border is not so much to do with the migrant caravan as to some threat from China and Russia.

I would say that Mr. Turner is on some very thin ground on this and is hardly likely to be right

Video: Trainload of U.S. TANKS Heading to Border w/ Mexico -- Chinese and Russian Troops Massing in Venezuela

30 October, 2018

A trainload of M1A2 Abrams Tanks, self-propelled artillery and other military hardware was captured on video twice since October 29; once moving near the Tehachapi Depot Museum outside of Bakersfield, CA and then today, moving south in the Sonoran Desert, southwest of Tucson, AZ.

Initially, the entity which sent us this video thought it had to do with the so-called "migrant caravans" heading toward the US Border from Mexico. But this struck us as highly unlikely; one does not use tanks and artillery on migrants. Turns out, it is something FAR worse . . .

Last night The Hal Turner Radio Show published a story about Venezuela closing its border with Colombia, after the President of Colombia told Brazil's new President he would support a military action to oust President Maduro in failed Venezuela.

After publishing that story, I was alerted by my former colleagues from my years doing national security intelligence with the FBI Joint Terrorism Task Force, that Brazil was already moving 17,000 troops to its border with Venezuela . . . . BECAUSE China and Russia have begun seriously massing troops inside Venezuela.

It now appears that Venezuela has agreed to become a de facto military base for Russian and Chinese troops, and the reason they are massing troops there is now speculated to be for an invasion of the continental United States.

Yes, you just read those words.

Perhaps that explains why the video below shows a trainload of US heavy armor being moved from near Bakersfield, CA to the Sonoran Desert in Arizona.

There is now ongoing and serious discussion in the Intelligence Community as to the feasibility of Russia and China joining together in Venezuela to stage a massive military build-up, with the purpose of launching a ground invasion of the continental United States, to settle their disagreements with us once and for all.

Hal Turner shows his political colours in the way he discusses the election of a fascist in Brazil.

over Military Action on Venezuela

"With the election of Jair Bolsonaro as President in Brazil, Donald Trump already has a strong ally with which to develop a tailor-made policy for Latin America , especially his plans for the possibility of a multilateral armed intervention to put an end to the humanitarian crisis in Venezuela. ..."

A mainstream American view.

The author of this article is from the Venezulan right-wing media.

Russia in Venezuela?

Times have changed in Latin America: China and Russia have a significant military presence in the region. A military intervention in Latin America by the United States may require negotiations with China. The United States is the first military power in the world, but Russia (2nd) and China (3rd) are the next in the list. It should be noted that, although China and Russia have a relevant military participation in Venezuela, Chinese activities are much more extensive than Russian. Until now, the figures of Russian GDP per capita have been better than China, but the trend is changing. In addition to, The Russian economy was strongly hit by Western sanctions after the annexation of Crimea. The Chinese economy is way bigger than the Russian.

According to the Strategic Institute of the United States Army, China at the end of 2008 installed operations commands in Venezuelan military bases, located around Caracas. Huawei has been one of the key companies involved in this project. China funded the training of a group of UNEFA students, supervised by Huawei. In the Military University Institute of Communications and Electronics of the Armed Forces (IUMCOELFA), a $ 54 million laboratory was installed. In 2008, Venezuela ordered 18 K-8 aircraft in 2008. In 2012, the Venezuelan government signed a contract with the company NORINCO. Chinese arms conglomerates such as NORINCO have provided Venezuela K-8 aircraft and JYL-1 radars.

By the end of 2010, Venezuela was evaluating the purchase of a broad range of Chinese systems, including such command and control systems as high frequency (HF), ultra high frequency (UHF), and very high frequency (VHF) communications systems; IGLA missile systems; antiaircraft guns; biodegradable mines bridging equipment; utility aircraft; antisubmarine aircraft; ground-attack aircraft; long-range sea surveillance aircraft; coastal patrol aircraft; frigates; submarines; and more (Evan Ellis, Institute of Strategic Studies, 2011).

According to the data of the Strategic Studies of the United States, between 2001 and 2013, Russia could have received 14.5 billion dollars for the sale of arms in Latin America (11 billion from Venezuela). The export of Russian weapons has been hit by the crisis in Venezuela, according to Evan Ellis. China could have taken advantage of the situation to position itself in a market that, until 2013, had been dominated almost exclusively by Russia. Since 2006, Venezuela and Russia have signed contracts for the establishment of military training centers in the Caribbean country. The Russians have trained the Venezuelans to handle the Russian helicopters. The Russian companies Tranzas and KamAZ have also operated in Venezuela.

However, this information does not match that provided by Alexander Sevostyanov, Advisor on Latin American Affairs of the Russian-Venezuelan bank Evrofinance Mosnarbank. According to Sevostyanov, the figures have been exaggerated by Evan Ellis. Russia, in reality, only received 6 billion dollars for the sale of arms to Latin America - 4 thousand from Venezuela. Mr. Sevostyanov, however, made it clear that Venezuela is the most reliable client in Latin America. The purchase of Russian weapons was financed through the intergovernmental credit granted by the Russian Federation to Venezuela.

The investigations of the United States Army and the official information provided by the embassies, binational banks, and foreign workers in Venezuela coincide in something: Venezuela is an essential strategic ally for the geopolitical interests of China and Russia. The Caribbean country has a privileged geographic location and the emerging powers have positioned themselves militarily in our territory. For better or worse, the Venezuelan armament park is very well diversified and a military intervention to solve the Venezuelan crisis may require a negotiation among world powers. It seems that the key to ending the humanitarian and political crisis in Venezuela is held by the Chinese.

The Embassy of the Russian Federation in Venezuela, according to its official website, has a section of military attach├ęs. The Venezuelan military, in its various areas, has the advice of the Russian military. The most important are: Pavel Trofimov, Alexey Ovsyannikov, and Andrey Zima. Russia, the second most important military force in the world, provides assistance to Venezuela.

The possibility of military intervention in Venezuela should not be taken lightly; No one here is playing and no option has been ruled out. We must take into account, that Shannon O'Neil, Senior Partner of Latin American Studies of the Council on Foreign Relations, has compared the possible intervention in Venezuela with Iraq. The consequences of the intervention in Iraq are still visible to all.

China matters. At some degree, the solution of the crisis in Venezuela lies with United States, China, Russia, Iran, India, Colombia, Brazil, and Cuba. Until 2015, Forbes commented that Venezuela was the main destination for Chinese investments in Latin America. According to Open Democracy NGO, the costs of intervening militarily in a country that is an ally of China without the latter’s consent could prove catastrophic in the long-term, and largely exceed the benefits that could be reaped.

At this point, nobody knows exactly what is going to happen in Venezuela. No political leader controls all internal and external variables to predict what this will end up with. The truth is that you can not underestimate the role of Beijing in a possible way out of the Venezuelan crisis. The future of Venezuela is, to some extent, in the hands of China. The United States and the Western world have to negotiate. What will happen in Venezuela?

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