US
Strategy In Syria: "Create Quagmires Until We Get What We Want"
2
September, 2018
In
2013, top Obama Administration officials described their policy in
the Syrian War as one of keeping the war going. The
administration wanted a big seat at the table for a political
settlement, which officials clarified meant
ensuring that the war kept going so that there was never a clear
victor.
The
Trump Administration seems to be slipping into that same destructive
set of priorities in Syria. The Washington
Post this week quoted an unnamed Administration official as
saying that “right now, our job is to help create quagmires [for
Russia and the Syrian regime] until we get what we want.”
As
ever, what the US really wants is to have a dominant position in
post-war negotiations, so they can dictate the form that post-war
Syria takes. This means ensuring that the Syrian government doesn’t
win the war outright.
That’s
not as realistic as it once was, with the Assad government, backed by
Russia, having retaken virtually all of the rebel-held
territory except
for a far north bastion in Idlib, dominated by al-Qaeda. This means
the US now has to save al-Qaeda to keep the war going, which if we’re
being honest has been a recurring undercurrent in US policy in Syria
for years.
It
is this desire that has the US repeatedly threatening Syria and
warning them not to attack Idlib. It
is this desire that is sparking almost daily US threats to intervene
militarily if the Idlib offensive involves chemical weapons. Most
importantly, it is this desire that has Russia very much believing
media reports that the rebels could “stage” a fake chemical
attack just to suck the US into the war, and be fairly confident it
would work.
The
US is, after all, constantly talking about an imminent chemical
attack despite there being no reason to think Syria is poised to
launch one. At
times, US officials have privately conceded that there is no sign
Syria is making any moves to even ready such weapons for the
offensive. Yet several times a week, the US issues statements with
allegations of a chemical plot featuring prominently, setting the
stage for a reaction.
The
Syrian War has been nearing
its endgame for months now, with
Israeli officials conceding it is all but over as far as they are
concerned (while vowing
not to honor any post-war deals).
When a war is lost and a plan has failed, however,
the US government is often the last to know, and that has them
determined to drag the war on as long as possible.
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