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US False Flag is in Place: White Helmet Filming of “Chemical
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Syria - Turkish Tantrum Delays Liberation Of Idleb
13
September, 2018
Turkey
is again turning to the U.S. to achieve its aim of controlling and
annexing north Syria.
At
the Tehran summit of the Russian, Iranian and Turkish presidents,
Turkey presented a
(likely U.S. induced plan) for Idleb governorate:
It included:
prolongation of the deescalation ceasefire
12 armed groups, including Hayat Tahrir al Sham to be disbanded
Turkey will train a new rebel force to control Idleb under Turkish command
Groups who resist will be targeted in counter terrorism operations
Russia
and Iran rejected the plan. Idleb is controlled
by Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS) (vid)
which is an internationally banned terrorist group affiliated with
al-Qaeda. Turkey had over a year to solve the HTS problem under the
existing de-escaltion agreement and failed.
HTS, foreign
Jihadis,
as well as 'moderate' Islamists affiliated with Turkey prevent
civilians from leaving and terrorize
the population:
As a possible showdown approaches, the rebels have arrested and tortured people they accuse of conceding defeat, sowing fear in the local population. A doctor was recently pulled from his home at night, witnesses said. A pistachio peddler was arrested as masked men patrolled the street.
...
Monitoring groups and local residents put most of the blame on HTS, formerly known as Jabhat al-Nusra, but say the Turkish-backed fighters have also arrested dozens of people.
...
[R]ebel groups have embarked on their wave of arrests, accusing those they detain of secret communications with government representatives. Many have been taken to secret prisons and tortured, groups documenting the arrests say.
...
“Although this is certainly why some people have been arrested, the problem now is that it is also being used by al-Nusra to arrest the people who criticize their behavior, or to arrest their opponents,” said Fadel Abdul Ghany, director of the Syrian Network for Human Rights, a monitoring group.
After
the Tehran summit the Syrian and Russian operation to liberate Idleb
was to commence. The troops were in place, air as well as
artillery attacks to 'shape' the battlefield were ongoing.
But
Erdogan again turned on his partners and is back flirting with the
U.S. he otherwise despises. In an
op-ed in
the Wall
Street Journal he
begged for U.S. and NATO help:
All members of the international community must understand their responsibilities as the assault on Idlib looms. The consequences of inaction are immense. We cannot leave the Syrian people to the mercy of Bashar Assad.
...
It is crucial for the U.S., which has concentrated on chemical attacks, to reject its arbitrary hierarchy of death. Conventional weapons are responsible for far more deaths. But the obligation to stop the next bloodshed is not the West’s alone.
...
If the international community, including Europe and the U.S., fail to take action now, not only innocent Syrians but the entire world stands to pay the price. Turkey has done everything in its power to stop the bloodshed next door. To ensure that we succeed, the rest of the world must set aside narrow self-interest and throw its weight behind a political solution.
At
the same time Erdogan is pushing the U.S. to do his bidding in
northwest Syria, he accuses the Trump administration of supporting
anti-Turkish PKK/YPK terrorists in northeast Syria. Turkey also
continues to insist
on buying Russian
air defense systems instead of a U.S. produced one.
To
halt the Idleb Dawn operations Erdogan shipped
new weapon supplies to
insurgent groups affiliated with Turkey:
Senior rebel officials said Turkey had sent more military aid to rebels in and around the Idlib region since a summit meeting with Iran and Russia last week failed to agree a deal to avert a government offensive into the area.
...
“They pledged complete Turkish military support for a long, protracted battle,” a senior FSA commander who was privy to talks in recent days with senior Turkish officials said, requesting anonymity as he was not authorized to speak publicly.
All
border areas between Idleb and Turkey are under control of HTS. It
takes a share of every load that comes through the border. Turkey is
effectively arming the organization it is supposed to eliminate.
Turkey also sent reinforcements to its observation posts in
Idleb, including
tanks (vid).
Erdogan
claims that he fears a new wave of refugees coming towards Turkey.
He uses
this to
press the European Union to support his position:
Erdogan’s spokesman Ibrahim Kalin said a refugee influx across Turkey’s borders would have international repercussions.
...
“The global community also needs to take responsibility,” Kalin said after a Cabinet meeting Tuesday. “Another migrant wave coming to Turkey at a time when we already host millions of refugees will cause other complications,” he said. “This will spread from here to Europe and other countries.”
But
the concern over a new refugee wave is exaggerated and likely a
diversion. The real plan seems to be much larger. Turkey wants to
annex Idleb.
The
new Turkish 'plan' for Idleb which it offered to Russia and Iran is
said to include:
no Syrian army attacks on Turkish supported groups
no Syrian army entry in areas controlled by Turkish supported groups
Turkey and Russian troops are to enter to eliminate HTS
Turkey and Russia will police the areas after HTS is cleared out
Turkey will only leave when the Kurdish YPG, the U.S. proxy force in northeast Syria, is dismantled
The
YPG in Syria, which operates as the PKK terror organization in
Turkey, is under U.S. protection. It can not be disbanded. The
condition Turkey sets out is unfulfillable.
Moreover
Turkey is preparing a 'legal' claim on Idleb. It uses its proxies in
Idleb to
claim 'Ottoman' ownership of
the areas they control and to installs its own state structures
there:
[T]he sources confirmed to the Syrian Observatory that there are 15 villages in the south-eastern sector of Idlib countryside, in the area between Maarrat Al-Nu’man and Sinjar area, including Al-Sayyadi, Barsah, Khyara, Seraa and Saree, have been owned by the Turks, since the time of the Ottoman presence in the area, which pushed the Turks, according to the sources, to interfere strongly and bring grand military forces and large numbers of members, equipment, ammunition and vehicles in addition to fortifying their military posts stationed in Idlib, Hama and Aleppo.
...
Turkey depends to prove that it owns these areas, on titles and deeds of ownership of these villages, and what supports this claim is that Turkey deliberately established 3 observation posts in the east of the International Highway which passes through Idlib province and links between the Syrian – Turkish border and the Syrian – Jordanian border, and Turkey also depends on similar proofs to prove its ownership of other areas such as Jarabulus, Manbij and the areas where Ottoman commanders had been buried
...
Turkey will work on preventing the regime forces from starting any battle in the western countryside of Idlib, and will not allow this to happen along with requesting the factions to be completely ready in the case that any changes that may take place, while a request will be submitted to Ankara for the services and the restoration of schools, as well as a request that will be submitted about the demanding of the return of Jabal Al-Akrad and Jabal Al-Turkman and putting them under the Turkish protection and the return of their residents to them.”
The
claims are of course ludicrous. The Ottoman empire is gone and the
territory is internationally recognized as part of Syria.
“We are saying the situation in Idlib should be settled most preferably in a peaceful way. It is possible to abstain from using military force,” Alexander Lavrentiev, Russia's Syria envoy, told reporters after talks in Geneva with U.N. envoy Staffan de Mistura.
“Idlib province is...a sort of zone of responsibility of Turkey; it is their responsibility to separate the moderate opposition from the extremists, from Jabhat al-Nusra and other groups, other terrorist groups,” he said.
Syria
and Iran will be very unhappy about this delay but they need Russia's
backing to proceed.
Russia
anticipates that the 'west', with the help of Turkey, will try to use
the Syrian liberation of Idleb for an all-out attack on the Syrian
government. The Russian Defense Ministry continues its warning
of another
fake a chemical incident which
would be a pretext for a 'western' attack on the Syrian government.
For the last 48 hours, all Syrian and Russian air attacks on the
terrorists in Idleb have stopped. This is probably to prevent that
such strikes are used to claim a 'chemical bombing':
Another
U.S. attack on Syria would help U.S. President Trump on domestic
issues, most importantly in the upcoming elections for Congress. In
two weeks Trump will chair
a UN Security Council meeting which
he could use to propagandize against an Idelb attack. It is possible
that Russia will hold back until these events are over.
For
Russia this is a tricky situation. Erdogan can probably be pressured
into retreat. But Russia also wants to prevent that it falls back
into the U.S. fold. The typical Russian reaction in such a
situation is to hedge, to play for time and to hope that some other
incident happens which then helps to turn the situation. Such an
event may come sooner than expected.
This
morning Erdogan called on
the Turkish central bank to lower its interest rates. He believes
that high interests rates drive high inflation. The Turkish Lira fell
3%. Two hours after Erdogan's call the Central Bank raised the
interest rate by 625 basis points to 24% and the Lira rallied. This
will over time bring down the inflation rate but Turkey's economy
will stall.
Such
economic turmoil increases Turkey's dependence on Russia and Iran
which are the main energy suppliers to Turkey. The Central Bank move
is also a threat to Erdogan's personal authority which he can not to
let unanswered. But attacks on the independence of the Central Bank
will bring 'western' punishment. Who will then back him if not
Russia and Iran?
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