next BRICS summit, in Goa, is less than two months away. Compared
to only two years ago, the geopolitical tectonic plates have moved
with astonishing speed. Most
BRICS nations are mired in deep crisis; Brazil’s endless
political/economic/institutional debacle may yield the Kafkaesque
impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff.
is in a coma. What’s
surviving is RC: the Russia/China strategic partnership. Yet even the
partnership seems to be in trouble – with Russia still attacked by
myriad metastases of Hybrid War. The
– Exceptionalist – Hegemon remains powerful, and the opposition
is dazed and confused.
but surely – see for instance the
possibility of an ATM (Ankara-Tehran-Moscow)
coalition in the making – global power continues to insist on
shifting East. That
goes beyond Russia’s pivoting to Asia; Germany’s industrialists
are just waiting for the right political conjunction, before the end
of the decade, to also pivot to Asia, conforming a BMB
already rules over Europe. The only way for a global trade power to
solidify its reach is to go East. NATO member Germany, with a GDP
that outstrips the UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, is not even
allowed to share information with the “Five Eyes” secret cabal.
Putin, years ago, was keen on a Lisbon-to-Vladivostok emporium. He
may eventually be rewarded – delayed gratification? – by BMB, a
trade/economic union that, combined with the Chinese-driven One Belt,
One Road (OBOR), will eventually dwarf and effectively replace the
dwindling post-WWII Anglo-Saxon crafted/controlled international
inexorable movement East underscores all the interconnections –
and evolving connectivity – related to the New Silk Roads, the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the BRICS’s New
Development Bank (NDB), the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
(AIIB), the Eurasia Economic Union (EEU). The crux of RC, the
Russia-China strategic partnership, is to make the multipolar,
post-Atlantic world happen. Or, updating Ezra Pound, to Make It New.
pivot to Asia is of course only part of the story. The
core of Russia’s industries, infrastructure, population is in the
west of the country, closer to Europe. BMB would allow a double pivot
– simultaneously to Europe and Asia; or Russia exploiting to the
max its Eurasian character. Not accidently this is absolute anathema
for Washington. Thus the predictable, ongoing no holds barred
exceptionalist strategy of preventing by all means necessary closer
parallel, pivoting to Asia is also essential because that’s where
the overwhelming majority of Russia’s future customers – energy
and otherwise – are located. It will be a long, winding process to
educate Russian public opinion about the incalculable value for the
nation of Siberia and the Russian Far East. Yet that has already
started. And it will be in full fruition by the middle of the next
decade, when all the interpolated New Silk Roads will be online.
of RC will continue to be the name of the exceptionalist game –
whatever happens on November 8. As far as the
industrial-military-security-surveillance-corporate media complex is
will be no reset.
Proxies will be used – from failed state Ukraine to Japan in the
East China Sea, as well as any volunteering Southeast Asian faction
in the South China Sea.
the Hegemon will be in trouble to contain both sides of RC
simultaneously. NATO does not help; its trade arm, TPP, may even
collapse in the high seas before arriving on shore. No TPP – a
certainty in case Donald Trump is elected in November – means the
end of US economic hegemony over Asia. Hillary Clinton knows it; and
it’s no accident President Obama is desperate to have TPP approved
during a short window of opportunity, the lame-duck session of
Congress from November 9 to January 3.
China, the Hegemon alliance in fact hinges on Australia, India and
about instrumentalizing BRICS member India – which will never fall
into the trap of a war against China (not to mention Russia, with
which India traditionally enjoys very good relations.)
imperial instincts were reawakened by Shinzo Abe. Yet hopeless
economic stagnation persists. Moreover, Tokyo has been prohibited by
the US Treasury Dept. to continue unleashing quantitative easing.
Moscow sees as a long-term objective to progressively draw Japan away
from the US orbit and into Eurasia integration.
Zbig does Desolation Row
Pentagon is terrified that RC is now a military partnership as well.
to Russia’s superior high-tech weaponry, NATO is a kindergarten
mess; not to mention that soon Russian territory will be inviolable
to any Star Wars-derived scheme. China will soon have all the
submarines and “carrier-killer” missiles necessary to make life
for the US Navy hell in case the Pentagon harbors funny ideas. And
then there are the regional details – from Russia’s permanent air
base in Syria to military cooperation with Iran and, eventually,
disgruntled NATO member Turkey.
wonder such exceptionalist luminary ideologues as Dr. Zbig “Grand
Chessboard” Brzezinski – foreign policy mentor to President Obama
Brzezinski looks at progressive Eurasia integration, he simply cannot
fail to detect how those “three grand imperatives of imperial
geostrategy” he outlined in The
simply dissolving; “to prevent collusion and maintain security
dependence among the vassals, to keep tributaries pliant and
protected, and to keep the barbarians from coming together.”
GCC vassals – starting with the House of Saud – are now terrified
about their own security; same with the hysteric Baltics. Tributaries
are not pliant anymore – and that includes an array of Europeans.
The “barbarians” coming together are in fact old civilizations –
China, Persia, Russia – fed up with upstart-controlled unipolarity.
to “contain” RC, defined as “potentially threatening” (the
Pentagon considers the threats are existential) Brzezinski suggests –
what else – Divide and Rule; as in “containing the least
predictable but potentially the most likely to overreach.” Still he
doesn’t know which is which; “Currently, the more likely to
overreach is Russia, but in the longer run it could be China.”
one should definitely expect Hillary’s “project” to be all-out
hegemony expansion all across Eurasia. Syria and Iran will be
targets. Even another war on the Korean Peninsula could be on the
cards. But against North Korea, a nuclear power? Exceptionalistan
only attacks those who can’t defend themselves. Besides, RC could
easily prevent war by offering some strategic carrots to the Kim
many aspects, not much has changed from 24 years ago when, only three
months after the dissolution of the USSR, the Pentagon’s Defense
Planning Guidance proclaimed:
first objective is to prevent the reemergence of a new rival…This
requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from
dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated
control, be sufficient to generate global power. These regions
include Western Europe, East Asia, the territory of the former Soviet
Union and southwest Asia.”
about a prescient road map of what’s happening right now; the
“rival”, “hostile” power is actually two powers involved in a
strategic partnership: RC.
this Pentagon nightmare, the endgame keeps drawing near; the next
manifestations and reverberations of the never-ending 2008 financial
crisis may eventually torpedo the fundamentals of the global “order”
– as in the petrodollar racket/tributary scam.
will be blood. Hillary
Clinton smells it already – from Syria to Iran to the South China
question is whether she – and virtually the whole Beltway
establishment behind her – will be mad enough to provoke RC and buy
a one-way ticket to post-MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction) territory.