Saturday, 16 August 2014

Update from Ukraine

Sorry about the wonky formatting! The reports are in reverse chronological order, with the most recent first.

Did Ukraine Attack Its Own Tanks? White House "Can't Confirm Russian Convoy Was Destroyed By Kiev"


It Begins: Ukraine Troops Destroy Part Of "Armed" Russian Convoy, Stocks Crash

Things just escalated notably - (Via Bloomberg):
  • *UKRAINE FORCES ATTACK ARMED CONVOY FROM RUSSIA: LYSENKO 
  • *UKRAINE TROOPS 'DESTROY' PART OF ARMED CONVOY: LYSENKO
  • *UKRAINE'S POROSHENKO: CONFIRMED APC INCURSION TO CAMERON
Reuters reports,
Ukrainian artillery destroyed a "significant" part of a Russian armoured column that crossed into Ukraine during the night, President Petro Poroshenko told British Prime Minister David Cameron on Friday, according to the presidential website.

Separately, a Ukrainian military spokesman said Ukrainian forces had tracked the Russian armoured column as soon as it crossed onto Ukrainian soil."Appropriate actions were undertaken and a part of it no longer exists," military spokesman Andriy Lysenko told journalists.

We await Putin's response...
  • *RUSSIA CONCERNED AT ATTEMPTS TO DISRUPT AID CONVOY
  • *RUSSIA SAYS IT'S GETTING INFO OF DIRECT THREATS TO CONVOY
  • *RUSSIA SAYS UKRAINE INTENSIFIES MILITARY OPS TO DISRUPT CONVOY
EU & US Stocks and bond yields (and Ruble) are tumbling, gold rising.

Of course we noted this last night...

As The Guardian reports,
While the white trucks came to a halt well short of Ukraine's border, a different Russian convoy did cross into Ukrainian territory late on Thursday evening.
The Guardian saw a column of 23 armoured personnel carriers, supported by fuel trucks and other logistics vehicles with official Russian military plates, travelling towards the border near the Russian town of Donetsk.





 
After pausing by the side of the road until nightfall, the convoy crossed into Ukrainian territory, using a rough dirt track and clearly crossing through a gap in a barbed wire fence that demarcates the border. Armed men were visible in the gloom by the border fence as the column moved into Ukraine.
Kiev has lost control of its side of the border in this area.
The trucks are unlikely to represent a full-scale official Russian invasion, and it was unclear how far they planned to travel inside Ukrainian territory and how long they would stay. But it was incontrovertible evidence of what Ukraine has long claimed – that Russian troops are active inside its borders.
...
The armoured column seen by the Guardian appeared to be further evidence of Russia's incursions, which the Kremlin has repeatedly denied.

Read more here...



But do now...


A reminder of the comparative anxiety in bonds and stocks...



  • UKRAINIAN MILITARY SPOKESMAN SAYS UKRAINE FORCES ENGAGED RUSSIAN ARMOURED COLUMN ON UKRAINIAN SOIL AND "PART OF IT NO LONGER EXISTS"
  • UKRAINIAN MILITARY SPOKESMAN SAYS UKRAINIAN FORCES HAD TRACKED RUSSIAN ARMOURED COLUMN AFTER IT CROSSED BORDER INTO UKRAINE
  • RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SAYS UKRAINIAN FORCES ENGAGING IN INTENSE FIGHTING IN EASTERN UKRAINE TO STOP HUMANITARIAN AID TO THE REGION
The result...

The Ruble snapped lower but is recovering..

But stocks knew better?
Chart: bloomberg

Someone Is Lying: Russia Defense Ministry Says There Was No Military Column In East Ukraine




Russia Responds: Ukraine Statement On Convoy "Provocation", Seeks To Aggravate Conflict, Drag In Russia

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-15/russia-responds-ukraine-statement-convoy-provocation-seeks-aggravate-conflict-drag-r

All morning we have been waiting for some Russian response to the announced, if so far unconfirmed, attacked by Ukraine on a Russian "military convoy". We got it moments ago. From Bloomberg:
  • UKRAINE SEEKS TO AGGRAVATE CONFLICT, DRAG IN RUSSIA: ZAKHAROVA
  • RUSSIA FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESWOMAN ZAKHAROVA COMMENTS BY PHONE
  • UKRAINE'S STATEMENTS ON ARMED CONVOY `PROVOCATION': ZAKHAROVA
And remember what we said not even an hour ago"as a reminder this is first and foremost a war of relentless propaganda on all sides", well Russia seems to agree:
  • UKRAINE'S REPORT ON CONVOY PART OF INFORMATION WAR: ZAKHAROVA

Time for the CIA to unleash the YouTube clips. And while we are waiting, perhaps Ukraine can finally release those MH-17 air traffic control recordings its secret police confiscated a month ago, and which the entire world forgot about?

Russia Responds: Ukraine Ukraine President Issues Statement On "Elimination" Of Russian Convoy By Ukraine Artillery

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-15/ukraine-president-issues-statement-elimination-russian-convoy-ukraine-artillery

From the official website of the presidency of Ukraine

President of Ukraine and Prime Minister of Great Britain discussed international efforts on the settlement of the conflict in the Donbas

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko had a phone conversation with Prime Minister of Great Britain David Cameron.

The parties coordinated their actions on the response to the information regarding the entry of Russian military machines to the territory of Ukraine that has been clearly witnessed by international journalists, particularly of "Guardian" 
newspaper. The President informed that the given information was trustworthy and confirmed because the majority of that machines had been eliminated by the Ukrainian artillery at night.

The British Prime Minister once again reaffirmed his strong and gradual support to Ukraine and the actions of the President. He also asked about the issue on humanitarian assistance for Luhansk. The President informed on recent developments. He stressed that the Ukrainian part of the international humanitarian assistance in the framework of the Red Cross mission was on its way to Luhansk.

The President expressed concern over the situation on the border, particularly, over the fact that the inflow of Russian arms and military machines in Ukraine through the open part of the border continued.

The parties discussed international efforts for the dialogue on the possibility to settle the situation in the Donbas and the prospects of enhancing military-technical cooperation.

David Cameron informed that Great Britain was ready to provide financial assistance to Ukraine in the framework of the UN humanitarian assistance.



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