Chinese
Power Consumption Crashes: Lowest Growth In 16 Months, Tumbles 10% In
Shanghai, As Much As 22% Elsewhere
When
it comes to Chinese (or any other in these
centrally-planned, fabricated days)
economic data, there is GDP and then there is reality. And as
the current
premier of China himself has admitted, there is no more
accurate indicator of real, not bullshit "growth", than
China's monthly power consumption. It is here that another rather
massive divergence from China's official data (which has the world
believe China GDP rose 7.5% in Q2) has appeared.
According
to Economic Information Daily, power
consumption in Shanghai and Jiangsu fell by more than 10% y/y in
July, compared with double-digit growth a year ago, sources
said. And it gets worse: other provinces, including Zhejiang, Anhui,
Hubei, Hunan and Guizhou, reported a power consumption declines of up
to 22 percentage points. One
could almost say the Ukraine ministry of YouTube clips has been put
in charge of China's GDP calculation.
As
Market News adds, the National Energy Administration said power
consumption rose 3.0% y/y in July, down from June's +5.9%, marking
the lowest level of growth in 16 months.
Ouyang
Changyu, a senior official with the China Electricity Council, said
this indicates a weak industrial performance. Just in case it wasn't
clear of course. He forecast power consumption to rise 3% to 4% in
the third quarter, versus +5.3% in the first half, and that the
government will step up policy support for economy in the second half
of the year.
Which
simply means that as
we reported, the only reason for the recent surge in the Shanghai
Composite in July was not bets on some renewed economic growth, which
clearly does not exist, but because the PBOC joined its western
central-planning peers in directly injecting outside money, read QE,
in banks which is then used to levitate stocks higher, a la the S&P,
in attempts to boost consumer confidence and "trickle down"
the wealth of the 1%... which as the US has shown for the past 6
years, has failed miserably as the one and only backup strategy the
central banks have left, after which only Bernanke's infamous
monetary paradrop remains.
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