The question is if there will be a "black Monday", either in the Asian markets or on Wall Street.
* * *
Dow leaps nearly 300 points but ends week sharply lower
Stocks
ended sharply higher after a volatile trading session Friday but
still posted sharp losses for the week as traders fretted over rising
interest rates, high technology valuations and worries about a
possible economic slowdown.
The
Dow gained 287 points, led by a 4.7 percent surge in Visa. The S&P
500 jumped 1.4 percent as the tech sector surged 3.2 percent. The
Nasdaq outperformed, surging 2.3 percent.
Despite
the strong gains Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the week
down by more than 4 percent, while the Nasdaq posted a 3.7 percent
weekly loss.
Global
Markets Dump $6 Trillion As "Loco" Fed & Trade Turmoil
Spark Panic
12
October, 2018
What's
$6 trillion between friends? "Everybody else was buying so I
followed in their tracks..."
Global
Capital Markets aggregate 'wealth' collapsed in the last two
weeks... (bonds
first, then stocks)...
79
of 94 global equity indices ended the week red...
China
started badly and ended worse -
biggest weekly loss since Jan 2016...
European
stocks were a bloodbath, closing
on their lows this week (second worst week since Jan 2016) at the
lowest since Jan 2017...Italy was worst on the week (and is now in a
bear market)
US
equity markets were clubbed like baby seals...
Catching
down to the rest of the world...
But
a late Friday afternoon bounce flattered them in the end (see you
Sunday night)...
It
wouldn't be 'Murica if we closed red on a Friday...all of which lines
up the perfect narrative that this confirms the worst is over
Take
your pick of the headlines:
- *S&P 500, DOW AVERAGE, NASDAQ 100 END WORST WEEK SINCE MARCH
- *S&P 500 RALLIES 1.4% FOR BIGGEST GAIN SINCE APRIL
- *NASDAQ 100 SURGES 2.8% IN BEST RALLY SINCE MARCH
All
US equity sectors were red on the week led
by Materials and Industrials (and Financials floundered today despite
the earnings)...Utes outperformed (but were still down 1.7%)
On
the month so far, it's carnage:
- Nasdaq 100 is on course for the worst month since Nov 2008
- Small Caps are on course for the worst month since September 2011
- S&P is on course for the worst month since August 2015 (China Deval)
All
the major US equity indices ramped back up to their 200DMAs...
(Russell well below, Dow to its 100DMA)
Interestingly,
Value/Growth ended almost unchanged on the week...
FANGs
were down on the week, but bounced today...
Small
Caps joined Transports in the red YTD...
Tech,
Consumer Discretionary, and Healthcare all together at the top as
best performers of the year (but well off the highs) - all other
sectors are red for 2018 with Materials worst...
US
Equity breadth is a disaster...
VIX
spiked almost 9 vols on the week - the biggest weekly jump since
March, doubling since 10/3 as the curve massively inverts...
And
the Put-Call Ratio is spiking...
HY
Bonds were right... again!
Corporate
bond breadth was also a catastrophe this week... as new 52-week lows
spike in IG and HY...
Away
from the bloodbath in stocks, bonds were notably bid... (maybe they
just needed that day off on Monday?)
With
10Y Yields dropping most in 5 months (after last week's biggest yield
rise since Nov 2016)...
The
yield curve flattened notably on the week...
The
Dollar Index fell on the week (after two straight weeks higher)
But
remains rangebound..
China
fixed the yuan lower every day this week, clearly signaling something
to Trump, as yesterday's epic spike in Yuan roundtripped today..
Crypros
were not spared from the carnage - dumping on Wednesday night when
Asia opened (and KRW plunged)...
Black
Gold was battered (global growth/demand and inventories) as Yellow
Gold surged...
WTI
Crude had its worst week since May, testing down to a $70 handle...
Oil
tracked stocks - simple
Gold
just had its best two-week gain since January...
Silver
did not managed new highs...
Gold
in Yuan remains well managed...
* * *
What
does it mean when the most systemically important banks in the world
are down 26% from their highs and accelerating lower?
Is
this it?
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