Tuesday, 15 December 2015

Oil sinks below $35

Bullshit across the board from the Telegraph to RT. An 'oil glut' and the economy is in fine fettle - lol

Oil sinks below $35 as the plunge continues
WTI hits a new six-year low while Brent continues to sink


14 December, 2015


Oil fell below $35 a barrel in New York for the first time since 2009 as Iran reiterated its pledge to boost crude exports, bolstering speculation Opec members will exacerbate the global oversupply.

WTI for January delivery fell as much as 95 cents to $34.67 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $34.80 at 11:46am GMT. The volume of all futures traded was 35pc above the 100-day average.

Brent for January settlement dropped as much as $1.31, or 3.5pc, at $36.62 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange, the lowest since December 26, 2008. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of $1.93 to WTI.


There’s “absolutely no chance” Iran will delay its plan to increase shipments even as prices decline, said Amir Hossein Zamaninia, the nation’s deputy oil minister for international and commerce affairs.

while speculators increased bets on falling US crude prices to an all-time high after the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries effectively abandoned production limits.

Tehran, Iran

Sanctions lift on Iran early next year

The supply glut will persist at least until late 2016 as demand growth slows and Opec shows “renewed determination” to maximise output, according to the International Energy Agency.

Gloom nourishes gloom,” said Eugen Weinberg, head of commodities research at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “The market is fully acknowledging that Opec is no longer in price-control mode or providing a floor, and that the group is unlikely to change that strategy any time soon.”

US Exports


In the US, Senate negotiators are nearing a deal to allow unfettered crude oil exports for the first time in 40 years, though differences remain on renewable-energy tax credits that Democrats are demanding in return, according to people close to the discussions.

While any agreement could still collapse in the coming days — the deal faces opposition in the House — lawmakers are weighing the extension of solar and wind tax credits for as long as five years in exchange for lifting the crude-export restrictions, which were established to counter the energy shortages of the 1970s.


Iran, which expects international sanctions over its nuclear programme to be lifted by the first week of January, has already secured customers for its planned supply expansion, Mr Zamaninia said in an interview in Tehran. The government is also preparing to offer oil and natural gas contracts to investors. The country pumped 2.8 million barrels a day last month, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Opec, which set aside its output quota at a meting on December 4, is displaying hardened resolve to maintain sales, the IEA said in its monthly report last week.

While the group’s strategy has affected other producers, triggering the steepest fall in non-Opec supply since 1992, world oil inventories will probably swell further once Iran restores exports, the Paris- based energy adviser predicted.

Ruble back to Black Monday lows on crude prices collapse


© Dado Ruvic

RT,
14 December, 2015

The Russian ruble has dropped to its lowest exchange against the major currencies since the August 24 collapse, dubbed Black Monday. A plunge in global crude prices triggered the ruble's all.

At its lowest point, the Russian currency was trading at more than 71 rubles to the dollar and over 78 against the euro.


Russian ruble, markets recovering from ’s historic low

Embedded image permalink

The Russian stock market traded lower Monday on the falling ruble and oil. The dollar-denominated RTS Index was down more than two percent as of 3:30pm GMT. The ruble-traded MICEX was less than one percent in the red.

Crude prices plunged to their lowest level since 2009 on global oversupply and OPEC's decision not to cut record output. Brent crude fell to less than $37 a barrel while the US benchmark WTI fell below $35 per barrel.

After the IMF downgraded its global economy forecast, Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said crude could slump to $30 per barrel in 2016 and could stay at that level throughout the year.


Currency clash: Yuan depreciation triggers wave of copycat moves from other countries

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2:17 PM - 24 Aug 2015

"This suggests the demand for oil will also fall. The volume of oil reserves is large. Iran will return to the global market with one to one and a half million barrels per day - everything suggests that low oil prices will dominate next year," Siluanov told TASS.

The Russian government is likely to adjust its 2016 budget, which currently relies on oil at $50 a barrel and an exchange rate of 63.3 rubles to the US dollar.
Deputy Finance Minister Maxim Oreshkin said Russia is drawing up plans based on the oil price fluctuating between $40 and $60 until at least 2022.


A bit of nonsense from RT's guest




Crude falls below $35 a barrel for first time since 2009


WEEKEND ECONOMIC GLANCE, DEC. 7-13


Reports have surface during the last weak that pain a dark future for Saudi Arabia’s domestic economy. Russia has turned heads in the West by announcing the introduction of a Russian futures market for oil. Meanwhile Turkey is hit hard by capital flight and increased downward pressure for the country’s currency as Syria struggles for new sources of revenue to replace the oil and gas business in the short-term. 

Weekend-Economic-Glance_7-13_12
Written by Frank Jakob exclusively for SouthFront

McKinsey consulting firm sees bleak future for Saudi Arabia. McKinsey released a report in which it assesses Saudi Arabia’s future prospect regarding its domestic job market. The report with the title Saudi Arabia beyond oil deals particularly with the effect that the demographic development is having on the unemployment rate. The authors argue that at least 4.5 million new working-age Saudis are expected to enter the domestic labor market in fifteen years, however, the country lacks the resources to create so many jobs, which would result in a jobless rate of 20 percent by 2030. The fundamental reason blamed for the lack of funds of the Saudi state is the loss in revenue from the export of oil, the authors state. This goes in line with predictions by the IMF which foresee Saudi bankruptcy by 2020 should the spending policies not be changed drastically.

Russia to introduce own oil benchmark to end “Wetstern Dominance” on futures market. German business newspaper Finanzmarktwelt has released an article in which it deals with the newly announced Russian oil futures market. So far there are only two markets like this in the world, in News York and in London. Even though the United States is a minor oil exporter on the global market, its Brent index “virtually controls 70 percent of global oil trading”, the authors write. Russian-produced Urals and Espo oil has a much stronger presence on the oil market but no futures market free of Western meddling. “It is clear that Russia wants to get rid of the system which allows for oil prices to be set by London or Dubai,” is the conclusion of the article. The West has been repeatedly accused by members of the BRICS-states of manipulating the oil and gold markets to its advantage. Earlier this year China announced the formation of a gold bullion market to rival its counterpart in London and to stop the manipulation on the global market.

Turkey hit by massive capital flight. Investors seem to have lost hope for the Turkish economy and have continued to withdraw their investments from the country. As a result the Turkish Lira saw its biggest annual fall since the world economic crisis in 2008. So far investors have withdrawn $ 7.6 billion dollars from the country, $ 1.4 billion alone after Moscow and Ankara had a cool down of relations. Unlike Russia, Turkey is particularly vulnerable to shifts in investor feelings due to its enormous debt. Should the US Fed really decide to increase its rates in the near future then Turkey will face the next crisis. Meanwhile Per Hammarlund, chief emerging markets strategist at SEB in Stockholm predicts a continuation of the fall of the Lira in December by another 3.7 percent.

Syria to introduce tax hikes to finance reconstruction. The Syrian state has introduced several new taxes and increased already existing ones in a bid to counter losses of revenues from the oil and gas business. Sandwich tax, broadcast tax, electricity tax, lots of areas of daily life have been affected by the move. Meanwhile Moscow has offered Syria to replace Turkey as Russia’s main supplier for citrus fruit, which would include around 700.000 tons of mostly oranges, an offer that was happily received in Damascus.


The Nikkei fell 3% at the opening bell in Tokyo while the continued depreciation of the yuan added to fears that the economy is weaker than expected

Asian stocks have fallen sharply and the Chinese currency hit fresh four-year lows as concern about crude oil prices and an expected US rate rise by the Federal Reserve later this week kept investors on edge.

European markets seemed likely to follow suit after the People’s Bank of China on Monday continued guiding the yuan lower, setting official trading midpoint with the US dollar at its weakest since July 2011.

China’s decision to loosen its grip on the yuan and allow slow but steady depreciation in recent weeks has added to concerns that the world’s second-biggest economy may be more fragile than expected.


The propaganda says the economy is just fine but there is a 'glut' in the oil market (along with every commodity, I guess)

Gerald Celente cuts throught some of the bullshit


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