I could have said at least as much as NIWA , simply on the basis of the ocean temperatures.
What goes completely unspoken is that we are in a la-Nina which "normally" brings wetter cooler weather.
Just wait for the next el-Nino conditions.
What goes completely unspoken is that we are in a la-Nina which "normally" brings wetter cooler weather.
Just wait for the next el-Nino conditions.
NZ forecast for warmer than usual summer
1
November, 2017
Summer's
on the way and this year, the heat is ramping up.
A
preliminary forecast shows above-average temperatures for most of the
country over summer, NIWA forecaster Chris Brandolino told the AM
Show.
"The
reason we have high confidence it's going to be warmer than average
temperatures, [is] the ocean temperatures are higher than average
around New Zealand, and north-easterly winds.
"Will
there be cold snaps? Of course there will be.
"Rainfall
[is] a bit more mixed. The northern and eastern part of the North
Island we think that rainfall will likely be near normal or above
normal so Tauranga up to Northland.
"For
the west of the South Island we think that rain will be near normal
or below normal."
The
South Island will be on watch after October came in as one of the
driest months on record.
Queenstown,
Cromwell and Wanaka all received less than 6mm of rainfall, the
second lowest for each in the past six decades at least.
For
the North Island, this summer could bring more humid days than usual.
The
official summer outlook will be released in one month.
I imagine Australia will be hot again
ReplyDeleteagain due Hot Desert and Warm Water Coastal Conditions
Also of note are warmer than normal temperatures near Antartica
look at antarctica
ReplyDelete