Hezbollah flips the script and says that Israel does the “Red Prince’s” bidding
Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah gave Mohammed Bin Salman the dishonorable distinction of supposedly being able to control Iran’s hated Zionist foe, which is the clearest signal yet that Tehran considers the “Red Prince” to be an unprecedented threat to the Islamic Republic.
Andrew
Korybko
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Hezbollah flips the script and says that Israel does the “Red Prince’s” bidding
Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah gave Mohammed Bin Salman the dishonorable distinction of supposedly being able to control Iran’s hated Zionist foe, which is the clearest signal yet that Tehran considers the “Red Prince” to be an unprecedented threat to the Islamic Republic.
Andrew
Korybko
10
November, 2017
It’s
no secret that Iran and Saudi Arabia hate one another for reasons
that are too numerous to describe in the course of this analysis,
though which have been exploited by both the US and Israel to their
collective divide-and-rule ends, so in and of itself there’s
nothing strange about Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan
Nasrallah trash-talking Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman,
though this time the polemics were unprecedented because of the
stunning role reversal that they represent.
Instead
of Saudi Arabia being under the control of Israel, Nasrallah implied
that it’s actually Israel which is under the control of the
Kingdom’s “Red Prince” when he spoke about how Riyadh is trying
to incite Tel Aviv to attack Lebanon by bribing it with billions of
dollars, some of which it could be assumed might come from the
upwards of $800 billion in assets that Mohammed Bin Salman might
seize from his country’s oligarchs.
Hezbollah
has a reputation for being accurate and sincere with its statements,
so it shouldn’t be dismissed that what Nasrallah just warned about
might actually be on the brink of happening if Riyadh and Tel Aviv
are indeed holding talks on this scenario, though he added that he
doesn’t think that Israel will ultimately go through with it
because of the high price that it would pay if it did.
In
any case, what’s important to dwell on is that Hezbollah — and by
extent, it can logically be presumed Iran, as well — believes that
the 32-year-old future King holds tremendous power in being able to
control the group’s hated Zionist foe, unlike his predecessors who
it was claimed (and convincingly seen) acted on its behalf.
Given
that Nasrallah isn’t known for being careless with his words, one
should accept that there is a very serious message that Hezbollah and
its Iranian ally intend to send to all of their Resistance supporters
by saying this, and it’s namely that the “Red Prince” is one of
the most dangerous threats to the world.
Mohammed
Bin Salman did indeed commence the disastrous War on Yemen that’s
already claimed over 10,000 lives and consequently contributed to one
of the world’s worst ongoing humanitarian crises, and he also has
obscene amounts of blood on his hands for his clandestine involvement
in the War on Syria since becoming the Saudi Defense Minister in
early 2015, but up until now he was always considered as a Zionist
tool and in no sense capable of controlling actors as powerful as
Netanyahu.
What’s
changed in the years since is that the “Red Prince” just
undertook an unparalleled power grab over the weekend in centralizing
his authority over the country and cunningly overcoming the divided
decision-making process of the Kingdom’s royal court by jailing the
most influential members of his family and the Saudi oligarchy who
oppose him on the pretext of an anti-corruption campaign, all with
the full support of the national security services.
Iran
considers this to be a disturbing change in the regional balance of
power because it removes all prior “checks and balances” to Saudi
activity abroad by placing Riyadh’s foreign and military policies
solely in the hands of the “Red Prince”, thus making the country
an even more formidable adversary in the sense that it now has the
potential to act decisively if the choice is made.
Not
only does this mean that Saudi Arabia could behave more
unpredictably, but that there’s less of a chance that any of
Tehran’s traditional efforts to dissuade Riyadh with its credible
deterrence will succeed, because they no longer have to convince just
a couple of influential and easily impressionable princes out of
several hundred of them that Iran means business in order to disrupt
Saudi Arabia’s decision-making capability and give it second
thoughts about whatever it might be planning to do, but Iran now
faces the much more difficult challenge of only swaying the
notoriously stubborn Mohammed Bin Salman if it hopes to ever restrain
Riyadh in the future.
Having
said that, it appears at this moment that it’s a lot
less likely that the “Red Prince” will carry through on his
regional threats against
Iran and its interests because it’s so important for him right now
to concentrate on securing his power grab and ensuring the continued
loyalty of the military and security services, which is why a lot of
what Mohammed Bin Salman says right now should be considered as
internally directed and nothing more than a young firebrand letting
off a lot of hot air.
What
the “Red Prince” really wants to do is revolutionize his Kingdom
by taking it out of feudalism and into the future through a
combination of socio-economic and religious reforms initiated by his
Vision 2030 public works project, a large chunk of which it can be
assumed could end up being funded by seized oligarchic assets (hence
his sobriquet), and it’s this long-term desire to correct Saudi
Arabia’s structural weaknesses that Iran sees as the most
destabilizing development in upsetting the regional balance of power.
Instead
of continuing along its downward trajectory and eventually imploding
in an orgy of extremist, sectarian, and generational violence as oil
funds dry up and the Kingdom’s many domestic problems become
unmanageable, Iran would have to possibly contend with a much
stronger enemy than it had previously imagined if the “Red
Prince’s” “revolution” is successful, which is still a big if
and could conceivably be offset in the timeframe that it needs for
making tangible progress.
It’s
for these reasons why Iran and its Hezbollah ally see Mohammed Bin
Salman as such a threat and handed him the dishonorable distinction
of supposedly being able to control Israel, with the expectation that
this dramatic message could convey to their Resistance supporters
just how serious of a long-term threat the “Red Prince” is to
their regional vision of peace and stability in the Mideast.
On
the other hand, this message might be interpreted by Iran’s
American and Israeli enemies as confirmation of Mohammed Bin Salman’s
future geopolitical potential, and therefore prompt them to support
him even more than before, which is important to keep in mind since
it might be what’s needed for the US “deep state” to put aside
its discomfiture over his game-changing Great Power partnerships with
China and Russia in throwing their full support behind the “Red
Prince” as the ultimate anti-Iranian counterweight for “containing”
the Islamic Republic.
DISCLAIMER:
The author writes for this publication in a private capacity which is
unrepresentative of anyone or any organization except for his own
personal views. Nothing written by the author should ever be
conflated with the editorial views or official positions of any other
media outlet or institution.
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