has raised its military readiness on the whole Lebanese territory in
the last few days and put its forces on high alert in the light of
the threats it has received from a number of countries, and
especially from Israel and Saudi Arabia. Hezbollah forces have been
mobilised in the event of any hostile activity on the borders or in
the country, notwithstanding the ongoing conviction of its leadership
that Israel will not wage war in the near or distant future.
to well informed sources, Hezbollah fears the possible assassination
of a well-known Lebanese figure, Sunni or Christian, similar to the
assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri in 2005.
The aim would be to re-mix the cards on the Lebanese scene, accuse
Hezbollah and to embarrass President Michel Aoun.
has raised the challenge against Riyadh during the recent events
related to the televised resignation of Prime Minister Saad Hariri,
and he has accused Saudi Arabia of holding Hariri as a hostage (for
more than two weeks), defining the Prime Minister’s submission to
this act as “unconstitutional and illegitimate.”
Hezbollah, in coordination with Iran, has issued orders not to
transfer weapons sent to it from Iran via Syria to Lebanon for
clearly motivated reasons:
There is no longer a reason to store weapons in Lebanon because the
Lebanese-Syrian front has become united. Hezbollah needs to maintain
accurate and long-range missiles in Syria, confirming what Hezbollah
Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and Syrian President Bashar
Assad have said, that “Syria is one front against Israel in the
Hezbollah’s weapons stores in Lebanon are full, its warehouses are
overflowing. Hezbollah therefore could maintain a long war if Israel
did decide to attack Lebanon, and has the capability of launching
hundreds of rockets and missiles daily.
is clear that President Bashar al-Assad has emerged stronger from the
war that has been going on for more than six years. His thinking is
now orientated towards the Israeli threat, to tune in with Hezbollah
and to assure Saudi Arabia and Israel that Hezbollah will not be left
alone in any future battle because the front from Naqoura to the
Golan is now united. Assad is determined and able to respond to any
Israeli violation following the total defeat of the “Islamic State”
in all the Syrian cities.
Assad has lived with and survived the war and has learned to accept
losses: during the hard days of the war, the number of soldiers
killed reached hundreds in some battles. The Syrian leadership is in
a better position to accept the consequences of any future war with
Israel as long as the goals are reached despite the sacrifices
Assad will not be alone facing any future attack on Hezbollah. There
are thousands of fighters in Syria from neighbouring countries, at
the request of the Syrian government. These shall certainly not be
neutral in the next war with Israel if it should happen.
will be careful not to provoke directly the United States in the next
war with Israel, but it will give a free hand to the Syrian
resistance if the US decides to occupy north-east Syria.
presence of Russian troops in the Levant may not allow all
belligerents to be dragged into a large war with multiple frontiers
and certainly not a third world war. Israel is so far giving signs
that its forces are aware of the future danger and won’t be dragged
into a war in the region despite Saudi Arabia’s financial offers
and support. The Saudis were responsible for kidnapping the Lebanese
Prime Minister Saad Hariri (has been released today), aiming to
present Lebanon as more vulnerable, inviting Israel, in vain, to
attack what the Kingdom defines as the “arms of Iran” in the
has no agreement with Israel on anything related to the presence of
the Iranian forces and its loyalists in Syria and particularly on the
borders with Israel. The Kremlin is not negotiating and disposing of
Syrian soil because these matters concern the Syrian government,
which intends to recover the occupied Golan after the end of the ISIS
threat and al-Qaeda, the Takfiri extremists, in Syria.
Arabia renewed power ploy in the Middle East is likely to more than
meet its match because it seriously underestimates Hezbollah as an
effective outreach of Iran.