Many thanks to Desdemona Despair
Fish stocks declining worldwide as phytoplankton at base of food web die off
For
anyone paying attention, it's no secret there's a lot of weird stuff
going on in the oceans right now. We've got a monster El Nino looming
in the Pacific. Ocean acidification is prompting
hand wringing among
oyster lovers. Migrating fish populations have caused
tensions between
countries over fishing rights. And fishermen say they're
seeing unusual
patterns in
fish stocks they haven't seen before.
Researchers
now have more grim news to add to the mix. An analysis published
Monday in the Proceedings
of the National Academy of Sciences finds
that the ability of fish populations to reproduce and replenish
themselves is declining across the globe.
"This,
as far as we know, is the first global-scale study that documents the
actual productivity of fish stocks is in decline," says lead
author Gregory L.
Britten, a doctoral student at the University of California,
Irvine.
Britten
and some fellow researchers looked at data from a global database of
262 commercial fish stocks in dozens of large marine ecosystems
across the globe. They say they've identified a pattern of decline in
juvenile fish (young fish that have not yet reached reproductive age)
that is closely tied to a decline in the amount of phytoplankton, or
microalgae, in the water.
"We
think it is a lack of food availability for these small fish,"
says Britten. "When fish are young, their primary food is
phytoplankton and microscopic animals. If they don't find food in a
matter of days, they can die."
The
worst news comes from the North Atlantic, where the vast majority of
species, including Atlantic cod, European and American plaice, and
sole are declining. In this case, Britten says historically heavy
fishing may also play a role. Large fish, able to produce the
biggest, most robust eggs, are harvested from the water. At the same
time, documented declines of phytoplankton made it much more
difficult for those fish stocks to bounce back when they did
reproduce, despite
aggressive fishery management efforts, says Britten.
When
the researchers looked at plankton and fish reproduction declines in
individual ecosystems, the results varied. In the North Pacific —
for example, the Gulf of Alaska — there were no significant
declines. But in other regions of the world, like Australia and South
America, it was clear that the lack of phytoplankton was the
strongest driver in diminishing fish populations.
"When
you averaged globally, there was a decline," says Britten.
"Decline in phytoplankton was a factor in all species. It was a
consistent variable."
And
it's directly linked to climate change: Change in ocean temperature
affects the phytoplankton population, which is impacting fish stocks,
he says.
Food
sources for fish in their larval stage were also a focus
of research published
earlier this summer by Rebecca
Asch, now a post-doctoral research associate at Princeton
University. Asch studied data from 1951 to 2008 on 43 species of fish
collected off the Southern California coast and found that many fish
have changed the season when they spawn. When fish spawned too early
or too late in the season, there can be less plankton available to
them, shrinking their chance of survival. She calls it a "mismatch"
between when the fish spawn and when seasonal plankton blooms.
Knowing
just how vulnerable our fisheries are to potential climate change is
on the radar of NOAA Fisheries. The agency has put together a Fish
Stock Climate Vulnerability Assessment report expected to be
released in early 2016. And like many things associated with climate
change, there will be winners and losers.
Jon
Hare is the oceanography branch chief for NOAA Fisheries' Northeast
Fisheries Science Center and a lead researcher on the agency's
assessment. He says they looked at 82 fish and invertebrate species
in the Northeast. About half of the species, including Atlantic cod,
were determined to be negatively impacted by climate change in the
Northeast U.S. Approximately 20 percent of the species are likely to
be positively impacted—like the Atlantic croaker. The remainder
species were considered neutral.
Similar
assessments are underway in the California Current and the Bering
Sea, and eventually in all of the nation's large marine ecosystems.
"This
is where the idea of ecosystem-based management comes in. It's not
only fishing that is impacting these resources," says Hare. "We
need to take a more holistic view of these resources and include that
in our management."
Britten
says the fact that productivity of a fishery can change should be an
eye-opener for fisheries management.
"It's
no longer just pull back on fishing and watch the stock rebound. It's
also a question of monitoring and understanding the ability of stocks
to rebound, and that's what we demonstrated in this study. The
rebound potential is affected as well," says Britten.
Abstract
Marine
fish and invertebrates are shifting their regional and global
distributions in response to climate change, but it is unclear
whether their productivity is being affected as well. Here we tested
for time-varying trends in biological productivity parameters across
262 fish stocks of 127 species in 39 large marine ecosystems and
high-seas areas (hereafter LMEs). This global meta-analysis revealed
widespread changes in the relationship between spawning stock size
and the production of juvenile offspring (recruitment), suggesting
fundamental biological change in fish stock productivity at early
life stages. Across regions, we estimate that average recruitment
capacity has declined at a rate approximately equal to 3% of the
historical maximum per decade. However, we observed large variability
among stocks and regions; for example, highly negative trends in the
North Atlantic contrast with more neutral patterns in the North
Pacific. The extent of biological change in each LME was
significantly related to observed changes in phytoplankton
chlorophyll concentration and the intensity of historical overfishing
in that ecosystem. We conclude that both environmental changes and
chronic overfishing have already affected the productive capacity of
many stocks at the recruitment stage of the life cycle. These results
provide a baseline for ecosystem-based fisheries management and may
help adjust expectations for future food production from the oceans.
Here is a note on Facebook from Kevin Hester with more references in his comments section
Phytoplankton and our dying Oceans ...... More links in the comments section.
Kevin
Hester
1
January 2015 at 11:46
"Just
like trees and plants on Earth's surface, phytoplankton take up
nutrients and carbon, which are processed and released as organic
matter that sinks to the ocean's
subsurface."
We
learned many things about the ocean this year. Unfortunately, most of
them are things we’ve learned before: Sea levels are rising,
overfishing is destroying the seafood market and plastic is
everywhere. Unfortunately, most of the new things we learned were
even less appetizing…
“We
continue to be stunned at how rapidly the ocean is warming.”
—
Sarah
Gille, Scripps Institution of Oceanography
---"During
2014, as rising ocean heat fueled planetary temperature records, and
as it continued to eat away at Antarctic ice, scientists discovered
that the oceans have been warming far more quickly than anybody had
realized—and doing so for decades...
Using
float data, scientists recalibrated sparse historical measurements
and estimates of ocean warming, concluding that the upper 2,700 feet
of the world’s oceans had warmed by between a quarter and a half
more than had previously been realized. The largest discrepancies
with existing data were discovered in the Southern Hemisphere...
There, it appears that ocean warming has been occurring at twice the
previously-understood rate."
In
25 yrs of ocean sailing on yachts, I have watched our oceans die. In
that time the oceans have heated, become oxygen depleted and have
acidified.In the last 2 decades we have lost close to 50 % of the
phyto-plankton in our oceans which is the basis of the ocean food web
supplying over half of the food for the 7 billion plus people on this
planet.As we approach the 4th anniversary of the triple meltdown at
Fukushima Daiichi and 300 tons of radioactive water that we know of
continues to spew into the ocean every single day, while airborne
radionuclides pour into the atmosphere above the plant only to be
deposited onto land and then washed into the oceans with rain, we
face the perfect storm of an alphabet soup of radionuclides mixing
with the hypoxia and acidification. If it weren't for near term
human extinction taking place due to abrupt climate change, Fukushima
Daiichi would have become an extinction event on its own. Now the two
will combine and launch an unassailable attack on our biosphere
guaranteeing the extinction of most life on this planet.More great
work by Troy Livingston.Sadly I have another entry in my 'Note' on
our dying oceans;
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-d-wGf58nU8#t=130 http://jirving.com/2015/01/22/climate-changes-evil-twin-has-nausea-inducing-implications/
Our
oceans are dying from the perfect storm of global warming induced
hypoxia, acidification, over fishing, general pollution and 300 tons
of radioactive water from Fukushima Daiichi pouring into the Pacific
now for 1400 days.
Phyto-plankton
is the basis of the marine food web which feeds half of the worlds
population. We lose the phyto-plankton and coupled with population
overshoot we have famine. When I come across reports about
the escalating real-world impacts of ocean acidification, sometimes
described as climate change’s ‘Evil Twin’, they often actually
cause me to feel nauseous.
Unchecked
ocean acidification, due to our oceans absorbing some 24% of
the 36 billion metric tonnes of carbon dioxide pollution
human activity emits annually, is a dire threat to the entire
food web of our oceans.
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