Europe Awakes To Sea Of CDS Redness
30 January, 2012
With a Greek default imminent, and this time ISDA having no chance to kill CDS as a hedging mechanism as the trigger event will be more than present, investors have once again jumped at the opportunity to close lucrative basis trade opportunities, as a result sending all of Europe broadly red in spread terms.
Notable: Portugal CDS, which contrary to media reports elsewhere has been trading points up front for a few weeks now, just hit a record 40 pts up.
And what is worse is that the 5/10s, which should be inverted for a country as distressed as this, isn't.
5Y 10Y 5/10's Rolls
ITALY 416/426 +21 393/413 -23/-13
SPAIN 368/378 +20 342/362 -20/-10
PORTUGAL 39/40.5 +0.5 41.5/44.5 2.5/5.5
IRELAND 610/640 +5 440/510 -180/-120
GREECE 62/64 0 63/67 0.5/3.5
BELGIUM 238/248 +8 226/246 -14/0
FRANCE 169/174 +6.5 190.5/198.5 19/23
AUSTRIA 170/176 +5 184.5/194.5 14/19
UK 77/81 +2 92/98 14/18
GERMANY 88/91 +4.5 107.5/113.5 18/22
Holy Cow, Portuguese Bonds!
30 January, 2012
Yield on the 10-year going astronomical.
Here's the intraday look. It's now above 17%.
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