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Radio NZ don't need to lie about this – they can just ignore it.
Grab your jandals and get set for a scorching November
2 November, 2018
The next three months are likely to be warmer than average, and it'll kick off with temperatures next week that could hit 30 degrees Celsius or higher.
Niwa
released its climate summary
for November to January
on
Thursday, and if you like it hot, it's looking good.
In
the next 10 days, you can expect warmer than average temperatures -
and that'll be the first round of warmer temperatures.
NIWA
The
air temperature for the whole country is likely to be average or
above average for all of New Zealand in November, December and
January.
Niwa
meteorologist Ben Noll said temperatures of 30 degrees Celsius
or above were possible in some places.
READ
MORE: Wet,
windy weather to dominate the country
"That's
just one round ... that could come in several rounds, not just one,
as we go through the first three weeks of November."
Big changes brewing in the long-range!
From cooler than average now (
) to much warmer than average next week (
). Summer-like! 
) to much warmer than average next week (). Summer-like!
On
the other hand, if you're a farmer, it might not be so sharp -
rainfall over the whole country is expected to be average or below
average.
September and
October were drier than normal, and that trend is expected to
continue for the next three months.
Big
areas of high pressure pushing across the Tasman Sea and New
Zealand will produce a few weak fronts, but not many.
NIWA
Rainfall
for the next three months is likely to be normal or below normal for
the whole country.
El
Nino is almost here, with an 88 per cent chance of it developing over
the next three months.
It's
also likely to be a windier three months than usual.
The atmospheric
circulation around New Zealand for the next three months is forecast
to be characterised by higher pressure than normal around the country
and lower pressure than normal to the southwest.
NIWA
Niwa's
meteorologist Ben Noll and principal scientist Chris Brandolino.
The
circulation pattern is expected to be associated with above average
or near average temperatures for New Zealand, including several very
warm spells during November.
Meanwhile,
above average or near average sea surface temperatures are expected
in coastal waters during the next three months.
NIWA's
Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook indicates
that the risk for New Zealand is near normal.
On
average, at least one ex-tropical cyclone passes within 550
kilometres of New Zealand each year.
AIR
TEMPERATURE:
For
the next three months, temperatures are forecast to be above
average (40-45 per cent chance) or near average (40 per
cent chance) for all regions of New Zealand.
RAINFALL:
Rainfall
totals are forecast to be below normal (35-40 per cent chance)
or near normal (35-40 per cent) for all regions of New Zealand except
for the west of the South Island where near normal rainfall is most
likely (45 per cent chance).
SOIL
MOISTURE AND RIVER FLOW:
Soil
moisture levels and river flows are forecast to be near normal (45
per cent chance) or below normal (40 per cent) for the North
Island and north of the South Island.
For
the west of the South Island, near normal (55 per cent chance)
soil moisture levels and river flows are forecast.
For
the east of the South Island, below normal (50 per cent chance)
soil moisture levels are river flows are forecast.
Why you will NEVER hear the entire truth from NIWA
NIWA
MUZZLED!
Listen
to the following.
The following time represents THE ONLY time something even remotely approaching the truth on climate change as it relates to New Zealand has ever been told
When
asked Brandalino describes the situation as an emergency and says
that warming by carbon emissions Is far more important than factors
like el-Nino.
The
next week Brandalino appeared on Radio NZ , clearly uncomfortable,
hedged and stated that “more researach needed to be done”
It
is as clear as day that Chris Brandalino was hauled over the coals by
his “superiors” and given a stern warning.
From
that day no media outlet, scientist or media outlet has even
mentioned climate change as a possible ‘cause’ - even reaching
the ridiculous point of when they belatedly mentioned the marine
heatwave in the Tasman Sea ascribed it to a la-Nino phenomenon.
At the time I recorded an item on this - below .
See
my item from 29 November, 2016 New
Zealand scientists MUZZLED
At least TV is covering it when Radio NZ ignores it.
Sizzling temperatures set to hit 20s and 30s in coming weeks as El Niño hits New Zealand - NIWA
Get
set for a sizzling November with a warm dry three months ahead.
Source:
1 NEWS
That's
NIWA's three-month outlook, with meteorologist Ben Noll explaining
that New Zealand is "on the cusp of El Niño conditions at this
point", with a big high pressure system set to swoop in.
"It
is going to start off quite warm with some summer like spells over
the coming weeks," Noll said in
a NIWA three-month outlook video.
After
a cooler-than-average September, El Niño had started to bite in the
last week of October. And a high from across the Tasman is
likely to see temperatures soar in coming weeks - well into the 20s
and "30 or warmer" during the first three weeks of
November.
Mr
Noll added our oceans will also be great for swimming with water
temperature warmer than usual for this time of year.
El
Niño had warmed the sea surface temperature "quite
significantly" - after cooler sea temperatures around New
Zealand in September, "it warmed up dramatically" in late
October, a trend he said will continue in November.
If
that holds true, increased sea temperature will likely push air
temperature higher in December.
But
there was a warning for farmers was to plan for the future.
"In
terms of rainfall, we don’t see much of it in the eastern parts of
the country as we go forward," he said. "This is a climate
forecast so it gives you a broad sense of what to expect."
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