Heatwave on its way to New Zealand

NZ: MetService's terrifying map shows heatwave on its way

Here was Brandalino on TV1 last night

Newshub,

26 January, 2019

A map from MetService has shown the terrifying heat on its way to New Zealand, with most of the country sweltering under 30degC temperatures by Thursday.

Hot weather is making its way across the Tasman after Australia suffered a record-breaking heatwave. Some temperatures across the ditch reached the mid-40s.

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The map (above)  shows the country in shades of yellow and green for normal temperatures on Saturday, but dark red hues take over as the forecast temperature rises through the week.

Thursday will be the worst, with most of the country forecast for 30degC. The lowest temperature will be on Stewart Island, at 22degC. Southland is the next closest on 27degC.

MetService warned people should be prepared for some difficulty sleeping as the temperatures won't change much overnight.

"Many towns, especially in the east, will see consecutive 30degC days from Sunday through to the end of the working week, while others will have temperatures in the mid to high twenties.

"The warm, humid air is also going to make for some sultry nights, with overnight minimum temperatures in the high teens, and Nelson, Tauranga and Auckland not even cooling below 20degC for a few nights. Break out the fans!"

NIWA forecaster Chris Brandolino told The AM Show on Friday the weather will raise the chance of fire.

"The fire danger is going to go up. It's going to be difficult sleeping if you don't have the fan or AC," he said.

"This is going to be a prolonged, kind of accumulative event where maximum temperatures in the warmest locations either approach or exceed 35degC."

Newshub.

NIWA presents a report on the NZ climate

RNZ, our national broadcaster is supposed to be on the forefront of things and yet not a peep from them.

They really are climate change deniers in their softpeddling the whole thing and shilling for the “new economy”.

I wouldn’t mind betting the NZ Herald are silent too.

I have to acknowledge Fairfax. It may not be the entire story but THEY ARE COVERING IT.

The Dompost!!!

New Zealand had its hottest summer on record in 2018

Stuff,

8 January, 2019

The national average temperature for New Zealand in 2018 made it the second warmest year on record, NIWA has announced.

Last year's average temperature was equal to that of 1998 and second only to 2016, which still holds the record for the highest temperature. 

That meant four of the past six years were among New Zealand's warmest.

LAWRENCE SMITH/STUFFAucklanders lapped up the summer sun in Mission Bay during the Christmas break.

January kicked off the year with the hottest ever month, which later contributed to the hottest summer.

READ MORE:
* 2018 warmest year on record for New Zealand, says climate scientist
* ​It was officially New Zealand's hottest summer on record
* Extreme January: Our most sweltering month on record​

Principal scientist Chris Brandolino gave the details at the Annual Climate Summary announcement in Auckland on Tuesday.

The year 2018 was part of an alarming warmer trend, he said.

"January was [the] warmest month, of any year on record," he said.

"Six months saw temperature above average, with no months [with] below average temperatures."

'Marine heatwave" contributed to NZ's record-breaking temperatures of 2018 - NIWA

NIWA

Sea surface temperatures around NZ endured a "marine heatwave" in the spring and summer of 2017-18.

The record warmth can be attributed to three factors: Rising ocean temperature, air flow and an increase in greenhouse gases.

"A changing climate is creating a long-term tail wind for higher temperatures," Brandolino said.

A "marine heatwave" was used to describe the sea surface temperatures, which were above average beginning in November 2017 and persisting until February 2018

NIWA

Climate extremes throughout New Zealand for 2018.

Ocean temperatures affect air temperature, which was a big contributor to the warm year also.

Rainfall was also above normal levels across much of the east and upper South Island, as well as in parts of Wellington, Wairarapa, Bay of Plenty, northern Waikato and Auckland.

The sunniest place in New Zealand, for the second time was the wider Nelson region.

.

ALDEN WILLIAMS/STUFF

NIWA principal scientist Chris Brandolino says January in 2018 was the warmest month on

record.

A total of 2555 hours of sunshine during 2018 crowned it the "sunshine king", Brandolino said.

NIWA comes clean about the NZ summer and el-Nino

Radio NZ don't need to lie about this – they can just ignore it.

Grab your jandals and get set for a scorching November

Stuff,

2 November, 2018

The next three months are likely to be warmer than average, and it'll kick off with temperatures next week that could hit 30 degrees Celsius or higher.

Niwa released its climate summary for November to January

on Thursday, and if you like it hot, it's looking good.

In the next 10 days, you can expect warmer than average temperatures - and that'll be the first round of warmer temperatures.

NIWA

The air temperature for the whole country is likely to be average or above average for all of New Zealand in November, December and January.

Niwa meteorologist Ben Noll said temperatures of 30 degrees Celsius or above were possible in some places.

READ MORE: Wet, windy weather to dominate the country

"That's just one round ... that could come in several rounds, not just one, as we go through the first three weeks of November."

NIWA Weather‏ @NiwaWeather

Big changes brewing in the long-range! From cooler than average now () to much warmer than average next week (). Summer-like!

9:11 AM - 31 Oct 2018

On the other hand, if you're a farmer, it might not be so sharp - rainfall over the whole country is expected to be average or below average.

September and October were drier than normal, and that trend is expected to continue for the next three months.

Big areas of high pressure pushing across the Tasman Sea and New Zealand will produce a few weak fronts, but not many.

NIWA

Rainfall for the next three months is likely to be normal or below normal for the whole country.

El Nino is almost here, with an 88 per cent chance of it developing over the next three months.

It's also likely to be a windier three months than usual.

The atmospheric circulation around New Zealand for the next three months is forecast to be characterised by higher pressure than normal around the country and lower pressure than normal to the southwest.

NIWA

Niwa's meteorologist Ben Noll and principal scientist Chris Brandolino.

The circulation pattern is expected to be associated with above average or near average temperatures for New Zealand, including several very warm spells during November.

Meanwhile, above average or near average sea surface temperatures are expected in coastal waters during the next three months.

NIWA's Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook indicates that the risk for New Zealand is near normal.

On average, at least one ex-tropical cyclone passes within 550 kilometres of New Zealand each year.

AIR TEMPERATURE:

For the next three months, temperatures are forecast to be above average (40-45 per cent chance) or near average (40 per cent chance) for all regions of New Zealand.

RAINFALL:

Rainfall totals are forecast to be below normal (35-40 per cent chance) or near normal (35-40 per cent) for all regions of New Zealand except for the west of the South Island where near normal rainfall is most likely (45 per cent chance).

SOIL MOISTURE AND RIVER FLOW:

Soil moisture levels and river flows are forecast to be near normal (45 per cent chance) or below normal (40 per cent) for the North Island and north of the South Island.

For the west of the South Island, near normal (55 per cent chance) soil moisture levels and river flows are forecast.

For the east of the South Island, below normal (50 per cent chance) soil moisture levels are river flows are forecast.

Why you will NEVER hear the entire truth from NIWA

NIWA MUZZLED!

Listen to the following.

The following time represents THE ONLY time something  even remotely approaching the truth on climate change as it relates to New Zealand has ever been told

This interview with Paul Henry (who interviewed Guy McPherson TWICE) at the end of 2016 is the only time in the last 7 years that a New Zealand government scientist has been allowed to speak the truth.

When asked Brandalino describes the situation as an emergency and says that warming by carbon emissions Is far more important than factors like el-Nino.

The next week Brandalino appeared on Radio NZ , clearly uncomfortable, hedged and stated that “more researach needed to be done”

It is as clear as day that Chris Brandalino was hauled over the coals by his “superiors” and given a stern warning.

From that day no media outlet, scientist or media outlet has even mentioned climate change as a possible ‘cause’ - even reaching the ridiculous point of when they belatedly mentioned the marine heatwave in the Tasman Sea ascribed it to a la-Nino phenomenon.

At the time I recorded an item on this - below .

See my item from 29 November, 2016  New Zealand scientists MUZZLED

Listen to "Abrupt climate change in New Zealand and the NZ media" on Spreaker.

At least TV is covering it when Radio NZ ignores it. 

Sizzling temperatures set to hit 20s and 30s in coming weeks as El Niño hits New Zealand - NIWA

Get set for a sizzling November with a warm dry three months ahead.

Source: 1 NEWS

That's NIWA's three-month outlook, with meteorologist Ben Noll explaining that New Zealand is "on the cusp of El Niño conditions at this point", with a big high pressure system set to swoop in.

"It is going to start off quite warm with some summer like spells over the coming weeks," Noll said in a NIWA three-month outlook video.

After a cooler-than-average September, El Niño had started to bite in the last week of October. And a high from across the Tasman is likely to see temperatures soar in coming weeks - well into the 20s and "30 or warmer" during the first three weeks of November.

Mr Noll added our oceans will also be great for swimming with water temperature warmer than usual for this time of year.

El Niño had warmed the sea surface temperature "quite significantly" - after cooler sea temperatures around New Zealand in September, "it warmed up dramatically" in late October, a trend he said will continue in November.

If that holds true, increased sea temperature will likely push air temperature higher in December.

But there was a warning for farmers was to plan for the future.

"In terms of rainfall, we don’t see much of it in the eastern parts of the country as we go forward," he said. "This is a climate forecast so it gives you a broad sense of what to expect."

The last (and only) time the truth on climate change has been told was in November, 2016

NIWA MUZZLED!

 

Listen to the following.

The following time represents THE ONLY time something  even remotely approaching the truth on climate change as it relates to New Zealand has ever been told

This interview with Paul Henry (who interviewed Guy McPherson TWICE) at the end of 2016 is the only time in the last 7 years that a New Zealand government scientist has been allowed to speak the truth.

When asked Brandalino describes the situation as an emergency and says that warming by carbon emissions Is far more important than factors like el-Nino.

The next week Brandalino appeared on Radio NZ , clearly uncomfortable, hedged and stated that “more researach needed to be done”

It is as clear as day that Chris Brandalino was hauled over the coals by his “superiors” and given a stern warning.

From that day no media outlet, scientist or media outlet has even mentioned climate change as a possible ‘cause’ - even reaching the ridiculous point of when they belatedly mentioned the marine heatwave in the Tasman Sea ascribed it to a la-Nino phenomenon.

At the time I recorded an item on this - below .

See my item from 29 November, 2016  New Zealand scientists MUZZLED

Listen to "Abrupt climate change in New Zealand and the NZ media" on Spreaker.