Thursday, 1 November 2018

Focus on Saudi Arabia


Saudi Coup "Imminent" As Crown Prince's Uncle Arrives To Oust "Toxic" MbS

31 October, 2018


The youngest brother of Saudi Arabia's King Salman has returned from self-imposed exile to "challenge" Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) "or find someone who can," reports the Middle East Eye.

Prince Ahmad bin Abdulaziz

Prince Ahmad bin Abdulaziz is reportedly hoping to oust his 33-year-old nephew in the wake of an allegedly state-sanctioned murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. MbS has virtual control over Saudi Arabia after a June 2017 shakeup in which King Salman removed Muhammad bin Nayef as heir apparent. 

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
The septuagenarian prince, an open critic of bin Salman (MBS), has travelled with security guarantees given by US and UK officials.
He and others in the family have realised that MBS has become toxic,” a Saudi source close to Prince Ahmad told Middle East Eye.
"The prince wants to play a role to make these changes, which means either he himself will play a major role in any new arrangement or to help to choose an alternative to MBS." -Middle East Eye

Prince Ahmad has reportedly been meeting with other members of the Saudi royal family living outside the kingdom, along with "figures inside the kingdom" who have encouraged him to usurp his nephew. According to MEE, "there are three senior princes who support Prince Ahmad's move," who remain unnamed to protect their security. 

According to Saudi dissident Prince Khalid Bin Farhan Al Saud, he expects a coup to be orchestrated against King Salman and MbS, as reported by the Middle East Monitorwhich reports that a coup is "imminent." 

"The coming period will witness a coup against the king and the crown prince," said Prince Khalid while commenting on the Khashoggi murder. 

Khashoggi, a 59-year-old Washington Post journalist who had criticized the Crown Prince, was murdered on October 2 after entering the Saudi consulate in Istanbul to obtain paperwork ahead of his upcoming wedding. His body has not been found, but is believed to have been dismembered after he was reportedly choked to death. 

Prince Ahmed bin Abdulaziz, 76, has been living in the UK for several years after serving as Saudi Arabia's deputy minister of interior between 1975 - 2012, and briefly as minister of interior in 2012. Ahmed was seen as a potential candidate to succeed King Salman in the early 2000's, however he was sidelined in March 2014 amid one of several shakeups within the House of Saud. 

On November 4, 2017 bin Salman began arresting as many as 500 Saudi princes, government ministers and businessmen - detaining them in the Ritz-Carlton hotel in Riyadh. Private jets were grounded to prevent people from fleeing, while over 2,000 domestic bank accounts and other assets were frozen as the government targeted up to $800 billion in wealth that was reportedly "linked to corruption." 

Prince Ahmad was protected from the purge, as MbS was unable to touch any sons of King Abdulaziz, founder of the modern Saudi state. 

Standoff with Turkey

As MEE notes, Prince Ahmad's return comes amid a tense standoff between Saudi Arabia and Turkey following the Khashoggi murder. Turkish authorities have demanded to know what happened to the journalist's body and have requested audio of the execuiton rumored to exist. 
In a thinly veiled attack on the crown prince, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Tuesday accused the Saudis of protecting the person responsible for the murder.
A game to save somebody lies beneath this,” Erdogan told reporters following a speech in parliament on Tuesday. “We won’t leave Khashoggi’s murder behind.”
The Turkish president, who outlined some of the investigation into Khashoggi’s murder in an address last week, has promised to reveal more details about the killing but has so far refrained from doing so. -Middle East Eye

Despite Saudi chief prosecutor Saud al-Mojeb and Istanbul's chief prosecutor Ifran Fidan meeting twice over the last several days, no progress has been reported. 
 
Saud al-Mojeb

The Saudis, meanwhile, continue to refuse Turkish investigators access to a well located at the home of the consul-general which lies 500 meters from the consulate. 

So far 18 suspects have been arrested in the murder, 15 of whom were members of a death squad reportedly sent to kill Khashoggi. MbS, meanwhile, has denied any knowledge of the operation which reportedly included five members of his personal security detail - three of whom have accompanied the Crown Prince on high-profile trips to Washington, London and Paris. 

Prince Ahmad's opposition to MbS

The exiled prince has challenged his nephew at least three times, according to MEE
First, in the summer of 2017, when the king's brother was one of three members of the Allegiance Council, a body of senior royals tasked with choosing the succession, to oppose bin Salman’s appointment as crown prince.
Prince Ahmed pointedly did not give an oath of allegiance to his nephew when he was made King Salman's heir.
Second, when Prince Ahmad and King Salman’s brother, Abdelrahman bin Abdulaziz, died last year. Only two pictures were hung at the reception given by Prince Ahmad, that of King Abdulaziz and the current monarch. The crown prince’s portrait was notably missing.
Third, last month, when Prince Ahmad approached Yemeni and Bahraini protesters outside his London home who were calling the al-Sauds a criminal family.

Ahmad told the hecklers that the Saudi royal family as a whole is not responsible for the war in Yemen - just the king and crown prince. 

"They are responsible for crimes in Yemen. Tell Mohammed bin Salman to stop the war," Ahmad told them in Arabic. 


Theresa May out-hawks ‘Mad Dog’ Mattis, refuses to back US calls for Saudi Arabia-Yemen ceasefire

Theresa May out-hawks ‘Mad Dog’ Mattis, refuses to back US calls for Saudi Arabia-Yemen ceasefire

RT,
31 October, 2018

PM Theresa May has refused to back calls from key US figures for a ceasefire in Yemen – where UK ally Saudi Arabia carrying out an air campaign partly with UK bombs – instead backing a ‘de-escalation’ of the conflict.

During PMQs on Wednesday, May was encouraged to back a United Nations resolution that demanded an immediate ceasefire in the war-ravaged country, after the US increased pressure on the Saudi-led coalition and the Houthi rebels.

Protest outside the Saudi Arabian Embassy in London © REUTERS/Henry Nicholls

US Defence Secretary James Mattis said all parties must come to the negotiating table within 30 days, while Mike Pompeo, the US Secretary of State went further, telling them to immediately end the airstrikes.

Asked whether she supports the fresh calls from the US, May could only assert: "We certainly back the US call for de-escalation in Yemen," and maintained that the UN statement issued earlier this year calling for all parties to agree steps towards a ceasefire was still the UK’s position.

"As the foreign minister [Alistair Burt] said in the House yesterday, a nationwide ceasefire will only have an effect on the ground if it is underpinned by a political deal between the conflict parties,” May added.

In a statement Pompeo said missile and drone strikes launched by the Iran-backed Houthi rebels against Saudi Arabia and the UAE should stop, and the Saudi-led coalition must cease air strikes in civilian areas of Yemen.


The time is now for the cessation of hostilities, including missile and UAV strikes from Houthi-controlled areas into the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates,” Pompeo said, using an acronym for unmanned aerial vehicles.
Subsequently, Coalition air strikes must cease in all populated areas in Yemen,” he added.

Labour criticized May for failing to support the US calls and condemned the UK's ongoing support for the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen.

A spokesman for Jeremy Corbyn said: “It's quite clear that the prime minister is not supporting the call for an urgent ceasefire by the US administration, which has called for a ceasefire within 30 days.

It highlights the role the British government has played in supporting the Saudi-led coalition's bombing of Yemen and the advice given to the Saudi military by British forces.”


The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) have estimated that 56,000 people have been killed in armed violence in Yemen since January 2016. The number is over five times more than the widely reported which have stood at 10,000 for the last two years.

Conflict described as the ‘most terrifying humanitarian catastrophe on the planet’


Saudi Arabia has spent hundreds of thousands of pounds paying for British MPs to visit the country.

FactCheck found that at least 33 MPs have been on Saudi-funded trips to the Kingdom, since its troops entered Yemen in 2015. On most occasions, all expenses were covered.

In total, British MPs have accepted more than £208,000 worth of trips since 2015.

Getting MPs to visit appears to be a growing priority for Saudi Arabia. Over the last five years, increasing numbers of MPs have gone – and the amount being spent on each person has gone up.

Since the intervention in Yemen, Saudi representatives have also given government ministers expensive gifts – including gold-plated, diamond-encrusted bookends, a silver horse ornament, and food hampers worth up to £350 each. The gifts were accepted, but not taken personally by ministers.

Prince Ahmad bin Abdulaziz returns to Riyadh with UK and US security guarantees and a brief to cut the crown prince down to size


Prince Ahmad bin Abdulaziz, the younger brother of King Salman, has returned to Saudi Arabia after a prolonged absence in London, to mount a challenge to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman or find someone who can.

The septuagenarian prince, an open critic of bin Salman (MBS), has travelled with security guarantees given by US and UK officials.

He and others in the family have realised that MBS has become toxic,” a Saudi source close to Prince Ahmad told Middle East Eye.

The prince wants to play a role to make these changes, which means either he himself will play a major role in any new arrangement or to help to choose an alternative to MBS.”

He and others in the family have realised that MBS has become toxic

The source said that the prince returned “after discussion with US and UK officials”, who assured him they would not let him be harmed and encouraged him to play the role of usurper.

Apart from those western guarantees, Ahmad is also protected by his rank.

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