Extreme
weather for Victoria
and Tasmania, Australia
OKAY
LADIES AND GENTS THIS IS NOW STARTING TO LOOK LIKE THE COLDEST
OUTBREAK FOR VICTORIA AND TASMANIA SINCE 2005 (Both states combined).
*****
PLEASE SHARE AND TAG THIS VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION/NEWS *****
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SNOW TO COVER MOST OF TASMANIA INCLUDING KING ISLAND AS IT REACHES
SEA LEVEL IN PARTS & POSSIBLY DOWN TO 200-300 METRES PARTS OF
SOUTHERN VICTORIA
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SNOW DOWN TOO 400-500 METRES SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS OF NSW AND VIC ALPS
Updated
on vicious cold snap for Tasmania and Victoria Tuesday July 12th and
Wednesday July 13th, models this mornings updates have gone colder.
-
Two cold fronts will barrage through south eastern Australia first
one Sunday July 10th wind dangerous winds gusts (120km/hin parts) and
rain, the second system which will be much colder will come through
later Monday and Monday night July 11th leaving a very COLD airmass
in its wake
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This morning models are showing the airmass to be colder again across
Victoria and Tasmania through Tuesday, Tuesday night and Wednesday
morning with -6c at 850Hpa levels temps over Tasmania possibly -7 in
SW Tasmania and -5c temps in southern Victoria and -6c in Bass
Straight including King island.
What
does this all mean?
We
expect most of western and southern Tasmania to be covered in snow or
sleet with this system! 80% of the state we expect will either see
snow or sleet even if it is a few flakes. Parts of western Tasmania
may see heavy snowfalls.
Snow
may also fall down to sea levels or very close too over parts of Bass
straight including King island and possibly Flinders island.
Snow
MAY fall to as low as 200-300 metres in southern Victoria which
includes the Otway regions, higher parts of SW VIC, Gippsland ranges,
Central ranges including Mt Macedon, Ballarat, Ararat and surrounding
areas and towns, Strathbogie ranges, Mt Dandenong and outer eastern
suburbs of Melbourne foothills leading into the Dandenongs.
Very
strong winds, hail and thunder will also impact both states through
the Sunday to Wednesday period (July 10th til July 13th).
The
atmosphere looks too dry for decent snow on the central ranges of NSW
but not ruling out the odd flake.. In saying this the very cold
airmass will extend well noth even into SE QLD.
More
to come next couple of days.
Image
one: Cloud set up for Tuesday morning July 12th showing the large
speckled cloud (very cold airmass) south of SA and west of Vic and
Tasmania as it tracks east and north east. This is taken from the
Euro model.
Image
two: Precipitation Tuesday morning from the Euro model, some of this
will fall as snow.
Image
three: 850hPa temps across Australia Tuesday night July 12th from the
Euro/EC model showing the light green regions below 0c and darker
green over south eastern Australia is temps below -4c which indicates
snow to low levels.
Image
four: 850hPa temps across southern Victoria, Bass Straight and
Tasmania early hours of Wednesday morning July 13th from the GFS
model. Most of Tasmania is forecasted to be in -6c temps or below
which indicates snow to sea level or very close to sea level GIVEN
THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE.
-
JWC
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