President Trump? US War Machine Rolls On
Eric Draitser
There’s
little doubt that, as president, Hillary Clinton will enact the same
sorts of disastrous and criminal policies that her predecessors of
both parties have pursued. Donald Trump, on the other hand, is being
lauded by many as a much needed change in terms of US foreign policy,
someone whose ideas and actions will be guided by a very different
understanding of the world.
With
one breath Trump talks about wanting to “get
along with Russia,” and
with another proclaims the need to “punish
China” for
what he describes as currency manipulation and aggression in the
South China Sea. The difficulty in ascertaining just what sort of
foreign policy Trump would pursue has led many international
observers to wonder aloud whether a Trump presidency might not be the
best thing for world peace.
Indeed,
when it comes to the Middle East and issues as complex as
international terrorism, Syria, and Israel-Palestine, there has been
speculation that Trump might in fact be something of a
non-interventionist, someone who would focus on US domestic problems
and rein in US aggression around the world.
But
there is no reason to wonder anymore as Trump recently revealed to
the Washington
Post some
of his core advisers on foreign policy. And, to put it bluntly, a
Trump presidency means little more than a continuation of US
aggression, criminality, and imperialism.
Who’s
Who in Trump’s Foreign Policy Inner Circle?
If,
as the old adage goes, you are known by the company you keep, then we
already know what to expect from a Trump presidency. While The Donald
did not provide a complete list of his advisers, just the small
sampling should give pause to anyone who has become enamored of the
idea that Trump would tone down US foreign policy.
First
up for scrutiny is Walid Phares, perhaps the most well known of
Trump’s foreign policy team. Phares is a regular commentator on FOX
News where he generally espouses more or less the same policies as
any typical Washington neoconservative. Indeed, his pedigree and
history place him squarely in the aggressive neocon camp, including
as one of the main advisers (along with notable neocons Robert Kagan,
Eliot Cohen, Eric Edelman, et al) to Mitt Romney in his failed 2012
presidential campaign.
Phares
spent a decade as a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for the Defense
of Democracies (FDD), a well known neoconservative think tank long
since understood as pro-Israel, and widely regarded as part of the
influential Israel Lobby. In fact, FDD president and founder Clifford
May described the
group’s mission as being “to enhance Israel’s image in North
America and the public’s understanding of issues affecting
Israeli-Arab relations.”
To
that end, Phares has long-standing ties, both professionally and
ideologically, with Israel and the hardliner policies of Tel Aviv. As
Professor As`ad AbuKhalil of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies at
the University of California, Berkeley wrote in
2011:
Phares’ first career began early in the Lebanese civil war of the 1975-1990 when he allied himself with the right-wing militias, armed and financed by Israel… After Genral [sic] Michel Auon assumed the presidency of Lebanon in 1988, Phares joined the right-wing coalition known as the Lebanese Front, which consisted of various sectarian groupings and militia [sic]. The Front backed Gen. Auon in his struggles against the Syrian regime of Hafez al-Assad and the Muslims of Lebanon. Phares’s role was not small, according to Beirut newspaper accounts.. He served as vice chair of another front’s political leadership committee, headed by a man named Etienne Saqr, whose Guardians of Cedar militia voiced the slogan “Kill a Palestinian and you shall enter Heaven.”… The Front was also backed by Iraqi president Saddam Hussein, a bitter foe of the Syrians.
Indeed,
as respected foreign policy analyst Jim Lobe noted,
Phares is “controversial for his past ties to the militant Phalange
movement in Lebanon.”
For the uninitiated, the Phalange movement is
responsible for brutal repression of Palestinians and has been deeply
connected to the Israeli state going
back to the founding of Israel in 1948. As the New York Times wrote
in July 1983 in the aftermath of Israel’s invasion of Lebanon, “The
Maronite Christians of Lebanon and their Phalangist Party became
Israel’s key allies during the war in Lebanon that began when
Israeli troops invaded Lebanon in June 1982… the Phalangist
militias [showed] ruthlessness in massacring hundreds of Palestinians
in the Sabra and Shatila refugee camps in Beirut last September.”
And
this is the world from which the FOX News “expert” and key
foreign policy advisor to Trump emerges. So while Mr. Trump touts his
“fairness” and not wanting to “take sides” in the
Israel-Palestine conflict, he’ll have a key belligerent and party
to war crimes against Palestinians whispering in his ear. Not exactly
the sort of revelation that engenders much hope. Also interesting to
note is the decades old hatred of the Assad family in Syria that
Phares has evinced. Perhaps this explains, at least in part, why
Trump has publicly
called for a ground invasion of Syria and Iraq with
up to 30,000 US troops; so much for non-interventionism.
Chairing
Trump’s foreign policy team is Republican Senator Jeff Sessions, a
far right conservative whose actual positions on the key issues of
war and peace demonstrate unmitigated imperialistic views. He
voted YES
to enlarging NATO to include Eastern Europe (along
with his colleague Hillary Clinton), which certainly calls into
question the very notion that Trump has any real intention to move
the US away from NATO. Additionally, in perhaps the most important
political vote in the last few decades, Sessions was unabashedly in
favor of the Iraq War. He proclaimed on
the floor of the US Senate at the time:
Our motive is good, our goals positive and realistic, and our leaders honest, careful, principled and have the courage to act on those beliefs… I know the vision that President Bush has to protect his people and improve the world… The American people did not sacrifice to create the greatest military in history to allow China, Russia or even France to have a veto over its use. It is no wonder that these nations would like, through the mechanism of the United Nations, to seize control over our military and to use it as they will.
Aside
from being disastrously wrong on Iraq (along with Hillary Clinton),
Sessions also voted YES on
designating Iran’s Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist organization
as part of the National Defense Authorization Act in 2007. He
steadfastly supported continued occupation of Iraq long into 2008,
when many others had already conceded the war as a disaster and were
ready to leave. And, lest anyone think Sessions merely voted this way
out of party loyalty during the Bush administration, it should be
noted that he voted YES
on the bombing of Kosovo under
Bill Clinton, yet another instance where he and Hillary were in
agreement. Other examples abound of Trump’s foreign policy Chair’s
serial warmongering.
Trump
also named Keith Kellogg, a former Army lieutenant general, as one of
his key advisers. Mr. Kellogg, after having left the Army, has served
in executive positions in a number of military contracting firms,
including CACI International at the time its employees took
part in torture programs at the infamous Abu Ghraib prison in
Iraq. Having overseen a company directly involved in torturing
prisoners of the US military, it should come as no surprise then that
Kellogg is a principal foreign policy adviser to Trump who on
numerous occasions has promised that
under his watch, the US would bring back “a hell of a lot worse
than waterboarding.”
Kellogg
has deep ties to various sections of the military-industrial complex,
both from his time as principal adviser to the Joint Chiefs of Staff
during the disastrous Bush administration (along with other high
ranking posts in the Pentagon), and from his myriad positions with
private contractors and mercenary organizations; not exactly an
anti-establishment outsider.
Then
there’s Joe Schmitz – or as Trump referred to him, “the
honorable Joe Schmitz” – who was the inspector general at the
Defense Department during the Bush administration. Under his watch
the US committed countless war crimes for which no one was ever
prosecuted. In fact, it was his refusal to prosecute military
criminality, including lying to Congress and protecting criminals
highly placed in the military bureaucracy, that led to his being
investigated by the US Congress.
Rather
than face any scrutiny, Schmitz simply resigned
his position and immediately took an executive position with the
infamous Blackwater USA (mercenary
company that has committed war crimes all over the globe) where he
served as chief operation officer and general counsel. Again, one has
to wonder about a Trump presidency in which wanton criminality is not
only stated publicly by the candidate, but is in fact precisely the
track record of his foreign policy team.
Finally
there are Carter Page and George Papadopoulos, both connected to the
“energy-industrial complex,” that is, Big Oil and all the myriad
institutions devoted to it.
Page
is the founder
and managing partner of Global Energy Capital,
a private equity firm that invests in big energy projects and sits at
the intersection of Wall Street and Big Oil. Page is a veteran of
Wall Street big shots Merrill Lynch where he served as Chief
Operating Officer of the Energy and Power Group. Merrill Lynch is of
course the corporate and investment banking division of Bank of
America, one of the largest financial institutions in the world. In
effect then, Carter Page was the top ranking energy executive within
the Bank of America investment arm.
Page’s
foreign policy experience comes into play when considering that he
was the executive in charge of dealing with Russian energy
investments, and those in the Caspian region, on behalf of Wall
Street interests. He was also a fellow at the Council on Foreign
Relations, one of the primary centers of policy analysis in the US,
and one which is firmly within the orbit of the political and
financial establishment. Again, one has to question the very notion
that Trump’s candidacy represents any sort of threat to the
establishment. If anything, it seems to be merely a reflection of it,
just like every other candidate.
Finally,
George Papadopolous is the director of the Center for International
Energy and Natural Resources Law & Security at theLondon
Center of International Law Practice.
A former adviser to the Ben Carson campaign, Papadopolous is a mostly
unknown quantity in energy policy and analysis circles whose minimal
published work and analysis has been entirely focused on Israeli gas
discoveries in the Leviathan
Gas Field,with
Papadopolous arguing a pro-Israel position that boils down to
Israeli-EU cooperation in the form of Israeli gas sales to Cyprus. He
is also an advocate of further NATO expansion to include Cyprus, as
well as the permanent stationing of US naval assets on the Greek
island of Crete.
As
the Washington Post noted,
Papadopolous wrote in 2014 that, “Regional economic cooperation
between Israel and Cyprus should be the guiding principle that
anchors Israel economically to Europe,” and in 2015 argued that
“Israel’s energy exports can serve as the basis for enhancing
strategic relations between Israel and Egypt. They could also serve
as the foundation for political and security cooperation with Greece
and Cyprus.”
These
clearly pro-Israel analyses, coupled with the fact that his resume
boasts publications in staunchly right wing, pro-Israeli outlets such
as the Jamestown Foundation and Hudson Institute, among others, point
to an obvious slant to his outlook. Indeed, there’s been some
question as to whether he’s not simply a mouthpiece for Israel, as
suggested by even pro-Israel think tanks such as the Center for a New
American Security.
What
to Expect from a Trump Foreign Policy
Just
the early look at Trump’s foreign policy advisers does not bode
well for the notion of non-interventionism being hyped by many. While
Trump has publicly voiced such sentiments at times, it remains an
open question whether he really believes them, or if he’s just
playing to the far right wing, isolationist tendency of many of his
supporters. Is it genuine belief or pure demagoguery?
Sitting
in the Oval Office, Trump will listen carefully to the advice of
Walid Phares who no doubt will advocate for regime change and
aggressive policies in the Middle East, as he has throughout the last
three decades. Trump will be told of the need to dispense massively
lucrative contracts to the private military firms with whom his close
advisers Keith Kellogg and Joe Schmitz have long relationships. He’ll
be cajoled to follow through with aggressive actions that will
benefit Big Oil and Wall Street, all the buddies and pals of people
like Carter Page. Trump will “make deals” based on the advice of
Israeli mouthpieces like George Papadopolous, not based on reason,
let alone strategy in the interests of the US.
In
practical terms, Trump will likely escalate America’s mostly
fictional and superficial “War on ISIS,” embroiling the US in yet
another regional war as he puts boots on the ground in Syria and/or
Iraq. Trump will do nothing to rein in NATO, he might simply advocate
for a shifting of the burden onto European NATO partners, something
that will likely not happen.
Trump
will aggressively deal with Russia and Putin, puffing out his chest
and acting like some kind of strongman with Putin for public
relations effect only. In fact, Trump is likely to damage further the
US-Russia relationship with reckless rhetoric and policies, rather
than moving toward genuine understanding and reconciliation. One can
only cringe to imagine the blustering Trump alongside the always calm
and collected Putin whose every move and word is calculated to
maximum effect.
In
short, Trump represents only the most superficial change in US
foreign policy. His manner of plain speaking may be a breath of fresh
air to Americans, and many around the world, who have tired of the
usual political doublespeak and hollow babble, but his policies and
actions will do little to stop the Empire.
Trump is, simply put, Hope
and ChangeTM of a different sort. And, as with the current Hope and
ChangeTM the effect will be disastrous.
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