Crude Oil Slides Below $28, Lowest Since 2003, Dragging US Equity Futures Lower
19 January, 2015
Traders
had some hope that they could take at least a brief nap ahead of the
China open before all risk hell broke loose in the latest evening
session, however either some liquidating algo or the Iranian oil
trading desk had different plans, and moments ago WTI dipped below
$28 per barrel, sliding as low as $27.92, doing so only for the first
time since 2003, a new 12 year low.
The
plunge in the highly correlated asset promptly dragged not only the
USDJPY carry pair but also the E-Mini well lower, with ES sliding as
low at 1861 moments ago before recouping some of the loses.
And
now we turn our attention to the China open, and for the real
pandemonium to begin.
Shanghai
Opens Below 3,000 As Animal Spirits Leave The Building: Longest
Margin Debt Drop In 6 Months
19
January, 2015
Traders
who may have napped through the earlier oil slide below $28 finally
woke up just in time for the China open to find that while there was
little excitement on the currency front following a Yuan fixing,
which at 6.5578 was practially unchanged from yesterday's midpoint of
6.5596...
...the
Shanghai composite - following yesterday's torrid, manipulated last
hour surge - opened 0.5% lower, sliding back below the 3,000 level
which was breached last week for the first time since last summer.
More
troubling for China's market manipulators is
that they will very quickly and aggressively need to get involved
today if they wish to prop up the market, now that the animal spirits
are officially gone.
Below
is a chart of the Chinese stock market "animal spirits"
leaving the building.
According to Bloomberg, the outstanding balance of Shanghai margin debt dropped for 13th consecutive day on Tuesday, the longest since July 9. Balance fell 0.1%, or 610m yuan, to 583.4b yuan or the lowest level since October 9. This was the longest losing streak in 6 months as the public now leave the market bubble in droves.
Elsewhere
in related securities, while the onshore Yuan is peaceful, there was
less peace for its offshore cousin, where the USD/CNH 12-month
forwards tumbled following selling by Asia-based leveraged accounts,
and trigger stop-losses through the 2,900 area. PBOC
intervention time? Perhaps, but it's early.
Also
troubling was the Bloomberg note that after the PBOC broke the Hong
Kong interbank market by crushing all available FX liquidity in order
to manipulate the CNH higher, now the offshore spillover appears to
have spilled right back into China as follows:
- CHINA'S OVERNIGHT REPURCHASE RATE JUMPS TO NINE-MONTH HIGH
At
this point it is practically impossible to track all the Chinese
market breakages, which like connected vessels appear at the most
random of places, and the moment one hole is patched up, another
immediately takes its place.
Finally,
for those interested in the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index
slid 1.6% to 19,325.56 at the open, resuming declines after snapping
a three-day losing streak yday, with losses led by energy companies
such as Sinopec -3.6% and PetroChina -3.3% which were among the
biggest drops on HSI.
However
perhaps most crucially, the Hong Kong Dollar is systematically
collapsing towards the weak-end of its USD-peg band...
And
crude is unable to sustain any bounces...
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