THE
BATTLE IN THE SOUTH OF SYRIA IS COMING TO AN END: ISRAEL BOWED TO
RUSSIA’S WILL
4
July, 2018
By
Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai
After
only two weeks since the beginning of the military operation,
jihadists and militants in most of eastern rural Daraa in south Syria
have either surrendered or were overwhelmed, the over 70 villages
they occupied were liberated by the Syrian Army. Meanwhile, Israel
has reduced its requests or conditions pronounced in the last two
weeks: from launching threats against the approach of the Syrian Army
towards the South, to menaces if Damascus pushes forces beyond the
1974 demarcation line and the disengagement agreement between Syria
and Israel. This clearly means all players (the US, Israel, Jordan,
Saudi Arabia) have dropped the jihadists and militants they were
training and are turning their back on them: they are now on their
own.
For
over seven years, Israel has invested intelligence, finance, military
and medical supplies in these jihadists and their allies. On many
occasions, Israel has said it prefers the “Islamic State” to
Iranian forces on the borders. Many times, Israel showed images of
jihadists – including those fighting under the flag of al-Qaeda –
in Israeli hospitals, recovering from wounds inflicted during their
clashes with the forces of Damascus. Today, it is clear that Israel’s
intentions have been defeated when it can announce that for the
Syrian army to cross the 1974 disengagement line it means crossing
red lines. Israel is crying in the wilderness because the Syrian army
has the intention and means to defeat all jihadists and militants who
received supplies from foreign countries. It has never crossed
Syria’s mind to start a new war with Israel before the Syrian
territory (in the north) is liberated.
The
Syrian allies are participating in the battle of the south of Syria
as advisors and with backup (small) units to fill gaps only if the
battle becomes critical on this or that front. So far, jihadists and
militants are easily defeated and represent little resistance. There
is little doubt how ISIS (the “Islamic State”, aka Jaish Khaled
Bin al-Waleed), deployed on the 1975 disengagement line, will react
because neither the Syrian Army nor Russia are offering a relocation
to the terrorist group.
Therefore, the only choice ISIS have in south
Syria is to fight, surrender or be allowed to cross into Israel,
since for years the Israeli Army has been cohabiting with ISIS
beautifully. The number of terrorists is estimated at between 1500
and 2000, a relatively small number when we consider that the Syrian
Army faced tens of thousands in al-Yarmouk, rural Homs, al-Badiya,
Deir-ezzour and Albukamal in the north and north east- and they wiped
them out completely.
The
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has disregarded any Israeli threat
related to the participation of Iranian advisors and Hezbollah
Special forces in the battle of south of Syria. Actually, Russia
understands the necessity of the presence of Damascus’ allies on
the ground, so the operation is fully supported and success is
guaranteed. Moreover, Moscow has seen Hezbollah and Iranian advisors
pulling out from every single battle when the Syrian army prevails
and whenever Damascus considered the area safe enough to take over
completely. Therefore, President Putin can guarantee to his US
counterpart Donald Trump (and he already did guarantee this to his
Israeli visitors last month in Moscow) that no Iranian or Hezbollah
advisors shall remain behind on Israeli borders (the wish of the
Syrian central government). That was sufficient for Trump to inform
Israel that the US has no reasons to believe it is facing any
dangerfrom the Syrian Army on its borders.
For
almost 45 years, Damascus didn’t engage in any serious attack
against Israel starting from the 1974 disengagement line bordering
the occupied Golan heights.
There can be no comparison between the
presence of the Syrian regular forces and the presence of the
terrorist group, ISIS, on the Israeli occupied Golan heights. In
fact, it will be impossible for President Trump to defend Israel’s
case to protect ISIS – regardless how close the terrorist group and
Israel are following years of being “good neighbours” – and
attack the Syrian army wishing to recover its own territory and
totally eliminate the presence of ISIS from the south of Syria.
What is remaining in the south of Syria is only a tactical battle. It will intensify on one front and will be smooth on the other. The battle is reaching its first objective to clear eastern Daraa, in the coming days, and to secure the Naseeb border crossing between Jordan and Syria that helps both countries to recover some hundreds of millions of dollars yearly from their trade and commerce.
In
the second phase, the west of Daraa and Quneitra, the Syrian army
will push its forces towards south-west Daraa to clear jihadists
standing on the way between the Syrian army and where ISIS is
located. There is no specific time allocated for the ending of the
battle. Nevertheless, the result of the battle is easily predictable:
the Syrian army will regain control of Syrian territory,
particularly
the city of Daraa where all countries involved in “regime change”
(Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the US, the UK, Qatar) initiated their flow of
weapons and finance for the south. They have managed to achieve only
the destruction of the Levant ($300 billions are needed to rebuild
Syria), the death of around 400,000 persons, and millions of
displaced persons and refugees.
Proof
read by: Maurice Brasher
Syrian
War Report – July 4, 2018: Government Retakes 27 Settlements In
Southern Provinces
South
Front
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