I managed to miss this article from last year which confirms what I have been measuring in my own backyard.
Mid-winter in Lower Hutt, New Zealand
I have always said that the climate I was brought up with in the 1960's i sunstantively the same as what my father was brought up with in the 1920's
Mid-winter in Lower Hutt, New Zealand
I have always said that the climate I was brought up with in the 1960's i sunstantively the same as what my father was brought up with in the 1920's
Winter
is 30 days shorter, Niwa research finds
Winters
are a month shorter than a century ago , Niwa research shows.
9
November, 2017
Principal
climate scientist Brett Mullan has been looking at New Zealand
temperature records going back to 1909.
Dr
Mullan used data from seven geographically representative locations
around the country.
Looking
at two 30-year periods, 1909 to 1938 and 1987 to 2016, he calculated
that winters have contracted by about one month.
If
a threshold of 9°C was chosen there was an average of 100 days per
year between 1909 and 1938 when the temperature was less than 9°C,
compared to only 70 days per year between 1987 and 2016. Winter
contracted about equally from both ends.
Winter
is conventionally regarded as occurring between 1 June and 31 August.
Dr
Mullan said with climate change causing rising temperatures around
the world, the results showing winters were getting shorter didn't
come as a surprise.
"What
I didn't know was how large it was - one month out of three has
basically gone."
A
shorter winter period affected the environment, plant growth and what
you can grow and where.
"Plants
can ... mature more quickly, you might be able to grow two crops when
you could only grow one before or grow different things that require
more heating."
But
there were downsides too, as higher temperatures allowed more pests
and diseases.
And
there were disadvantages for growers of crops like kiwifruit that
require chilling in the winter for the fruit to set properly.
"That
is why they have moved out of Northland, as it is not cold enough,
and as time goes by they will have to move out of Bay of Plenty as
well."
It
was too late to return to having what was once regarded as a normal
winter of three months.
"It
is a matter of if we can get it to level off and stop at a level not
too much different from today."
He
said virtually all of the world is warming and only a few places are
not.
"That
is more in the oceans and around Antarctica and the North Atlantic is
where conditions will take a long time to change."
There
were fewer frosty days and the first frost of the year was a month
later in many locations than 100 years ago.
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