Jet Stream Aims River of Moisture at Central US and Gulf Coasts
the past few weeks, a
record warm El Nino has been slowly cooling down in the Equatorial
One of the top three strongest events on record, this particular
warming of sea surfaces in the Pacific coincided withnever
before seen global heat as
atmospheric CO2 levels spiked to above 405 parts per million on some
days during February and March. The record warm sea surface and
atmosphere held a never before seen excess of water vapor and
moisture in suspension — primarily over the Equatorial Ocean zones.
And as the world hit peak temperatures during early March and began
to back off a little, some of that massive excess of moisture was
bound to wring out somewhere.
such events, all you really need is a trigger. And
over the past two days, forecast models have been predicting an
insane dip in the Jet Stream.
Today, we got it. A raging storm track over the Northeast Pacific
roared its 200+ mph upper level winds down over the Western US and
Mexico. It drew deep from a rich, record global warming intensified,
low Latitude moisture flood as its tail end reached all the way to
the Equator itself. This insanely deep trough then turned north,
aiming an unprecedented atmospheric moisture flood fire-hose style at
the storm-tossed airs above the Mississippi River Valley.
extreme dip in the Jet Stream stretching through the Western US and
all the way to the Equator is aiming both Pacific and Gulf moisture
at the Mississippi River Valley today. The severe storms that are now
firing and that are predicted to continue over the next three days
may result in an unprecedented flooding event. Image source: Earth
of Rain or More over Mississippi River Valley in the Next Three Days
that is expected to be extraordinarily intense and long lasting.
Reports from the Weather
the risk for rainfall rates in the range of 3 inches an hour in some
of the heaviest storm cells. Meanwhile,
model runs earlier today indicated a potential for as much as 20
Inches of rain for
some regions over the next 72 hours. Official NOAA models are now
indicating nearly a foot in peak rainfall regions in Eastern Texas
and Western Louisiana with the potential for greater than five inches
along a broad swath running from the Gulf Coast through to Illinois.
predicts very extreme rainfall totals over a broad region of the
Mississippi River Valley during the next three days. Image
Weather Prediction Center.)
addition, those flooding rains will fall all over the Mississippi
River Valley — resulting in an extreme threat of very severe
flooding all along this great river and its tributaries. As such, we
are likely to be dealing with a flood situation for many days after
the initial rain event tapers off. With Spring on the way, with so
much moisture still bleeding off the Pacific, with a record level of
global warming greatly amping up the hydrological cycle, and with a
trough development tendency setting up for this region — this
particular extreme rainfall event may, sadly, be but the first of
many this season.