Wednesday 27 August 2014

More from Novorossia

Features an interview with Vladimir Suchan

Poroshenko: Ruling coalition has collapsed; elections will be held in October

Ukraine’s president has dissolved the country’s parliament as fighting between pro-Russian forces and the Ukrainian army continues in the east of the country.

Petro Poroshenko made the announcement in a statement posted on his website, in which he also said a parliamentary election would be held on October 26.

He stated the move was in line with the country’s constitution. He added that the ruling coalition had collapsed several weeks ago. Unrest began in Ukraine in late 2013.

And Kiev’s forces have been conducting military operations in eastern Ukraine since mid-April. The Ukrainian government has accused Russia of intervening in eastern Ukraine. But Moscow strongly denies the allegation.

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Hmm....a handshake.....is Putin paying his last respects in person?


The war in Ukraine enters the next stage 

 
Vineyard of the Saker - Oceania,
26/ August, 2014

This is no ordinary run of the mill press conference, this is a formation of a framework of a resistance army. Not a resistance militia. There is a big difference. One belongs to a territory and the other to a state.



The tone throughout the press conference has been in the typical underplayed Russian fashion on the surface but if words are taken as a measure, then this is a serious escalation in the game. This is a setting of direction for the rest of the Ukrainian phase of this conflict.

The perfectly structured explanation of events by the Defense Minister is a clear indication of how serious the people in eastern Ukraine have taken this situation. They know exactly what they are up against and are sending a strong signal; We are prepared mentally, emotionally and physically.
They no longer represent a rag tag militia. This is a well oiled fighting machine with International volunteers joining the cause.  Though, always being the people to play by the rules, the Russians have left a door open to negotiate.
A.Zakharchenko has clearly laid down the offer when he said: “You don’t have to recognize our status, just leave us alone within our borders of Donetsk and Lugansk republics” . The Russians of course would like this matter to be resolved as soon as possible. Though, I have doubts if they really would want to. A reversal in the momentum under some peace pretext would perhaps be the biggest mistake now. This war machine has gone too far already.
The crisis in Ukraine is nothing but a joint ethnic cleansing campaign by the US and EU via their SS division in Ukraine. It really is as simple as that. To hesitate now would mean certain doom tomorrow. The EU & US cannot be trusted anymore. The only solution is total control over Ukraine; Kiev must be liberated.
The press conference served not as just a statement of events but a carefully coordinated delivery of a few key messages. Some of the main ones are:
The ferocity of the  war
A few times the subject of a futile war is brought up in the context of miners,farmers and hard working eastern Ukrainians picking up arms. It is stated that if this were to happen then Kiev stands no chance.
The casualty count of the Junta is highlighted with clear knowledge of facts and figures regarding the enemy. Mothers are warned that a “missing in action” letter is more likely a death certificate.
A rejection of the mainstream narrative and a proposition for peace
Mothers (of army conscripts) are told “…do not send your sons here. Leave us alone. Let us live free and in peace. ” and reminded that war was imposed on eastern Ukraine. A way out of the mess is even offered with a plea to “…a political conscience, a will and a courage of a real man” to stop the operation (The so-called Anti-Terrorist Operation).
The patience of the resistance is truly outstanding, even after all that has transpired they say “You don’t have to recognize our status, just leave us alone within our borders of Donetsk and Lugansk republics, and we will kiss each other goodbye.”
Symbolism & International revolutionaries in Donbas
It must be noted that the symbolism in parading the troops as they were in Moscow July 1944[1] is a very strong emotional tactic. This really in one stroke, puts things in perspective for the average babushka and beer belly joe.  It not only conveys a firm grasp of history in the resistance, but a setting of the parameters of discussion.
The narrative is being redesigned, correctly, by the resistance to highlight the core issue: a US/EU sponsored Nazi onslaught on a peaceful east Ukraine.
But this is not all, we are also told that there are now international volunteers in Ukraine. There is even mention of inviting French Navy personal to fight amongst the anti-fascist resistance. If this is verified then this would be quite serious[2].
* An Interview with French volunteers has surfaced on twitter. Thank you to @Catherina_News for highlighting this *[7]
We have already seen an Spanish freedom fighters[3] and even an Afghan fighter paying back his “dues” for the all that the Soviet Union did for him[4]. This is indeed a PR nightmare for the western press!
Who in their right mind would tune into the fruitcake pro-Nazi propaganda being blown out of every imperial mouthpiece!? But alas, that benchmark of absurdity, the BBC, is still living in fairytale land with its latest accusation of Russian soldiers invading Ukraine[5]. Planet Neptune sure is a strange place.
A rejection of Federalization
This too late to the party monotonic utterings from the protoplasmic jellies (of Boris Johnson fame) of the EU is categorically rejected with:
Let me clarify. No federalization can be possible today. There is time for everything. We asked for the federalization 3 months ago, then we asked for a permission to hold a referendum. That time has passed, now we want to live independently.”
Formation of a State
Just when the barrage of counter-Nazi-narrative viewpoints was almost over, the resistance mentioned something that I believe conveys the steadfast resolve of the government. A government that now has a Defense Minister and Army. Notice, how the key role and instrument for protection are the major themes here.
This point is further driven home by the discussion on the death penalty and its reinstatement by the supreme council. The council in the Donetsk National Republic, that is.
This was not just a press conference but a state of affairs; a definition of boundaries, illustration of ground realities, terms of peace, confirmation of hostilities and even a small reference to the genocide for shale gas project in eastern Ukraine[6].
This is a  nation state that will most likely be a launch pad for the liberation of Kiev. The Junta and their pimps in Fashington must be convulsing right about now, foaming at the mouth to be precise.
AE

[1]POW parade July 1944 in Moscow: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JC6oJURg6Pk
[2]French in Ukraine: http://www.thelocal.fr/20140825/ukraine-french-experts-to-join-rebel-fighters
[3]Spanish fighters in Donbas: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JV_z3Pz21PI&index=7&list=LL6i5m2kR0LQt4p-3MT-3YcA
[4] Afghan freedom fighter in Donbas: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xc2KeSkl5H0&index=25&list=LL6i5m2kR0LQt4p-3MT-3YcA
[5] The BBC reporting Russians in Ukraine (again): http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28934213
[6] Shale Gas: http://slavyangrad.org/2014/08/05/naked-goals-of-ukrainian-genocide-part-i/


What is the deal with the Ukie "cauldrons"?

Vineyard of the Saker 
26/ August, 2014

A lot of people are wondering what the deal is with the so-called "cauldrons" in which the Ukie forces seem to get surrounded over and over again.  Are the Ukie generals simply stupid, or what is the deal?  I will try to explain.

Remember that that Ukie forces are typically "heavy".  They have lots of tanks, lots of artillery, lost of ammo, lots of soldiers, etc.  At least initially.  They are also much inferior in terms of tactical skills, morale and willpower.  In contrast, the Resistance forces have dramatically fewer tanks, fewer artillery pieces, much less ammo and less soldiers too.  But their morale is sky-high, their tactical skills excellent and they are fighting on their own land - a big "home turf" advantage.  Add to all this the following: the Ukies are desperately trying to prove to the world that they are "winning" whereas the Resistance is trying to eject an occupying force.  Now if you keep all that in mind, you will very easily understand how these "cauldrons" form.  It typically goes like this:

The political powers in Kiev order the commanders of the so-called "anti-terrorist operation" to show some results.  The latter get together and define what they consider a number of key towns and villages.  They then order their forces to go in and take these towns/villages.  The junta forces move in and with much superior firepower typically destroy a few Resistance roadblocks on the main roads and move to seize the said towns.  At this point they report "mission accomplished - our flag is on the administration of town X".  The BBC picks up the info handed to them by the Ukies and the world learns of yet another Ukie victory.    In the meantime, Ukie terror squads are brought in to smoke out any sympathizers of the Resistances in the occupied towns.  As for the tanks, they are used to protect the Ukie force while their artillery is used long range to terrorize the population of the next town on the list.

Then everything goes down the tubes.

First, a big forces requires lots of petroleum, lubricants, ammo, supplies, food, etc.  But the roads are under constant attack by Resistance forces.  Next, the Novorussians slowly but inevitably bring in some artillery which begins ponding on the Ukie forces.  Gradually, the bigger Ukie forces is forced to dig in while the Resistance take back full control of the main roads and surrounding towns.  That's it - the circle has closed, the Ukies are surrounded and a 'cauldron' has formed.

At that point two things happen: a) the Ukies try to retreat b) reinforcements are sent in to rescue them.  But at this point the density and quality of Resistance forces is sufficient to block the main roads and to prevent both retreats or reinforcements.  In some cases the Ukies succeed in breaking out or reinforcing, but typically at great costs in equipment and lives.  And that brings me to another important point:

The Ukies prefer to fight on the main roads.  The Resistance is at home in the forests, hills, fields and bushes (what the Russian military calls the "The Green").  

That means that Ukie movements are very predictable.  Not so for the Resistance.  The Ukies fear the "Green" - the Novorussians love it.  I don't know of a single battle so far in which the Ukies attempted to attack through, or from. the "Green".  The Novorussians do that all the time.

Pretty soon, supplies become a real problem, and with more or less the entire Ukie Air Forces kaput, and the density of anti-air weapons of the Resistance, even large units go from a fighting mode to a survival mode.  At least 4 Ukie death squads are in that mode right now, today.

But remember, the Ukies sill have more armor and more firepower, so it is not that easy to reduce and crush a cauldron - that is why the Resistance needs so much time to eventually finish them off.  They do though, one by one.  If they had the time and forces, they could do it easily, but they don't.

Right now, the main forces protecting Mariupol are all stuck in 2-3 cauldrons southeast of Donetsk.  But instead of wasting time reducing them, the Novorussian Armed Forces have launched an attack along the sea coast towards Mariupol were the Ukies are already in a panic mode as nothing much stands between them and the Resistance.  And this is the correct move for the Novorussians.

Just as in chess a blocked figure is essentially useless, so is a Ukie force in a cauldron.  

The important thing is to keep the initiative and press the advantage.  This is why the Resistance is pushing towards Mariupol.  If that city is taken, or even surrounded,  or if the cauldrons south of Donetsk are reduced, that will mean a collapse of the entire southern front of the Ukie attack on Novorussia.

There are risks however.  First, any Novorussian force moved in or towards Mariupol risks been cut off and surrounded by Ukie reinforcements.  Now, I don't know for a fact what the Ukies are up to, but I bet you that there is total panic in Kiev and that reinforcements are sent from all over the country to prevent Mariupol from falling into Novorussian hands.  The Novorussians need to keep a very careful eye over their shoulder (but then, I am pretty sure that the many GRU eyes in space and on the ground are already doing that for them).  Second, the surrounded Ukies can try to join forces and then either break out or attack towards the north.  If they fail, they will probably either do what they have done in the past - run for their lives and abandon all their heavy equipment or fight to the last man.  Either way is fine for the Novorussians.

I hope that the short (and somewhat simplified) explanation above explain, at least in general lines, why and how these "cauldrons" are constantly forming.

Cheers and kind regards,

The Saker


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