North
Korea’s Nuclear Testing Site Crumbling, But Far From Finished
18
October, 2017
North
Korea’s nuclear testing site may be literally falling apart, with
geologists claiming that repeated underground nuclear tests have
fractured and perforated the rock beneath the mountainous testing
ground that has hosted six nuclear tests in the last 11 years.
The
Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site is North Korea's sole known site for
testing atomics, and is located underground, beneath Mount Mantap. It
has been the subject of much attention since the September 3 hydrogen
bomb test that it hosted. That detonation was estimated to be 250
kilotons, 16-17 times more powerful than the atomic bomb dropped by
the US on Hiroshima, Japan, in 1945.
The
test also caused an estimated 6.1 magnitude earthquake and
potentially caused a cave-in of the testing chamber. Aftershocks of
the main earthquake followed, including a 4.6 magnitude quake just
eight minutes after the test. Most recently, a 2.9 magnitude
earthquake occurred on October 12, more than five weeks after the
initial detonation.
The
thermonuclear detonation was powerful enough to have potentially made
the site geologically unstable and no longer suitable for testing.
This is known as "Tired Mountain Syndrome," when nuclear
blasts damage underground rock formations and make the site volatile.
Mainstream
outlets replied to the reports of earthquakes with headlines such as
"Has North Korea Nuked Itself Out of a Nuclear Test Site?"
from CBS and "North Korea's Nuclear Test Site Could Be Unstable"
from NBC News. However, experts have warned against such alarmism.
Punggye-ri
has three tunnel complexes, meaning that at least two are still
usable. "There is no valid reason to assume that the Punggye-ri
test site is unable to contain additional underground nuclear tests,"
said analysts with 38 North, a website that focuses on North Korean
affairs.
The
US dealt with Tired Mountain Syndrome themselves as the Nevada Test
Site, which saw over 800 underground nuclear tests over a 41 year
period and remained usable. Many of them were followed by seismic
activity as well, which according to 38 North "provides evidence
that such post-test tremors are not unusual."
"For
the time being," 38 North concluded, "given the presence of
additional test portals, we see no reason that the Punggye-ri Nuclear
Test Site as a whole has or will be abandoned for future underground
nuclear testing.
The
DPRK has conducted six nuclear tests, three of them in the past two
years.
The September 2017 test utilized a hydrogen bomb 10 times as
powerful as the one tested just a year prior. The rapid advance of
the country's nuclear program has upset foreign powers such as the
United States and the European Union, but Pyongyang insists the
program is peaceful and for deterrence purposes only.
North
Korean leader Kim Jong-un called the nuclear program a "treasured
sword" and a "powerful deterrent" against the
"protracted nuclear threats of the US imperialist" in a
speech before the Central Committee of the Workers' Party earlier in
October.
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