The
following comments are from Alexander Mercouris who I trust
THE
BIGGEST CRISIS IS IN UKRAINE NOT GREECE
I
am a Greek and tonight I am deeply upset by what is happening in
Greece.
However
I am not blind to reality.
- The biggest crisis in the world today is in the Ukraine, not in Greece.
- The most important negotiation today is the one about Iran, not the one about Greece (read Pepe Escobar)
- The biggest event of the last week - by far - was the summit in Ufa.
- When a crisis strikes one's own country it is more important than ever to maintain a sense of proportion.
My
beyond brilliant friend Sharmine - we were together in Vienna -
pointed me to this. And it is HUGE; Sir Meyer is a former Brit
ambassador to Washington. Not sure the Don't Do Stupid Stuff gang is
getting the message.
---Pepe Escobar
As
nuclear talks continue, Britain's former ambassador to Washington
says our strategic interests now lie in a deal with Shia Iran, not
Sunni Saudi Arabia
Iran
and six world powers are closing in on a historic nuclear deal.
However, unresolved issues still remain between the sides and no
agreement is expected to be announced on Sunday.
"We
still have got work to do and no deal will be announced on Sunday ...
also there will be no extension after tomorrow," Iranian Foreign
Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif told reporters.
Iran’s
nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi has said that Tehran and P5+1 group
(the US, Britain, France, China, Russia and Germany) have agreed on
most technical issues and annexes to a possible nuclear deal.
"Technical
discussions are almost over and the text regarding the technical
issues with their annexes is almost finished," Salehi is cited
as saying by Iran's ISNA news agency.
Iranian
delegation at the talks with the P5+1 international negotiators on
Iranian nuclear program believes that the final comprehensive
agreement will be reached, but does not expect this to happen before
Monday evening, a source close to the delegation told Sputnik Sunday
Ukrainian
Right Sector militants, blocked in on the outskirts of Mukachevo
after deadly clashes with police, are refusing to lay down their arms
without their leader’s orders. Civilians in the area have been
evacuated, as negotiations so far have failed.
SWAT
police and special units of the National Guard, as well as Ukraine’s
Security Service (SBU) agents have secured the area and blockaded
members of Ukraine’s ultra-nationalist Right Sector group on the
outskirts of Mukachevo, which lies a stone’s throw away from
Hungarian and Slovakian border.
“To
prevent possible bloodshed, the Security Service and Interior
Ministry demand that the illegal armed group lays down [its] arms and
surrenders,” the SBU said in a statement, adding that fighters
refuse to surrender unless ordered directly by Right Sector (‘Pravy
Sektor’) leader Dmitry Yarosh.
Authorities
said they will do everything necessary to disarm and detain
the“organized criminal group”, that killed one, and injured four
civilians. Six police officers were also injured in the standoff on
Saturday afternoon.
Shame
boys!!! Shame! Locals joyfully greeted the national guard of Ukraine
in Mukachevo
Ukrainian
President Petro Poroshenko will gather a War Cabinet on July 13
following the shootout in the western Mukachevo, Ukrainian
Presidential Press Secretary Svyatoslav Tsegolko said Monday.
KIEV
(Sputnik) — Earlier on Saturday, the Right Sector began protests in
several Ukrainian cities, including Kiev and Lviv after the movement
members exchanged fire with police in the Ukrainian southwestern city
of Mukachevo.
"The
events in Mukachevo will be the main theme of a War Cabinet, which
the president will hold on Monday. Let me remind you that the War
Cabinet is a working body of the National Security and Defense
Council of Ukraine," Tsegolko wrote in his official account on
Facebook.
At
least three people died and about 10 were injured as a result of the
shootout, according to the Ukrainian security forces estimates.
Why
Russia's Gas Pipeline Deal With Greece Is Likely to Be Stillborn - Alexander Mercouris
A
Greek government that remains committed to the EU is not united
behind a deal with Gazprom that is far more modest than the one
offered in March and April
President
Putin gave a news conference and Q&A session with journalists
following the Recent Summits in Ufa
Putin answering questions in Ufa
This
press conference originally appeared on the Kremlin website
Vladimir
Putin: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen.
Let
me start by giving a brief summary of the results of the BRICS and
SCO summits that took place here in Ufa. They concluded Russia’s
presidency in these two influential organisations and represent a big
step in developing our countries’ multifaceted cooperation.
In
terms of their influence and scale, the BRICS and SCO summits figure
among the important foreign policy events on the international
agenda. The heads of 15 countries, representing several different
continents – Eurasia, South America, and Africa – came to Ufa.
Each of these countries has its own development road, economic growth
model, and rich history and culture. It is this diversity and coming
together of different traditions that gives the BRICS group and the
SCO their strength and tremendous potential.
We
held meetings and talks in a wide variety of formats over these three
days in Ufa. Both summits included meetings of heads of state and
government in narrow and expanded format, as well as an informal
joint meeting of the BRICS and SCO leaders, together with the leaders
of the Eurasian Economic Union’s member countries, who were also
invited to Ufa. Essentially, you could say that we had three
organisations meeting here – BRICS, the SCO, and the Eurasian
Economic Union.
We
also had many bilateral meetings. I had 11 bilateral meetings, for
example, and also talks with the President of China and the President
of Mongolia together. Now, I still have another two meetings – with
the President of Afghanistan and the Prime Minister of Pakistan.
Yesterday,
I had the chance to speak with journalists in detail about the
results of the BRICS summit, and so I will just note the most
important points now.
The
key documents that were approved by the BRICS leaders – the Ufa
Declaration, the plan of action and the Economic Partnership Strategy
– contain concrete agreements on the development of our association
and the consolidation of its international status, and provide for
comprehensive measures to deepen our coordination in foreign policy,
and expand mutual trade, investment and technology exchange.
We
have opened the door to the practical operation of BRICS financial
institutions – the New Development Bank and Contingent Reserve
Arrangement, with a total capacity of $200 billion. We have agreed
with our BRICS partners that, before the year’s end, a special
roadmap will be developed for major collaborative projects in
infrastructure, industry and agriculture.
We
have agreed on the further expansion of the humanitarian elements of
our interaction, the engagement of civil society members. To make our
group’s activity more transparent and open, we decided to launch a
special website – the BRICS virtual secretariat.
As
the summit is rounding up, Russia’s presidency is not yet over.
Until
next February when the presidency will be passed to India, we will
continue building up cooperation within the group.
Now
let me say a few words about the SCO Heads of State Council Meeting.
We
discussed current issues and the outcome of Russia’s presidency in
details.
The
major goals set last year have been achieved.
First
of all, for the first time in the 15 years of the SCO, the decision
was made to increase the number of members. We signed documents to
begin the accession of India and Pakistan. Therefore, the SCO’s
capabilities to react to modern threats and challenges will grow. The
organisation’s political and economic potential will significantly
expand.
A
resolution was made to upgrade the status of Belarus to an observer.
Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cambodia and Nepal have become dialogue
partners. Several more states have expressed willingness to join as
observers and dialogue partners. The geography is rather impressive –
from South and Southeast Asia to the Middle East.
I
would like to stress that the summit has passed the SCO Development
Strategy that outlines the priority areas until 2025. They include
priorities in all major areas of cooperation – from creating
conditions to boost collaboration in trade and the economy to
ensuring regional stability and prompt responses to conflicts and
crises.
We
have adopted the Ufa Declaration. The declaration describes general
approaches to the most relevant international and regional problems
and gives an assessment of the organisation’s day-to-day activity.
We
also had an in-depth discussion of the situation in Afghanistan. We
noted that ISIS had stepped up its activities and spread its
tentacles to that country, which elevates the security threats on the
southern borders of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation. We believe
it’s important, without procrastinating, to go ahead and implement
the summit-approved Programme of Cooperation in the Fight Against
Terrorism and Separatism for 2016–2018, and to start drafting the
SCO Convention on Combating Extremism.
It
is no secret that drug money is a major source of funding for radical
terrorist groups; therefore, the SCO members have outlined plans to
counter the drug threat. These plans are incorporated in a special
Statement of the summit. The newly adopted Border Cooperation
Agreement is designed to curb drug trafficking as well.
We
agreed to expand economic activities within the SCO, and make better
use of the capacity created within the Business Council, the Energy
Club and the Interbank Consortium. I would like to take this
opportunity and invite the representatives of the SCO Member States,
primarily, the business community, to participate in the East
Economic Forum, which will be held in Vladivostok in September for
the first time.
We
plan to expand cooperation in the sphere of education and tourism
within the SCO. The SCO University uniting 69 universities is already
functioning. A programme to promote tourism and the Youth Council are
actively working as well.
Notably,
at the summit, we adopted a statement of the Heads of State on the
occasion of the 70th anniversary of victory in World War II. It is
important to remember the human lives lost during the fight against
Nazism, and oppose attempts to distort historical truth and promote
radical ideas.
Starting
tomorrow, the SCO presidency will go to Uzbekistan. I’m confident
that our Uzbek colleagues will fill the agenda with promising and
meaningful initiatives. Please join me in sincerely wishing every
success to our Uzbek friends. We are willing to provide them with as
much assistance in their work as they might need.
Ladies
and gentlemen, we believe that not only did we manage to fill the SCO
and BRICS summits with substantive negotiations and important
decisions. The organisational work was also good. A lot of credit for
this goes, of course, to Bashkortostan’s leaders and Ufa
authorities, as well as all the residents of this republic and its
capital. I would like to thank them for their hospitality and genuine
desire to create a comfortable environment for all the participants
of these two major international forums.
Thank
you very much.
Question:
Anton Vernitsky, Channel One. BRICS countries are facing problems due
to a number of reasons, including political and economic problems in
Brazil, economic problems in Russia, and a stock market crash in
China. Do you see a way out of this situation? What can we do? Do you
see a future in BRICS? Will this association, which is in fact an
informal club, become a full-scale international organisation?
Vladimir
Putin: All countries have economic problems. According to forecasts
made by international financial organisations, they predict a
downslide. Recently, the IMF – or was it the World Bank? – has
forecast a decline in global economic development. Everyone knows
what is happening in Europe: an economic slowdown and a Eurozone
crisis over Greece. The growth rate in the United States has slowed
too, and it’s a well-known fact that its sovereign debt is larger
than its GDP. If memory serves, its GDP equals US$ 17.8 trillion, and
its sovereign debt has reached US$ 18.2 trillion. This is a serious
problem not only for the United States but also for the global
economy.
In
this sense, the BRICS countries are no exception; unfortunately, they
are part of the global economic trend. As for Brazil, its problems
are mostly rooted in the economy. I think that our Brazilian
colleagues know they need to reorient themselves toward new
development incentives and to resume growth. As always happens in the
world, the opposition is using these difficulties to their advantage
– this is one of the “golden” rules of the political stage. I
believe, and have no doubt, that Brazil will overcome these problems
and resume a path of sustainable development.
Regarding
China and its stock markets, we discussed this issue with the Chinese
President. Chinese authorities are not overly concerned, and I agree
with the Chinese point of view that “bulls” have been acting too
confidently – even overconfidently – and now we are seeing a
downward correction. The recent data show that there has been a minor
rise, so there is nothing unusual about this situation. I think that
China will remain a global economic driver.
I
don’t need to tell you about what is happening in Russia. As I have
said more than once, we have some problems, and the growth rate,
including the GDP, has dropped. On the other hand, we have maintained
our reserves, an acceptable ruble rate, and a trade surplus.
Considering our economic foundations, there are grounds to believe
that we will overcome these problems.
As
for whether BRICS will become an organisation, you know that BRICS
originated in 2005, when we proposed a meeting between the leaders of
China, Russia, and India, who was attending the St Petersburg forum
among outreach participants. They accepted our proposal, we met, and
later we held a special meeting as a group.
Brazil
joined us later, and South Africa followed suit in 2009, I think. It
was a natural process; no one was forced into it. This is extremely
important, because all members of this process sense an objective
need for cooperation. This, in particular, concerns the need to
create more democratic principles for the global economy.
Mutual
assistance is also important. This is why we have created the new
Development Bank and the Contingent Reserve Arrangement, each of them
worth $200 billion. Our cooperation instruments are already taking
shape. This is important. Do we need a bureaucratic structure? I
don’t think there is any need for it right now. To be able to
better coordinate our cooperation, as I said, we will create a
virtual or electronic secretariat.
Question:
Good afternoon, I’m Olga Skobeyeva from the Rossiya television
network. As we can see, the BRICS countries have decided not to
expand for the time being, whereas the SCO has launched the process
of accepting new members. How much will the SCO expand in your
opinion? Won’t its unity disappear with the accession of new
members?
Vladimir
Putin: I understand your question and the logic that more members
will make it harder for the SCO to reach consensus. All issues are
decided by consensus in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation. We do
not operate like a bloc and nobody imposes any decisions on anyone.
All
decisions are taken unanimously. Consensus among many countries,
especially neighbours that have many objective questions for each
other and often a complicated historical background, is what makes
our decisions so strong. We are making complex, meticulous and
lengthy but joint efforts on the road to common decisions. If we
arrive at them, stability is guaranteed.
Question:
Who else will join the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation?
Vladimir
Putin: It is too early to speak about this. We have decided to start
the process of approving full membership for India and Pakistan. We
all know the background of relations between these two countries. We
are hoping that the SCO will become an additional venue for finding
compromises and solutions on disputed issues. We know that Iran also
wants to join and we are considering this possibility. As I said,
other countries are very interested but for the time being we must
deal with full membership for India and Pakistan. This process has
just been officially launched. We must first complete it and then
decide what to do next.
Question:
Kira Latukhina from Rossiyskaya Gazeta. Mr Putin, after your talks
with the Chinese leader in May you promised to focus on seeking
points of convergence between the Eurasian Economic Union (to which
Russia devotes significant attention) and the Chinese project for a
Silk Road Economic Belt. Was this issue discussed at the summits and
what is the practical importance of this initiative?
Vladimir
Putin: Yes, this issue was discussed and in different formats –
both at limited attendance and expanded meetings, if you noticed. I
don’t remember when exactly the journalists left the hall and when
they were present. Anyway, we discussed this issue in different
formats and we believe that these two projects are compatible and not
contradictory. Moreover, our colleagues in the SCO and BRICS often
talk about the need to develop infrastructure without which it is
impossible to ensure sustainable development. This applies to
railways, roads, air transport and pipelines. It is hard to dispute
this. Meanwhile, the Silk Road Economic Belt projects and our plans
for the development of Tran-Siberian Railway and the Baikal-Amur
Railway and some of our other projects in the EAEU obviously require
joint efforts. We are actively discussing ways of doing this and I’m
confident we’ll find them.
Question:
Ilona Rudneva, RIA Novosti. Mr Putin, I have a question about Iran
for you. Talks on the Iranian nuclear issue are underway in Vienna.
The Group of Six is optimistic and looking forward to achieving a
speedy settlement. What do you think about this? Are you optimistic
in this regard? Also, how detailed were your discussions about the
nuclear programme during your talks with President Rouhani?
My
last question is also about Iran – could you please state your
position on the possible lifting of sanctions on Iran. Won’t it
lead to a collapse in oil prices?
Vladimir
Putin: Regarding talks on the Iranian nuclear issue, of course, we
discussed it yesterday with President Rouhani. Almost all foreign
ministers are now in Vienna, except our minister, but he reassured us
yesterday that we are on top of the negotiations process.
On
a more serious note, we really are aware of what is going on there,
and our minister is in touch with his partners and colleagues in
Vienna. We participate actively in this process.
I
hope that soon it will come to completion with the signing of the
necessary documents and coordination of guarantees which, I believe,
are extremely important: first, in terms of international security
and the non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. In this
sense, not only Iran and the participants of the negotiation process
are the stakeholders, but also all of the countries in the region,
including Arab countries and Israel.
Second,
of course, we operate on the premise that Iran will see all of the
sanctions lifted. The question is when, what particular sanctions,
and so on.
We
are in favour of the comprehensive lifting of the sanctions as soon
as possible, as we believe that sanctions are an inadequate approach
to resolving international issues and problems. However, all
negotiation partners have their own perspectives on this issue. There
must be a compromise. In my opinion, it will be achieved soon. At the
same time, Iran will, of course, boost its oil production, but this
is also a natural process.
We
believe that a tool such as sanctions should no longer be a part of
international economic relations, or international relations in
general. It should not be used in the global economy, as it turns it
upside down. We all must live in a normal and natural environment.
Only this will allow us to ensure sustainable, stable and safe
development. Regarding the increase of oil production, yes, this is
possible. The global economy will adapt. What I mean is that the
consumption will, of course, grow. The same applies to the Russian
economy. We are absolutely ready for this.
Question:
Kseniya Golovanova, Interfax. Mr Putin, did you manage to discuss the
situation in Ukraine with your colleagues from the SCO and BRICS? If
so, did you see them support Russian approaches to resolving this
crisis? I would also like to hear your assessment of the current
situation in Ukraine. Don’t you think that the settlement is
treading water?
Vladimir
Putin: I’ll start with your last point. I do think that to a
certain extent the settlement is stalling due to the fact that our
partners in Kiev are not willing to negotiate directly with Lugansk
and Donetsk. It looks a bit strange, as precisely our partners from
Kiev insisted on the Donetsk and Lugansk leaders showing up in Minsk
and signing these documents. They did come to Minsk and signed the
documents, stating that they are prepared to comply. What we see now
is that Kiev does not want to talk with them directly. Why then ask
them to come and sign the documents? It is strange, to say the least.
We will take it as a tactical ploy. I am more inclined to believe
that we have better chances to succeed than fail. This is my first
point.
Second,
with regard to whether we discussed this issue or not – some of our
colleagues asked us about Ukraine without going too deep into the
issue, and we gave them our vision of the situation the way that we
see it.
This
issue is incorporated in the final documents as well. However, we all
agree on one thing – there is no way to resolve the Ukraine crisis
other than peacefully by fully and unconditionally complying with the
Minsk agreements.
Question:
Darya Stanislavets, RIA Novosti, Prime. Greece is going through a
serious crisis. It has not yet reached an agreement with its
creditors. You met with Mr Tsipras [Greek Prime Minister Alexis
Tsipras] in St Petersburg and spoke to him on the telephone after the
referendum. Did Athens ask Russia for financial assistance? Did
Russia promise such assistance? Is Russia able and willing to provide
such assistance given its own economic difficulties? Could such
assistance be provided, for example, by the New Development Bank?
Also,
what do you personally think about the Greek creditors’ proposals?
If you were in Mr Tsipras’s shoes, would you accept or reject them?
Vladimir
Putin: Russia of course can provide assistance to its partners no
matter what. Despite Russia’s economic difficulties, the
fundamentals of our economic situation today are such that we are in
a position to do this. What’s more, we do provide it to certain
countries.
Regarding
Greece, we have a special relationship of spiritual kinship and
religious and historical affinity with it. However, Greece is an EU
country, and within the bounds of its obligations, it is conducting
rather complicated negotiations with its partners in united Europe.
Mr Tsipras has not asked us for any assistance. This is only natural,
because the figures are too high.
We
know what is on the table, and fundamental decisions have to be
taken. This is not even a matter of money. It is a matter of economic
development principles and the principles of resolving these problems
with their partners in the foreseeable future. We have already said –
I have said it in public – that of course the Greeks can be blamed
for everything but if they committed violations, where was the
European Commission? Why did it not correct the activity of previous
Greek governments? Why did they grant bonuses and loans? Why did they
allow it to keep such a low profile on taxation in certain sectors of
the economy? Why were there such big subsidies for the islands? And
so on and so forth. Where were they earlier? So, there is something
to discuss, and the Greek government has something to argue about.
Furthermore,
when one powerful currency is used in a number of countries with
different levels of economic development, then the country is unable
to regulate either its finances or its economic situation via
currency mechanisms. Greece cannot devalue the euro, can it? It’s
impossible.
It
does not have this tool or the possibility of drawing more tourists,
while tourism is one of Greece’s principal industries – in the
context of its obligations within the Schengen zone. It has to limit
its agricultural production because it has to stay within the quotas
set by Brussels, and it has to limit fishing and many other things.
In other words, there are limitations but there are also advantages
in EU membership, related to soft loans, bonuses and so on. This,
however, is the sovereign choice of the Greek leadership and the
Greek people. This does not directly affect us but indirectly, of
course, it affects all of Europe and Russia, despite the fact that we
are not an EU member, because we have extensive trade and economic
ties with Europe, while Europe is our number one trade and economic
partner. Naturally, we are watching this very closely and with a
certain measure of anxiety, but we still hope that the crisis will be
resolved in the very near future.
Question:
Xinhua news agency, China. Russia is currently pursuing a strategy to
develop Siberia and the Far East. What steps is the Russian
Government taking to implement this strategy? And how do you see
China’s role in the development of this region?
Vladimir
Putin: The Russian Government has adopted a number of decisions aimed
at creating favourable conditions for doing business in these
regions. We are talking about creating areas of accelerated
development and offering certain incentives to economic actors. We
are talking about reducing taxes on so-called greenfield projects –
I am referring to facilities that start from scratch. We are
discussing a number of other preferences and benefits to be granted
to companies that are going to start doing business in the eastern
parts of the country, such as, for example, building free ports, and
so on and so forth.
In
the near future (as I said in my opening remarks), we intend to
organise an economic summit for the first time in the Far East, and I
have informed our colleagues from China. We invite Chinese businesses
to participate in this forum and we will give you the details on all
the opportunities that are opening up in the Far East. I think that
Chinese companies could participate and make a significant
contribution to attaining the goals that we set for ourselves in the
region – to their advantage, of course.
Question:
Mr Putin, Vesti-Bashkortostan, the local affiliate of VGTRK state
broadcasting company. You said in your opening remarks that you
appreciated the preparations. I take that as a positive assessment.
Does this mean that the Republic of Bashkortostan, Ufa is capable of
hosting international events, and not necessarily political ones?
Could it be a sporting event in the future?
Vladimir
Putin: Of course, if you have hosted two major international forums
such as the SCO and BRICS summits, with a large number of guests, and
media representatives, why not?
I
know that in the run-up to these summits in Bashkortostan, the local
authorities did more than improve the road infrastructure and create
an excellent work space they also built several hotels. How many?
Remark:
Seven.
Vladimir
Putin: Seven high-end international hotels built. Everything has been
arranged to host major events here. We will continue consultations
and contacts with the leadership of the republic and think about it,
maybe bring in sports and other activities, possibly political
events, these could be repeated as well.
Question:
Lifenews TV Channel. Mr Putin, at the meeting with the Indian Prime
Minister, you promised to try out yoga. Have you done this yet? Maybe
you can already tell us about your achievements.
Vladimir
Putin: Yoga implies development from the physical aspect to the
spiritual one. Let’s say I have started with the spiritual aspect
so far, but I still have to cover a lot of ground. Here’s a young
woman raising her hand. Please, ask me your final question.
Remark:
Roxolana Chernoba, Rare Lands magazine.
Vladimir
Putin: I know rare metals, but rare lands…
Question:
What will the world be like in 10 to 20 years in the context of the
current agreements? Will we have BRICS bank cards, or BRICS
passports? What should we expect in a decade? What languages should
our children study?
Vladimir
Putin: Russian, Bashkir…
As
for financial instruments, we must launch our plastic cards on a full
scale this year and make them accessible to our citizens. We must
have them not only in Russia but also abroad, like some other
countries are gradually doing; for instance, Japan and China. I’m
sure we’ll do this 100 per cent. We have a vast market. But what
have we done? Visa and MasterCard are used by 97 per cent of the
people in Russia. Is this normal? Not at all, but we allowed our
partners to do this proceeding from the premise that the economy is
outside politics. But it happened that this is not the case. The
economy is immersed in politics and, moreover, being used as an
instrument of political struggle. So we’ll have to draw conclusions
from this.
I
have said many times that this does not mean that we must surround
ourselves by some wall. This won’t happen. We’ll use all
instruments of cooperation with all countries, including the United
States and European and Asian states. Naturally, we’ll primarily
develop relations with those countries that want to cooperate with
us. The BRICS countries want to do this. They are powerful states
with a strategic prospect of development. They are leaders – the
future leaders of the world and the global economy. Look at their
human and natural resources and potential; look at their growth
rates. So I’m confident that new instruments of cooperation will
appear. They will have a favourable influence on the citizens of our
countries and we’ll live in a world that will be more balanced,
more safe and prosperous.
Thank
you very much for your attention.
War news from Novorossia
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