I
have recorded a podcast in which I discuss weather conditions in New
Zealand and contradictory statements by NIWA scentist, Chris
Brandolino to the media and what this might mean
Drought conditions in NZ softpeddled
Seemorerocks
Here is my summary of figures supplied by NIWA reflecting an increase in temperatures from the late 90's. In particular the average maximum temperatures in the last 3 years, especially in autumn, have exceeded those during the el-Nino year of 1998.
-
Mean Daily Maximum
Temperature
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1998
|
20
|
22.4
|
17.9
|
15.9
|
15.2
|
12.4
|
13.1
|
11.9
|
114.5
|
15.8
|
17.1
|
19.2
|
2013
|
21
|
20.9
|
20.1
|
17.3
|
14.6
|
11.5
|
11.8
|
13
|
14.1
|
15.3
|
16.1
|
19.7
|
2014
|
19.6
|
20.5
|
18.7
|
17.2
|
15
|
11.6
|
12.5
|
13.7
|
13.8
|
15.5
|
17.8
|
19.9
|
2015
|
22
|
20.4
|
19.9
|
17
|
14.7
|
14.1
|
11.6
|
12
|
14.5
|
16.2
|
16.8
|
18.6
|
2016
|
20.7
|
23.3
|
20.6
|
18.3
|
-
|
Here is an article reflecting the reality echoing NIWA
Summer
temperatures into the mid 20s, but in May around midnight?
4
May, 2016
Updated
10:52pm -- New Zealand's sub-tropical air flow continues, with
temperatures tonight not just several degrees above average but
getting closer to 15 degrees above average. As of 10pm it was
still a stunning 25 degrees in Kaikoura - typically in May overnight
lows are dipping down into single digits.
It's
not just the small centres - Christchurch has 21 degrees with a
northerly breeze. Right across Canterbury the temperature is hovering
around the low 20s as we head towards 10m.
Wellington
has 19 degrees along with a fairly brisk northerly.
Meanwhile,
Auckland has 19 degrees. Incredibly it comes with mostly clear,
calm conditions in Auckland. Just down the road in Hamilton, it's
only 11 degrees with 100% humidity. in Auckland humidity levels are
around 90%. The higher humidity in the north means the air is
damper and may feel colder to some people, especially if there's a brŠ“eze.
Dunedin
was mild earlier this evening, but a southerly has seen the
temperature drop there.
Overall
the airflow across New Zealand is tumbling down from the sub-tropics
- caused by a large high pressure system centred to our northeast.
With the high being north of New Zealand it means the air flow
surrounding it is 'reaching' much further north, closer to Fiji and
New Caledonia.
WeatherWatch.co.nz
says the sub-tropical airflow will continue until May 10th for many
areas - after that winds turn westerly (which is more Autumn-like).
It may still remain mild though. For northern New Zealand,
conditions may remain warmer than average for the first three weeks
of May.
While
it's mild in many regions tonight - light winds and nights that are
longer than days mean we'll still have colder mornings, however
WeatherWatch.co.nz says the warm spell around the country at the
moment may prove to be record-challenging for a number of places, if
not record breaking.
Below
-- The current temperature map at 9:25pm (data collected from
hundreds of community weather stations across the country) shows that
New Zealand is 'glowing'. The orange areas are low to mid-20s, which
is something we'd see during daytime in summer, rather than late
evening in May / WUNDERGROUND
Below - CURRENT WIND MAP shows the big stream of sub-tropical air coming down over New Zealand at the moment / earth.nullschool.net
Here are some photos taken just yesterday in rural Wellington reflecting the drought conditions
On the road between Ohariu and Takawau Gorge
This photo shows how low the stream is. During flood events it has reached road level
A close-up photo showing grass and soil conditions on the farm
This is the way the horses come down from the hills
This is the complete inteview with Paul Henry on TV3 in March
The complete Morning Report interview with Chris Bandolino is HERE
Brilliant observations! :-)
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