Research by Jennifer Francis on the connecection of Arctic warming to weather patterns in mid-latitudes
Jennifer Francis, Natasa Skific
The effects of rapid Arctic warming and ice loss on weather patterns in the Northern Hemisphere is a topic of active research, lively scientific debate and high societal impact. The emergence of Arctic amplification—the enhanced sensitivity of high-latitude temperature to global warming—in only the last 10–20 years presents a challenge to identifying statistically robust atmospheric responses using observations. Several recent studies have proposed and demonstrated new mechanisms by which the changing Arctic may be affecting weather patterns in mid-latitudes, and these linkages differ fundamentally from tropics/jet-stream interactions through the transfer of wave energy. In this study, new metrics and evidence are presented that suggest disproportionate Arctic warming—and resulting weakening of the poleward temperature gradient—is causing the Northern Hemisphere circulation to assume a more meridional character (i.e. wavier), although not uniformly in space or by season, and that highly amplified jet-stream patterns are occurring more frequently. Further analysis based on self-organizing maps supports this finding. These changes in circulation are expected to lead to persistent weather patterns that are known to cause extreme weather events. As emissions of greenhouse gases continue unabated, therefore, the continued amplification of Arctic warming should favour an increased occurrence of extreme events caused by prolonged weather conditions.
The
Earth warms both when fossil fuel carbon is oxidized to carbon
dioxide and when greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide inhibits
longwave radiation from escaping to space. Various important time
scales and ratios comparing these two climate forcings have not
previously been quantified. For example, the global and
time-integrated radiative forcing from burning a fossil fuel exceeds
the heat released upon combustion within 2 months. Over the long
lifetime of CO2 in the atmosphere, the cumulative CO2-radiative
forcing exceeds the amount of energy released upon combustion by a
factor >100,000. For a new power plant, the radiative forcing from
the accumulation of released CO2 exceeds the direct thermal emissions
in less than half a year. Furthermore, we show that the energy
released from the combustion of fossil fuels is now about 1.71% of
the radiative forcing from CO2 that has accumulated in the atmosphere
as a consequence of historical fossil fuel combustion
Karl et al. (2015) finds no ‘hiatus’ in global surface warming despite natural cooling effects
Two mysteries solved
- Vertical shafts in the ice sheet, called moulins, can funnel melt water beneath parts of the glacier and lift them up
- This causes cracks beneath the so-called lakes that empty them in hours
Antarctica's
Dry Valleys are the most arid places on Earth, but underneath their
icy soils lies a vast and ancient network of salty, liquid water
filled with life, a new study finds.
The
Dry Valleys are almost entirely ice-free, except for a few isolated
glaciers. The only surface water is a handful of small lakes. Inside
the canyons, the climate is extremely dry, cold and windy;
researchers have stumbled upon mummified seals in these gorges that
are thousands of years old.
Yet
there is life in this extreme landscape. For instance, bacteria
living under Taylor Glacier stain its snout a deep blood red. The
rust-colored brine, called Blood Falls, pours into Lake Bonney in the
southernmost of the three largest Dry Valleys. The dramatic colors
offer shocking relief to senses overwhelmed by the glaring white ice
and dull brown rocks
The
Guardian's investigation into China's coal addiction contains some
startling facts
Our
Climate Desk partners at the Guardian have published a beautiful—and
terrifying—multimedia story from deep inside China's coal belt.
It's the third installment in the paper's ongoing "carbon bombs"
series: investigations into giant fossil fuel projects from around
the world that are super-charging global warming, or that have the
potential to do so. Today's deep-dive into China's ravenous use of
coal is eye-opening not only because it explores the long-lasting
impact of burning coal on the nation's health, but also because it
illustrates the country's outsized impact on global climate change
through coal-related emissions
The
human race is really starting to feel the consequences of their
actions. One area we are waking up to is the massive amount of
pesticides we spray (especially in North America) on our food that
has not only been linked to human disease, but a massive die off in
the global bee population within the past few years.
A
new study out of Harvard University, published in the June edition of
the Bulletin of Insectology puts the nail in the coffin,
neonicotinoids are killing bees at an exponential rate, they are the
direct cause of the phenomenon labeled as colony collapse disorder
(CCD). Neonicotinoid’s are the world’s most widely used
insecticides.
“The
results from this study not only replicate findings from the previous
study, but also reinforce the conclusion that the sublethal exposure
to neonicotinoids is likely the main culprit for the occurrence of
CCD.”
Millions
of bees dropped dead after GMO corn was planted few weeks ago in
Ontario, Canada. The local bee keeper, Dave Schuit who produces honey
in Elmwood lost about 37 million bees which are about 600 hives.
Britain,
Germany, Italy, Japan and France burned more coal between 2009 and
2013 and demanded poor countries slash their carbon emissions
Britain,
Germany, Italy, Japan and France together burned 16% more coal in
2013 than 2009 and are planning to further increase construction of
coal-fired power stations. Only the US and Canada of the G7 countries
meeting on Monday in Berlin have reduced coal consumption since the
Copenhagen climate summit in 2009.
The
US has reduced its coal consumption by 8% largely because of fracking
for shale gas. Overall, the G7 countries reduced coal consumption by
less than 1% between 2009-2013, the Oxfam research shows
Just in case you're still unmoved
The
global warming crisis may begin impacting your mornings soon.
According to a new study, in ScienceDirect, rising nighttime
temperatures in Tanzania have led to a decrease in Arabica bean crop
yields.
While
many have assumed that climate change could eventually impact coffee
production, this is the first hard evidence we have that it's already
having an effect. "Increases in temperature and changes in
precipitation patterns will decrease yield, reduce quality and
increase pest and disease pressure," the report explains. We
could soon see similar shifts in Costa Rica, Brazil, Kenya, and other
Arabica growing regions.
The
dead are haunting Northern Ireland, as flooding graves have been
found to be leaching cancer-causing formaldehyde and ammonia into the
soil. These toxic chemicals, used in the embalming process, are being
washed off of decomposing bodies in water-logged coffins. Thanks to
the proximity of many affected graveyards to city centers, the same
chemicals that will someday be used to preserve corpses may already
be inside of residents
When it comes to climate change, we are thoroughly wrong in comprehending it. Earth is designed to sustain temperature within certain limit. It is governed by two opposing cycles- heating and cooling. Earth works much like a living being. What is happening is that under human ignorance and his reckless exploitation of material nature, he is accelerating the change. Thus, we are heading for increased destruction by both unwinding and winding force that manifest as fire/wind, flash flood/snows, earthquakes and volcanic eruption. We are moving in self-destructive path. We can survive provided we awaken to simple principle and design on which nature functions https://www.scribd.com/doc/248327805/Truth-About-Climate-Change-How-It-is-Unfolding-and-Can-We-Survive
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