I
don’t recall this happening before.
We've had volatility in the past and yet there have been no warnings like this.
Do
they know something we're not supposed to know?
Kiwisaver
in New Zealand (the nations’ pension scheme) has sent this out to
reassure their investors
If
you want to know if something is really happening wait for the
official denial.
A
harbinger of things to come?
First
things first – it’s important to remember that it’s normal for
markets to go up and down. Whilst it’s concerning for KiwiSaver
members when markets fall, it’s all part of the natural cycle that
markets go through.
This
cycle is driven by a lot of factors, including economic data,
politics and company performance. Investor emotion - namely fear and
greed – can also be a big driver of markets in the short-term.
Investors often react to negative headlines, and panic, selling their
investments and causing prices and markets to fall. Once prices drop
low enough, investors become greedy again, start buying and markets
become more buoyant.
The
fear KiwiSaver members might have around losing money on their
investment is normal. And the urge to do something to combat that
fear – like switching investment funds - is also normal. But the
important thing to remember is not to panic.
Can
my account balance go down?
How
much your account is affected by market volatility depends on which
of our investment funds you are invested in. While all investments
have some degree of risk, they typically sit along a risk and return
spectrum – generally speaking, the greater the risk, the higher
your potential return.
So,
if your money is in a conservative investment fund, which usually
invests in lower-risk investments such as cash and bonds, with a
smaller allocation to shares, chances are you won’t be affected as
much when markets go down.
However,
if your money is invested in a growth investment fund, which has a
greater exposure to markets and, therefore, sits at the higher end of
the risk and return spectrum, your KiwiSaver balance stands more
chance of being impacted when share markets fluctuate.
A
useful rule of thumb is that riskier assets such as shares will fall
by up to a third every five to seven years and take five to seven
years to regain their value. This means that shares can deliver no
returns at all for significant periods of time, and investors should
be prepared for this at any point. However, to compensate you for
taking on all this risk, you can generally expect to be paid
significantly higher returns over the long run.
So,
should you change which fund your money is invested in simply because
of a downturn in the market?
Well,
as with any investment, that depends on a number of factors,
including your investment timeframe, your tolerance for risk, and
your general financial situation.... blah, blah, blah
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