Sunday 11 September 2016

Guy McPherson inteviewed

Guy McPherson on American Freedom Radio with Carol Rosin

Listen to podcast HERE

1 comment:

  1. Guy Mcpherson checks out as an honest purveyor of information
    The Charney Report 1979
    - page viii
    "The conclusions of this brief but
    intense investigation may be comforting
    to scientists but disturbing to
    policymakers. If carbon dioxide
    continues to increase, the study group
    finds no reason to doubt that climate
    changes will result and no reason to
    believe that these changes will be
    negligible. The conclusions of prior
    studies have been generally reaffirmed.
    However, the global climate system, may
    be expected to slow the course of
    observable climate change. A wait-and-
    see policy may mean waiting until it is
    too late."

    Page 6
    "Considering the uncertainties, it would
    appear that a doubling of atmospheric
    carbon dioxide will occur by 2030 if the
    use of fossil fuels continues to grow at
    a ratio of about 4 percent per year, as
    was the case until a few years ago. ....
    at today's levels shifts the time for
    doubling well into the twenty-second

    My note: Doubling as read it means
    580ppm. The pre-industrial level
    understood in 1979 to be 290ppm & not
    280ppm as understood today.
    They were expecting about a 2C to 3.5C
    eventual Heat balance from doubling about

    Page 8. Ignoring feedbacks ...."For such
    a case, doubled CO2 produces a
    temperature increase of 1C."
    1C was expected by 2030. Water vapor
    increases by about a factor of 2.
    "For a doubled CO2, the temperature
    increase would be 2C.

    Page 1
    (We) ...."have assumed a rate of CO2
    increase that would lead to a doubling of
    airborne concentrations by some time in
    the first half of the twenty-first

    When it is assumed that the CO2 content
    of the atmosphere is doubled, and
    statistical thermal equilibrium is
    achieved, the more realistic of the
    modeling efforts predict a global surface
    warming of between 2C & 3.5C, with greater
    increases at high latitudes.
    Page 2
    "The warming will be accompanied by shifts
    in the geographical distribution of
    various climatic elements such as
    temperature, rainfall, evaporation and
    soil moisture. The evidence is that
    variations in the anomalies with
    latitude, longitude, and season well be
    at least as great as the globally and
    season will be at least as great as the
    globally averaged changes themselves, and
    it would be misleading to predict
    regional climatic changes on the basis
    of the global or zonal averages alone."

    ....It appears that the warming will
    eventually occur, and the associated
    regional climatic changes so important
    "For more than a century, we have been aware that changes in the composition of the atmosphere could affect its ability ot trap the sun's energy for our benefit. We now have incontrovertible evidence that the atmosphere is indeed changing and that we ourselves contribute to that change. Atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide are steadily increasing, and these changes are linked with man's use of fossil fuels and exploitation of the land. Since carbon dioxide plays a significant role in the heat budget of the atmosphere, it is reasonable to suppose that continued increases would affect climate. ....consensus has been that increasing carbon dioxide will lead to a warmer earth with a different distribution of climate regimes."
    to the assessment of socioeconomic
    consequences may well be significant....
    Page 17
    "If the CO2 concentration of the
    atmosphere is indeed doubled and remains
    so long enough for the atmosphere and the
    intermediate layers of the ocean to
    attain approximate thermal equilibrium,
    our best estimate is that changes in
    global temperature of the order of 3C
    will occur and that the will be
    accompanied by significant changes in
    regional climatic patterns.


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