There is very little across the western media right now and naturally there is silence from Iran’s Press TV and indeed I can find nothing yet from RT or Sputnik.
This
analysis was done by the very good Moon of Alabama. However, I think
the disturbances have taken on a political nature since this was
written.
I have not doubt that this is an attempt at regime change/colour revolution with American and Saudi-Israeli fingerprints all over it.
This
analysis was done by the very good Moon of Alabama. However, I think
the disturbances have taken on a political nature since this was
written.
Iran - Regime Change Agents Hijack Economic Protests
29
December, 2017
Yesterday
and today saw some small protests in Iran. They are probably the
first stage of a large "regime change" operation run by the
U.S. and Israel with the help of Iranian terrorist group.
A delegation led by Israel's National Security Adviser met with senior American officials in the White House earlier this month for a joint discussion on strategy to counter Iran's aggression in the Middle East, a senior U.S. official confirmed to Haaretz.
"[T]he U.S. and Israel see eye to eye the different developments in the region and especially those that are connected to Iran. We reached at understandings regarding the strategy and the policy needed to counter Iran. Our understandings deal with the overall strategy but also with concrete goals, way of action and the means which need to be used to get obtain those goals."
This is
probably a result of the above meeting:
Hundreds took to the streets of Iran’s second largest city of Mashad on Thursday to protest over high prices, shouting slogans against the government.
Videos posted on social media showed demonstrators in Mashad in northwest Iran, one of the holiest places in Shia Islam, chanting “death to (President Hassan) Rouhani” and “death to the dictator”.
The semi-official ILNA news agency and social media reported demonstrations in other cities in Razavi Khorasan Province, including Neyshabour and Kashmar.
A video of
that protest in Mashad showed some 50 people chanting slogans with
more bystander just milling around.
Protests
against the (neo-)liberal economic policies of the Rohani government
in Iran are justified. Official unemployment in Iran is above 12% and
there is hardly any economic growth. The people in the streets are
not the only ones who are dissatisfied with this:
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has repeatedly criticized the government’s economic record, said on Wednesday that the nation was struggling with “high prices, inflation and recession”, and asked officials to resolve the problems with determination.
On
Thursday and today the slogans of some protesters turned the call for
economic relief into a call for regime change.
My
hunch is that the usual suspects are behind these protests. Note that
these started in several cities at the same time. This was not some
spontaneous local uproar in one city but had some form of
coordination.
Then
there is this:
Carl Bildt @carlbildt - 9:38 PM - 28 Dec 2017 from Rome, Lazio
Reports of signals of international satellite TV networks jammed in large cities of Iran. Would be sign of regime fear of today’s protests spreading.
A
search in various languages finds exactly zero such "reports".
Carl Bildt is a former Swedish prime minister. He was recruited in
1973 as
a CIA
informant and
has since grown into a full blown U.S. asset. He was involved
in the Ukraine coup and
tried to personally profit from it.
The
only response to Bildt's tweet was from one Riyad
Swed - @SwedRiyad who
posted several videos of protests with one of them showing burning
police car.
I
am not sure the video is genuine. The account has some unusual
attributes (active since September 2016, 655 tweets but only 32
followers?).
Just
yesterday one
lecture at
the CCC "hacker" congress was about the British GHCQ Secret
Service and its sock-puppet accounts on Twitter and Facebook. These
are used for acquiring human intelligence and for running "regime
change" operations. Page 14-18 of the slides (11:20 min) cite
from obtained GCHQ papers which lists Iran as one of the targets. The
speaker specifically notes a GCHQ account "@2009Iranfree"
which was used in generating the protests in Iran after the
reelection of then President Ahmedinejad.
Today,
Friday and the weekly day off in Iran, several more protest took
place in other cities. A Reuters report from
today:
About 300 demonstrators gathered in Kermanshah after what Fars called a “call by the anti-revolution” and shouted “Political prisoners should be freed” and “Freedom or death”, while destroying some public property. Fars did not name any opposition groups.
...
Footage, which could not be verified, showed protests in other cities including Sari and Rasht in the north, Qom south of Tehran, and Hamadan in the west.
Mohsen Nasj Hamadani, deputy security chief in Tehran province, said about 50 people had rallied in a Tehran square and most left after being asked by police, but a few who refused were “temporarily detained”, the ILNA news agency reported.
Some
of these protests have genuine economic reasons but get hijacked by
other interests:
In the central city of Isfahan, a resident said protesters joined a rally held by factory workers demanding back wages.
“The slogans quickly changed from the economy to those against (President Hassan) Rouhani and the Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Ali Khamenei),” the resident said by telephone.
...
Purely political protests are rare in Iran [...] but demonstrations are often held by workersover layoffs or non-payment of salaries and people who hold deposits in non-regulated, bankrupt financial institutions.
...
Alamolhoda, the representative of Ayatollah Khamenei in northeastern Mashhad, said a few people had taken advantage of Thursday’s protests against rising prices to chant slogans against Iran’s role in regional conflicts.
...
“Some people had came to express their demands, but suddenly, in a crowd of hundreds, a small group that did not exceed 50 shouted deviant and horrendous slogans such as ‘Let go of Palestine’, ‘Not Gaza, not Lebanon, I’d give my life (only) for Iran’,” Alamolhoda said.
Two videos posted
by BBC Persian and others I have seen show only small active protest
groups with a dozen or so people while many more are just standing by
or film the people who are chanting slogans.
Videos
published by the terrorist
group Mujahedin-e
Khalq [MEK], 1, 2, 3, 4, 5,
also show mostly small protests despite the MEK's claim of Tens
of thousands of people chant “death to dictator".
The MEK, or its "civilian" organization National Council of
Resistance of Iran , seem to be most involved in the current
protests. Its website is
currently filled with the protest issue with a total of ten reports
and its head figure issued a
supportive statement:
Mrs. Maryam Rajavi, President-elect of the Iranian Resistance, saluted the heroic people of Kermanshah and other cities who rose up today chanting “death or freedom”, “death to Rouhani”, “death to the dictator”, and “political prisoners must be freed”, and protested against high prices, poverty and corruption.
She said, “Yesterday Mashhad, today Kermanshah, and tomorrow throughout Iran; this uprising has tolled the death knell for the overthrow of the totally corrupt dictatorship of the mullahs, and is the rise of democracy, justice and popular sovereignty.
This
very early engagement of the MEK -its first
report was
published yesterday at 10:26 am- is extremely suspicious.
In
2012 it was reported that Israel had
used the
MEK terrorist organization to assassinate nuclear scientists in Iran:
On Thursday, U.S. officials speaking to NBC news claimed that Mossad agents were training members of the dissident terror group People’s Mujahedin of Iran in order assassinate Iranian nuclear scientists, adding that the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama was aware of the operation, but had no direct link to them.
The U.S. officials reportedly confirmed the link between Israel and the People’s Mujahedin of Iran (MEK), with one official saying: "All your inclinations are correct.”
In
October a CATO Institute paper analyzed (and
rejected) several options for U.S. handling Iran. Under Option Three:
“Regime
Change from Within”
it noted:
In this approach, the United States would pressure the Iranian regime and simultaneously back groups that oppose it-whether the exiled extremist National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), pro-democracy Green Revolution factions, or ethnic minorities within Iran-a strategy advocates often compare to Reagan’s support for civil society groups in the Soviet Union.
...
[A] proponent of “coerced democratization,” the Foundation for Defense of Democracies’ Mark Dubowitz, urged President Trump to “go on the offensive against the Iranian regime” by “weakening the Iranian regime’s finances” through “massive economic sanctions,” while also “undermin[ing] Iran’s rulers by strengthening pro-democracy forces”inside Iran. This option appears to be gaining traction in the Trump administration’s ongoing Iran policy review and has received public support from Tillerson. CIA Director Mike Pompeo also favored such an approach during his time in Congress.
The
MEK/NCRI noted that
Senator Tom Cotton, who will likely replace CIA chief Pompeo when
Pompeo moves to the State Department, issued a supportive statement
for the protests.
The
White House and the Netanyahoo regime agreed on a strategy towards
Iran. Major members of the Trump administration are in favor of
"regime change" by "pro-democracy forces" in
Iran. A few weeks after an agreement was found, coordinated economic
protests start in Iran which are soon hijacked by small groups of
very active regime changers. A group of Iranian exile terrorists,
well known for deadly collaboration with Israeli spies as well as for
having operation cells in Iran, is highly engaged in the protest from
very early on.
If
this the "regime change" operation I presume, the protests
will soon get bigger.
When the people need money a few thousand
dollars are enough to create a large crowd. Small groups will riot
while hiding within the larger protests of maybe genuinely concerned
people. The "western" media will engage with their usual
pseudo liberal humanism and concern trolling. When the police in Iran
tries to arrest those rioters who are raising havoc the media will
scream "brutality". Some "martyr" will be created
and iconified. Rumors of censorship and suppression will be raised
(see Carl Bildt above), fake news will come from everywhere and
hundreds of sock puppet Twitter and Facebook accounts will suddenly
be "Iranian" and breathlessly report "from the scene"
of their Langley offices.
For
the Iranian politicians and police the issue is tricky. Economic
protests are clearly justified with even Khameni voicing support for
the issue. But rioting in the streets must be suppressed before it
further escalates and becomes uncontrollable. Weapons on the
protesters site firing in all directions may soon become a problem.
The Mossad and the MEK are not shy of killing random people.
But
the Islamic Republic in Iran has genuine support in large parts of
the society. There are big civil organizations that support the
government - not on every issue but in its general framework. Most
Iranian's are proud nationalists and will be difficult to divide. If
this is indeed the "regime change" attempt I suspect, I
predict that it will fail.
Al-Jazeera, which is relatively sympathetic to Baghdad has written this as civil unrest because of food prices.
This is from Reuters
Price protests turn political in Iran as rallies spread
29
December, 2017
DUBAI
(Reuters) - Demonstrators chanted anti-government slogans in several
cities across Iran on Friday, Iranian news agencies and social media
reports said, as price protests turned into the largest wave of
demonstrations since nationwide pro-reform unrest in 2009.
Police
dispersed anti-government demonstrators in the western city of
Kermanshah as protests spread to Tehran and several other cities a
day after rallies in the northeast, the semi-official news agency
Fars said.
The
outbreak of unrest reflects growing discontent over rising prices and
alleged corruption, as well as concern about the Islamic Republic’s
costly involvement in regional conflicts such as those in Syria and
Iraq.
An
official said a few protesters had been arrested in Tehran, and
footage posted on social media showed a heavy police presence in the
capital and some other cities.
Washington
condemned the arrests. “The Iranian government should respect their
people’s rights, including their right to express themselves,”
White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders said in a statement.
The
U.S. State Department in a separate statement urged “all nations to
publicly support the Iranian people and their demands for basic
rights and an end to corruption.”
About
300 demonstrators gathered in Kermanshah after what Fars said was a
“call by the anti-revolution.” They shouted: “Political
prisoners should be freed” and “Freedom or death”, and some
public property was destroyed. Fars did not name any opposition
groups.
The
protests in Kermanshah, the main city in a region where an earthquake
killed over 600 people in November, took place a day after hundreds
rallied in Iran’s second largest city Mashhad to protest at high
prices and shout anti-government slogans.
Videos
posted on social media showed demonstrators yelling, “The people
are begging, the clerics act like God.”
Fars
said there were protests in the cities of Sari and Rasht in the
north, Qazvin west of Tehran and Qom south of the capital, and also
in Hamadan in western Iran. It said many marchers who wanted to raise
economic demands left the rallies after demonstrators shouted
political slogans.
PRO-GOVERNMENT
RALLIES PLANNED
State
television said annual nationwide rallies and events were scheduled
for Saturday to commemorate pro-government demonstrations held in
2009 to counter protests by reformists.
The
Revolutionary Guards, which along with its Basij militia spearheaded
a crackdown against the protesters in 2009, said in a statement
carried by state media that there were efforts to repeat that year’s
unrest but added: “The Iranian nation ... will not allow the
country to be hurt.”
Mohsen
Nasj Hamadani, deputy security chief in Tehran province, said about
50 people had rallied in a square but most had left after being asked
to by police, while a few who refused were “temporarily detained,”
the ILNA news agency reported.
In
the central city of Isfahan, a resident said protesters had joined a
rally held by factory workers demanding back-pay.
“The
slogans quickly changed from the economy to those against (President
Hassan) Rouhani and the Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Ali Khamenei),”
the resident said by telephone.
In
Qom, a stronghold of the Shi‘ite clergy, footage posted on social
media showed protesters attacking Ayatollah Khamenei by name. “Seyyed
Ali should be ashamed and leave the country alone,” they chanted.
Protests
were held also in the town of Quchan near the Turkmen border, and in
Ahvaz, capital of oil-rich Khuzestan province, social media and
Iranian news websites reported.
Police
arrested 52 people in Thursday’s protests, Fars quoted a judicial
official as saying in Mashhad, one of the holiest places in Shi‘ite
Islam.
In
social media footage, which could not be authenticated, riot police
were seen using water cannon and tear gas to disperse crowds.
Openly
political protests are rare in Iran, where security services are
omnipresent.
The
last unrest of national significance occurred in 2009 when Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad’s re-election as president ignited eight months of
street protests. Pro-reform rivals said the vote was rigged.
However,
demonstrations are often held by workers over lay-offs or non-payment
of salaries and by people who hold deposits in non-regulated,
bankrupt financial institutions.
Prominent
conservative cleric Ayatollah Ahmad Alamolhoda called earlier for
tough action against the protests.
“If
the security and law enforcement agencies leave the rioters to
themselves, enemies will publish films and pictures in their media
and say that the Islamic Republic system has lost its revolutionary
base in Mashhad,” the state news agency IRNA quoted Alamolhoda as
saying.
“DEATH
TO DICTATOR”
Some
social media videos showed demonstrators chanting “Death to
Rouhani” and “Death to the dictator”. Protests were also held
in at least two other northeastern cities.
Alamolhoda,
the representative of Ayatollah Khamenei in Mashhad, said a few
people had taken advantage of Thursday’s protests against rising
prices to chant slogans against Iran’s role in regional conflicts.
Protests erupt in Iran over high cost of living
Hundreds
demonstrate in Tehran, Kermanshah and other cities against economic
inequality, unemployment and inflation.
29
December, 2017
Hundreds
of protesters have rallied in several Iranian cities against rising
prices, unemployment and economic inequality, according to
anti-government activists and Iran's semi-state news agency Fars.
About
300 people protested in Kermanshah, a city in western Iran, on
Friday, according to Fars.
Police
intervened after protesters damaged public property, the news agency
reported.
Protests
also broke out in the capital Tehran, according to social media.
The
protests came after an earlier demonstration in Mashhad, Iran's
second-largest city, on Thursday drew "thousands" of
residents, anti-government activists said on social media.
Rallies
were also held in a handful of other cities to decry rising food
prices and other economic issues.
The
prices of several staples, including eggs, have risen by up to 40
percent in recent days, the Associated Press news agency said.
Eshaq
Jahangiri, Iran's first vice president, acknowledged that "there
is an increase in the prices of some products", but said "the
government is working on fixing the causes of the high prices".
Jahangiri
also cast doubt on whether the protests were solely motivated by
economic issues.
"The
people behind what is taking place think they will be able to harm
the government, but when social movements and protests start in the
street, those who have ignited them are not always able to control
them," he said.
High
unemployment
In
August, the Iranian Central Bank said inflation had reached 10
percent, the Tehran Times newspaper reported at the time.
The
unemployment rate reached a three-year high of 12.7 percent last
year, according to the World Bank.
Adnan
Tabatabai, a political analyst and co-founder of the Germany-based
Center for Applied Research in Partnership with the Orient, wrote on
Twitter that the protests "are driven by socioeconomic
grievances, not political aspiration".
"Peaceful
sit-ins, strikes & gatherings in front of ministries & state
institutions have happened regularly in various parts of the country,
as people continue to have unresolved/unaddressed economic
grievances," Tabatabai wrote.
Still,
the protests have also been conspicuous for their anti-government
slogans.
On
social media, anti-government activists said protesters had chanted
for the release of political prisoners, while others reportedly
shouted, "Death to Rouhani", referring to Iranian President
Hassan Rouhani, said AFP news agency.
Rouhani,
who was re-elected to a second term in May, has been under pressure
from his conservative opponents inside Iran over perceived efforts to
liberalise the country.
Tabatabai,
the political analyst, said he did not believe the protests were the
start of a revolutionary movement in Iran.
Instead,
he wrote on Twitter that they signal that Rouhani, his government and
Iran's political elite as a whole "must finally take [the]
socioeconomic grievances" of ordinary Iranians seriously.
Videos
of the protests in Mashhad, published by small reformist media group
Nazar, showed people shouting "not Gaza, not Lebanon, my life
for Iran", AFP reported.
The
slogan reflects anger that the Iranian government is focusing on
regional politics at the expense of tackling domestic issues.
Iran's
semi-official news agency ILNA reported that about 50 people also
protested in a public square in the capital, Tehran, on Friday, AP
reported.
Mohsen
Hamedani, the security deputy for Tehran's governor, said a few
people were "temporarily arrested", but did not specify how
many, said the AP report.
You wouldn’t expect anything very much from the pro-Saudi press.
Protests continue in at least a dozen cities throughout Iran
29
December, 2017
As
protesters continue to take to streets in Iran and shout
anti-government slogans against high prices, a top cleric in the
second largest city of Mashhad has called for tough action by
security forces.
According
to reports from the network of the People’s Mojahedin Organization
of Iran (PMOI / MEK) inside the country, the anti-regime protests in
Iranian cities have spread throughout the country on Friday.
There
were demonstrations in at least a dozen cities throughout Iran
including Qom, Ahvaz, Isfahan, Zahedan, Qazvin, Kermanshah, Quchan,
Sari, Qaemshahr, Rasht, Hamedan and Sabzevar today.
In
Qom, young demonstrators chanted: “Death to Hezbollah”, “Seyed
Ali [Khamenei] shame on you, let go of our country”, “Dignified
Iranians, join your people”, “We don’t want an Islamic
Republic”, “Young people are unemployed; and mullahs have all the
positions”.
The
commander of the State Security Forces warned that “This gathering
is illegal, be dispersed or you will be treated as disruptors of
public order.” But people paid no heed and continued their protest.
In
Ahvaz, people chanted “Leave Syria alone, think about us instead”,
“Forget about Gaza and Lebanon; I’ll sacrifice my life for Iran”,
“Death to the dictator”, and “The nation is destitute while the
leader is acting like God”.
In
order to prevent the protests from spreading and not to allow people
to join the demonstrations, the security forces blocked the main
bridge of Ahvaz. Yet a number of people reached the other side of the
bridge using boats.
In
Isfahan, people gathered in Enqelab and ‘Khomeini’ squares as
well as in ‘Siosepol’. In Enqelab Square, people chanted “Death
to the dictator” and “Forget about Gaza and Lebanon; I’ll
sacrifice my life for Iran”. The anti-riot forces broke up the
people into different groups and started to arrest them.
In
Zahedan, people chanted: “Leave Syria alone, think about us
instead”.
In
Qazvin, the protesterss chanted “Dignified Iranians, support us,
support us” and “Guns and tanks! The mullahs’ must be killed”.
Hundreds
gathered in front of the governor’s office in Sari for the
protests.
The
people of Kermanshah (West Iran) poured onto the streets from the
morning hours of Friday, and demonstrators chanted “Death to the
Dictator”, “Death to Rouhani”, “Don’t be afraid, we are all
united”, and “Political prisoners should be freed.”
The
number of protesters grew and reached to several thousand.
Arrests
Police
arrested 52 people in Thursday’s protests, the semi-official Fars
news agency quoted a judicial official as saying in Mashhad.
Political protests are rare in Iran but demonstrations are often held
by workers over layoffs or non-payment of salaries and people who
hold deposits in non-regulated bankrupt financial institutions.
This
time, the protests have continued even as anti-riot units of the
State Security Forces were stationed extensively throughout the city.
Special anti-riot forces tried to disperse the protesters with water
cannons but the people resisted and stood up to them, chanting “Shame
on you”.
During
the march, the protesters chanted: “The nation is destitute while
the leader is acting like God”, “Forget Gaza, forget Lebanon; my
life is for Iran”, and “Bread, work, freedom”.
The
security forces charged at the people but the people resisted and
confronted them.
In
Tabriz, despite extensive mobilization of government forces to
prevent mobilisation, people took part in protests and chanted “Death
to the dictator”.
In
Mashhad, fearing resumption of protests, the anti-riot forces and the
Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) were deployed extensively on the streets
and city squares. Patrols on motorcycles and vehicles were seen, and
water cannons were stationed in various parts of the city.
In
Tehran and Kerman cities, anti-riot forces and motorcycle patrols
were being stationed in the main squares to prevent the formation of
any protests.
“If
the security and law enforcement agencies leave the rioters to
themselves, enemies will publish films and pictures in their media
and say that the Islamic Republic system has lost its revolutionary
base in Mashhad,” IRNA quoted prominent conservative cleric
Ayatollah Ahmad Alamolhoda as saying.
Videos
posted on social media showed demonstrators chanting “Death to
(President Hassan) Rouhani” and “Death to the dictator”.
Protests were also held in at least two other northeastern cities.
Death
knell for mullahs’ regime
Maryam
Rajavi, President-elect of the Iranian Resistance, saluted the
protestors: “This uprising has tolled the death knell for the
overthrow of the totally corrupt dictatorship of the mullahs, and is
the rise of democracy, justice and popular sovereignty.”
"The
four-decade record of the mullahs’ rule has been nothing but
inflation, poverty and corruption, torture and execution, killings
and aggression. The bulk of the people’s wealth, including the
money released in the nuclear deal, is either spent on repression and
export of terrorism and war, or is plundered by the regime’s
leaders. “The overthrow of the religious fascism is the first step
to get out of the crisis that is intensifying every day,” she said.
“The
mullahs’ regime has no future; investment on it is doomed to
failure, and it is time for the international community to not tie
their fate to this regime and recognize the Iranian people Resistance
to overthrow that regime,” said Rajavi.
Regime
excuses
Alamolhoda,
the representative of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in
northeastern Mashhad, said a few people had taken advantage of
Thursday's protests against rising prices to raise slogans against
Iran's involvement in regional conflicts.
Videos
on social media also showed demonstrators chanting “Leave Syria,
think about us”, criticizing Iran's military and financial support
for President Bashar al-Assad who is fighting opponents of the
government in Syria's six-year-old civil war.
Vice-President
Eshaq Jahangiri, a close Rouhani ally, suggested that hardline
opponents of the president may have started the protests.
“When
a social and political movement is launched on the streets, those who
started it will not necessarily be able to control it in the end,”
IRNA quoted Jahangiri as saying. “Those who are behind such events
will burn their own fingers. They think they will hurt the government
by doing so.”
With
Reuters inputs.
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