Obama -Merkel talks in Washington DC

Obama, Merkel display ‘tactical disagreements’ over Ukraine

RT,

10 February, 2015

The option of supplying Kiev with “lethal defensive weapons” is on the table, Barack Obama said in a joint press conference with Angela Merkel. However, the German chancellor reiterated there is no “military solution” to the conflict in eastern Ukraine.

“The possibility of lethal defensive weapons is one of those options that’s being examined,” the US president said during a joint press conference with Merkel in Washington.

“I want to emphasize that a decision has not yet been made,” Obama said when questioned about weapons a second time. “It is true that if, in fact, diplomacy fails, what I’ve asked my team to do is to look at all options. What other means can we put in place to change Mr. Putin’s calculus?”

Merkel – who conducted direct negotiations with Vladimir Putin in Moscow last week, alongside French President Francois Hollande – struck a less antagonistic, if equally firm, tone.

“We continue to pursue a diplomatic solution, although we have suffered a lot of setbacks. But, I've always said I don't see a military solution in this conflict,” she said through a translator.

READ MORE: Putin meets Merkel, Hollande behind closed doors in Moscow

Merkel may fly to Minsk on Wednesday for four-way talks that will include Ukraine, Russia, Germany, and France, in another attempt to resurrect the increasingly irrelevant ceasefire roadmap signed back in September.

“I myself, actually, would not be able to live with not having made this attempt,” said Merkel, who still accuses Moscow of “violating” the initial terms of the Minsk treaty and continuing support to anti-Kiev rebels.

Yet both leaders appeared somewhat skeptical at the prospect of a diplomatic solution.

“If, at a certain point in time, one has to say that a success is not possible, even if one puts every effort into it, then the United States and Europe have to sit together and try and explore further possibilities, what one can do,” admitted the 60-year-old German chancellor.

READ MORE: EU widens sanctions against Moscow and Ukraine rebels, implementation delayed

Although the EU has postponed new sanctions against Russia ahead of the peace talks, Obama insisted that current sanctions “need to remain fully in force.” The US leader admitted that current sanctions have“not yet dissuaded Mr. Putin from following the course that he is on.”

Yet despite admitting some tactical disagreements, the two leaders tried to present a common front.

“Russian aggression has only reinforced the unity between the United States, Germany and other European allies,” the president said. “There’s going to continue to be a strong, unified response between the United States and Europe – that’s not going to change,” said Obama.

“For somebody who comes from Europe, I can only say, if we give up this principle of territorial integrity, we will not be able to maintain the peaceful order of Europe. It's essential,” said Merkel, condemning Crimea’s secession from Ukraine, as well as the splintering of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions.

Moscow has always rejected accusations of military involvement in Ukraine, and says it will not accept any negotiating ultimatums from the West.

“The Ukrainian crisis was not caused by the Russian Federation. It emerged in response to the attempts of the US and its western allies – who consider themselves ‘winners’ of the Cold War – to impose their will everywhere,” Putin said in a recent interview with Al-Ahram.

READ MORE: Giving ultimatums isn’t the way to talk to President Putin – Kremlin

The Ukraine conflict began last April when Kiev sent regular forces and volunteer battalions to the southeastern Donetsk and Lugansk regions, after people there refused to recognize the country’s new, coup-imposed authorities. The death toll in the Ukraine conflict has exceeded 5,300 people, with over 12,000 injured, according to UN estimates.

Obama sidesteps Ukraine military option but backs German diplomatic effort

US president avoids issue of sending arms to Ukraine during joint news conference with Angela Merkel on how to counter Russian aggression

 German chancellor Angela Merkel and President Barack Obama hold a joint news conference at the White House after meetings about the situation in Ukraine. Photograph: Alex Wong/Getty Images

the Guardian,

9 February, 2015

Barack Obama has thrown his support behind German diplomatic efforts to contain Russia in Ukraine, hinting that military alternatives under consideration by the White House remain largely symbolic and fraught with danger.

In a joint press conference with chancellor Angela Merkel aimed at emphasising western unity, the president largely ignored pressure from some in Washington to send arms to Ukraine, preferring instead to keep any future options for ratcheting US support vague.

“Russian aggression has only reinforced the unity of the United States and Germany and our allies and partners around the world,” Obama said. “We continue to encourage a diplomatic resolution to this issue, and as diplomatic efforts continue this week, we are in absolute agreement that the 21st century cannot stand idle and simply allow the borders of Europe to be redrawn at the barrel of the gun.”

Immediately after the meeting, the Republican chair of the House armed services committee announced the launch of a bill in Congress to arm Ukraine that would probably be vetoed by the White House.

Asked if the US and Germany were playing “good cop, bad cop”, Obama stressed that his punitive options remained largely limited to increasing the economic cost of Russian actions rather than preventing it outright.

“Russia obviously has an extraordinarily powerful military and you know, given the length of the Russian border with Ukraine, given the history between Russia and Ukraine, expecting that if Russia is determined that Ukraine can fully rebuff a Russian army has always been unlikely,” he said.

“But what we have said is that the international community, working together, can ratchet up the costs for the violation of the core principle of sovereignty and territorial integrity, and that’s exactly what we’ve done.”

Merkel also acknowledged that the success of her negotiations was far from assured – suggesting both leaders see little prospect of preventing Vladimir Putin from continuing to support Ukrainian separatists if he is determined to ride out the economic costs of sanctions.

“There is anything but an assured success in all of this; I have to be very clear about this,” she said of latest peace talks in Minsk. “But if, at a certain point in time, one has to say that a success is not possible, even if one puts every effort into it, then the United States and Europe have to sit together and try and explore further possibilities, what one can do … the foreign ministers of the European Union last week already tasked the commission to think about further possible sanctions.”

The relatively resigned tone of their press conference comes in stark contrast to some in Washington, including the incoming defense secretary Ashton Carter, who favours more military support to Ukraine, but Obama made clear even this option was limited to the possibility of helping Kiev fight Ukrainian separatists, not Russia directly.

“It is true that if, in fact, diplomacy fails, what I’ve asked my team to do is to look at all options. What other means can we put in place to change Mr Putin’s calculus? And the possibility of lethal defensive weapons is one of those options that’s being examined,” he said.

“But I have not made a decision about that yet … it’s not based on the idea that Ukraine could defeat a Russian army that was determined; it is rather to see whether or not there are additional things we can do to help Ukraine bolster its defenses in the face of separatist aggression.”

In perhaps the only sop to more hawkish critics, Obama did argue that providing weapons should be seen as a continuation of existing support rather than an abrupt escalation.

“There’s not going to be any specific point at which I say, ‘Ah, you know, clearly lethal defensive weapons would be appropriate here’,” he said. “It is our ongoing analysis of what can we do to dissuade Russia from encroaching further and further on Ukrainian territory.”

Nonetheless, both leaders made clear that they regarded current diplomatic negotiations as the only realistic option for solving the crisis and rejected the notion of Germany acting as go-between for Russia and the US.

“We are called upon now to come up with solutions, but not in the sense of a mediator, but we also stand up for the interests of the European peaceful order,” said Merkel. “What’s important for me is that we stand very closely together on the question of a new, renewed diplomatic effort.”

Earlier on Monday, Putin demanded that the Ukrainian government had to conduct direct talks with pro-Russia separatist rebels if there was to be any chance of agreeing a durable ceasefire in eastern Ukraine.

In the midst of the most intensive week of diplomacy since the Ukraine crisis erupted a year ago and with western leaders warning of a major upsurge in violence if this week’s negotiations fail, there was scant sign of any let-up in the war of words between the Kremlin and western capitals.

“The Ukrainian crisis was not caused by the Russian Federation,” said Putin in remarks posted on the Kremlin website. “It emerged in response to the attempts of the US and its western allies – who consider themselves ‘winners’ of the cold war – to impose their will everywhere.”

The remarks reinforced western suspicions that Putin has never accepted the outcome of the collapse of Soviet and eastern European communism in 1989-91 and is engaged in an attempt to revise the results of the post-cold war order in Europe.

In advance of the Minsk summit on Wednesday, Putin has presented a nine-page peace plan which demands that the separatists be treated as equals in the negotiations, expands the territory under their control under a new ceasefire line, insists on a halt to Ukrainian attacks on the rebel-held territory and also that the government in Kiev should continue to supply public funding to the rebel-held areas beyond its control.

With Ukraine crippled, unstable, and in economic freefall, Putin appeared to have the stronger hand. In return for ceasefire guarantees in Minsk, the west and Kiev may have to agree to the new ceasefire line and cede greater “autonomous” territory to the rebels.

The French, attending the Minsk talks, lent credence to that view. “These people have been fighting a war against each other. It would be hard for them to live together,” President François Hollande told French television. The rebel-held eastern areas needed “strong autonomy”.

EU foreign ministers met in Brussels to slap new sanctions on the rebels and on Russian officials. But the decisions were put on hold to give the latest talks a chance.