Right Sector leader Dmitry Yarosh and his patron oligarch-warlord Igor Kolomoisky set about creating separate centre of paramilitary power in Dnepropetrovsk
Yarosh
draws 17 "volunteer battalions" to his side
Kolomoysky
is creating his own GenStaff (Clarification of situation
By Yurasumy
Translated
from Russian by J.Hawk
The
next moment of honesty from Yarosh:
“The
new HQ will be joined by about 17 various volunteer battalions,
subordinated to the MVD and the MOD, and of course the Right Sector
Volunteer Corps.
We
have already created a unique operational staff. It will be located
in Dnepropetrovsk. It will perform intelligence data exchange,
mutual assistance, military-technical cooperation, and so on. We
may also form certain operational formations at the front, after
all we often have the best operational information about what is
happening on this or that sector of the front simply because our
battalions are there. We can make recommendations to the General
Staff in order to carry out operational and tactical missions,”
added Yarosh.
As
we can see, the creation of a new command entity for part of the
UAF and MVD is proceeding at full pace, and it will be based in
Dnepropetrovsk. The formation will in practical terms
means the formation of a Dnepropetrovsk khanate, and an increase in
Kolomoysky’s influence in intra-Ukrainian power struggles, which
will violate the current balance of power.
Even
if there is an agreement reached in Minsk today, which I don’t
believe will happen (if anything is signed, it will not be done
seriously or for long, unfortunately), the break-down of the UAF
and MVD into two components will be de-facto concluded. Then UAF
formations will have to choose a side, either with Poroshenko or
not with Poroshenko.
It
won’t happen today or tomorrow, but very soon everyone who is
fighting against LPR/DPR will have to make that choice, and then
the Ukrainian civil war will spread with new force to new
territories. Because according to the Washington central, it’s
not enough to plunge the Donbass into chaos; all of Ukraine must be
affected. And unfortunately the people of Ukraine are following
that path.
P.S. US
plans do not foresee the war in Ukraine ever ending. If it ends, it
will be a defeat for Washington. They will never agree to that. I
am certain of it
J.Hawk’s
Comment: It’s
not a given that Yarosh is Kolomoysky’s creature. After all, it
is Yarosh who controls the Right Sector, and Kolomoysky has no
means of replacing him with anyone else. The location of the
parallel Right Sector HQ in Dnepropetrovsk does not necessarily
imply Kolomoysky’s control over the enterprise. Instead, it may
mean Yarosh is being planted there to keep an eye on Kolomoysky
whose political reliability is probably suspect. Though it is
possible that Yarosh is happy to collect Kolomoysky's money in
exchange for "protection" from Poroshenko, and that the
relationship between the two is strictly business, with the extent
of Yarosh's loyalty to Kolomoysky being limited by the latter's
cash reserves. To be sure, Yarosh very recently stated that he made
a mistake by supporting Poroshenko during and after the Maidan.
Aside
from that, one cannot help but agree with Yurasumy’s analysis. It
would appear that the volunteer battalions opted on their own to
join the Right Sector’s command structure, even though they are
presumably still attached to regular army brigades. No word on any
regular army or National Guard formations opting to come under
Yarosh’s command—they are presumably remaining loyal to
Poroshenko. But since the volunteer battalions are “legal” and
therefore have access to all manner of military equipment, the
“military-technical cooperation” simply amounts to a back-door
way of accomplishing what Yarosh could not do openly, namely
ensuring access to large quantities of military equipment. Because
now the volunteer battalions will be able to pass their weapons to
the Right Sector, then request replacement (by claiming destruction
during combat or some such thing) from the MOD. It’s a big win
for Yarosh and the Right Sector. It may well be that, by being
based in Dnepropetrovsk, they intend to carve out a role for
themselves as a "military frontier" of sorts, by keeping
the unrest down in the border areas and also providing security at
the border itself.
As
to the US policy in Ukraine, I would have to disagree with Yurasumy
here. The US seems to be clearly deferring to the EU since at least
the Munich Conference. Senior EU officials were adamant that even
should this round of Minsk talks fail, it will not change their
mind concerning arming of Ukraine. The US seems to be respecting
those wishes, restraining to providing support equipment
(apparently communications equipment, artillery radars, and
associated training) rather than actual weaponry.

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