How
far can the Americans be pushed?
by
Ghassan Kadi for the Saker blog
3
March, 2018
Inspired
by the Saker’s article regarding how far can the Russians be
pushed,
(http://thesaker.is/escalation-in-syria-how-far-can-the-russians-be-pushed/),
I ask, how far can the Americans be pushed, not specifically only in
Syria, but in general?
In
his article, the Saker articulated in his regular rational and
captivating style, the issue of Russian patience, or should we say
frustration, with America’s actions and inactions in Syria. And, as
I was reading the article, I began to think about looking at the
situation from the other side of the mirror in a tongue-in-cheek
manner; looking at it from the American perspective.
I
thought back to an article I had written on the very same theme some
years ago, focusing and predicting on what a desperate America would
do.
The
sad and ironic reality is that America does not walk the talk of
competitiveness and level playing fields. America’s definition of a
national threat is different from that of any other country in human
history; except perhaps for ancient Rome.
For
this reason, America does not believe that Russia has been pushed at
all, but quite the contrary. America believes that is America that
has been pushed; by not only Russia, but by many other nations. As a
matter of fact, I started writing this article and I wasn’t going
to finish it and submit it until President Putin pushed America even
further towards the state of panic in his 1st of March speech.
American
politicians operate on the pretext that America has a given right to
be the greatest, wealthiest, most-developed, strongest unrivaled
nation on earth.
Given
its history and post WWII successes of being able to lure in the best
brains of the world; not only from Germany, but the rest of the
world, America believed that the homeland of any eminent scientist
should be America.
Furthermore,
with the multitude of defections from the USSR, not only Russian
scientists were welcomed into America, but also musicians, scholars,
athletes and other people of exceptional talents and capabilities.
And
this list goes on, because Germany and Russia were not the only
nations that exported excellence to America, but the whole world did,
and perhaps for good reasons, because from the 1950’s onwards,
everybody wanted to live in America; and many pop culture songs have
recorded this phenomenon.
In
little time, the best of the best in Europe and the rest of the world
ended up in America. Not too many want to be reminded that that
Wernher von Braun, the “American” rocket scientist who designed
the Apollo program rockets, was a former Nazi, the same von Braun who
designed the rockets that hit London in 1945.The prime reasons for
his exodus and that of others, were poor living conditions, political
persecution among other reasons. So if America managed to lure them
in and find a way to capitalize on their great talents, then America
has well and truly deserved the spoils of their genius.
But
Trump’s America, even Obama’s, Bush’s and Clinton’s is not
exactly that global brain and talent pivot any longer. As a result,
America has changed the rules of the game in order to stay on top.
But
this went further, according to the American way of looking at the
rest of the world. During the Cold War, members of the former Warsaw
Pact were considered as enemy states together with all other states
affiliated with the USSR such as Cuba, Syria, Egypt and Angola, just
to name a few. After the downfall of the USSR and the virtual
elimination of serious adversaries, America “had to invent” new
enemies. The post “Cold War” definition of an enemy morphed into
classifying nations as members of the “Axis of Evil” if they did
not kowtow to Washington’s definition of the so-called “New World
Order”.
But
as America grows weaker, financially, technologically, and even
militarily, and as the world is beginning to look to China and Russia
for the latest technology instead of America, for as long as America
is able to stretch the definition of what constitutes a national
threat, and for as long as the rest of the West will buy this
definition, it will continue to do this.
Having
lost its competitive edge and not yet being able to admit it, America
is still desperately trying to cling to this edge by means that
contradict with its stature as the leader of the free world and the
nation that it alleges to be.
To
this effect, and for America to be able to hold on to its leading
position, it can no longer do this from any semblance of a position
of fairness and real and honest competition. This is why America is
now upscaling its enemy definition and resorting to what can be best
seen as bullying tactics; thereby taking unfair advantage of other
nations.
According
to those new rules, now that they no longer can conceal or sugarcoat
its true intentions, any nation that tries to develop itself is seen
by America as a potential threat. And this applies to all aspects of
development, because according to America, no other nation is allowed
to be better or even close to where America is.
If
America cannot compete against athletes of other nations, it will ban
them.
If
America cannot be trade competitive, it will impose sanctions on its
competitors.
If
America sees that a nation does not fully kowtow to its agenda, it
will classify it as a terrorist state and tries to push it to its
knees by putting a ban on international trade with it.
When
the economy fails and America cannot generate wealth, REAL WEALTH, to
stay on the top, it will print money.
And
when American citizens turn into whistle-blowers, they are branded as
traitors. So much for free speech. And where did Edward Snowden seek
political asylum? In Russia out of all places. Will we in the future
see a reversal of the former exodus of citizens of the USSR to the
USA? We cannot say this can be ruled out.
One
therefore does not have to be Kim Jong Un, sitting on a nuclear
arsenal with a button in his hand threatening to hit American cities
with, to be seen as a threat to America. Any person or any state
touted to out-perform Americans or America now or in the future, in
any field of endeavour, is considered by the American policy makers
as a threat. But even speaking of Kim Jong Un, the question of
whether or not his stand is offensive or defensive is quite
diabolical. North Korea saw what happened to Vietnam, Iraq, Libya and
Afghanistan. Most importantly, North Korea has not forgotten what
happened to Korea itself. How can any rationally-minded person blame
North Korea for developing nukes; if the sole intention is to stave
off another American onslaught?
Back
to the main subject. To put this into perspective, when America sees
that anti-Russian sanctions are not working and that in fact the
global Russian influence is getting stronger, when it sees Russia is
in Syria making things happen, it feels threatened.
When
it sees Russian state-of-the-art weaponry and electronic jamming
devices in action, when it sees China building a huge fleet with two
aircraft carriers and counting, when it sees Russia and China way
ahead, each developing their own hypersonic, even orbital, fighter
jets,
(https://sputniknews.com/military/201708271056829517-mig-31-41-russia-interceptor-aircraft-features/)
which America itself does not yet have, when it realizes that it has
to use Russian-made rockets to propel its satellites into space, when
America knows that for all practical purposes, America is no longer
the world’s strongest economy, then America feels that it has been
pushed to the absolute limit that only further sanctions and war can
remedy.
The
1st of March 2018 Putin speech will in the future be seen as a
turning point. Even though President Putin did not mention electronic
jamming devices and other Russian military technology that America is
well and truly behind in, he will be seen in history as the first
ever non-American leader to put American military on notice by saying
to American policy makers that Russia is militarily more advanced
than America in both defense and attack.
And
if America brags its unrivaled huge fleet, the new technology Russia
has developed has the potential to turn American naval vessels into
ancient and expensive sitting, or should I say floating, ducks
waiting to be sunk.
In
retrospect, ancient Rome saw in rivaling Carthage an existential
threat until the Romans pillaged Carthage killing every single man
woman and child. We cannot expect annihilation of this magnitude in
the time and age, or can we? Having said that, America’s nuclear
power is a huge force to be reckoned with, and to expect America to
accept second or third grade world status, without a bang, is no more
than wishful thinking. But how useful and effective is this power?
In
his recent interview with Sputnik, Ron Paul doubts that America will
ever have a reasonable foreign policy, and argues that the fall of
America will be financial, like other empires in the past, and that
someday America will go broke and no longer be able to continue to
run the world:
(https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201802231061934663-ron-paul-sputnik-interview/).
To
put it bluntly, after the petro-dollar loses its world dominance, and
this doesn’t seem very far away, a time will come when it will
become virtually impossible to keep propping up the American economy
with quantitative easing (aka printing money). And as America loses
its economic stature, its only remaining prowess and might will be in
its nuclear arsenal. The question is this. If America is imposing
sanctions and bans right left and centre right now, and for no good
reason at all, will a much more desperate America use its nuclear
power to restore its dominion? Lately, America has been considering
diluting its restrictions on the use of nuclear power by developing
“more usable” nukes:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/jan/09/us-to-loosen-nuclear-weapons-policy-and-develop-more-usable-warheads.
After
all, using conventional weapons in Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan etc
didn’t win wars for America, despite the technical superiority they
had over the conventional weapons of the adversaries. Is America
simply looking for a new edge to use in its conventional wars against
non-nuclear enemies? Is this new move of developing small and “more
usable” nukes a prelude for a new age of nuclear confrontations? Or
is it just the beginning of a new type of cold wars with “Cold War
II” already underway? Either way, it is a race that non-nuclear
nations cannot compete with, and this alone makes them much softer
targets for America than before.
Will
America go further and use its nuclear power in order to secure trade
deals? Recources? Trade routes?
Far-fetched?
Perhaps, but as America becomes more desperate finding that elusive
“edge”, it will run out of options, and it has indeed run out of
a few already. What if the implementation of the “America First”
doctrine runs out of all options except the nuclear option?
Has
President Putin’s latest speech stopped any such potential American
nuclear plans and nipped them in the bud?
Inadvertently,
President Putin’s 1st of March 2018 speech answers the question of
The Saker in as far as how far can Russia be pushed.
The
answer to the question of how far can the Americans be pushed is
increasingly becoming more of what can they do, rather than what they
would like to do.
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