At
the base of everything we are observing is the truth of Peak Oil and
energy decline and the destruction of the whole ecosystem by this
speciies.
3
minutes to midnight.
Counting down.
Global
Oil Layoffs Exceed 100,000
The promise of
plentiful jobs and salaries as high as a quarter-million dollars a
year lured Colombia native Clara Correa Zappa and her British husband
to Perth, Australia, at the height of the continent’s oil and gas
frenzy.
Workers wait in the heliport area during sunset at the Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) Pol-A Platform complex, located on the continental shelf in the Gulf of Mexico. Mexico’s oil prospects are grim. In late 2013, the country began taking steps to revise its constitution and end a seven-decade monopoly, anticipating billions in investment from the world’s biggest oil companies. Photographer: Susana Gonzalez/Bloomberg
12
February, 2014
Engineers
were in high demand in 2012, when oil prices exceeded $100 a barrel,
making the move across the world a no-brainer. Within two years,
though, oil plunged to less than half the 2012 price and Zappa lost
her job as a safety analyst. Now she’s worried her husband, who
also works in the commodities industry, could also lose his job.
Such
anxieties are rising at a time when the number of energy jobs cut
globally have climbed well above 100,000 as once-bustling oil hubs in
Scotland, Australia and Brazil, among other countries, empty out,
according to Swift Worldwide Resources, a staffing firm with offices
across the world.
“It’s
shocking,” Zappa, 29, said in a telephone interview. There is “so
much pressure for him to keep his job and even work extra.”
Her
concerns mirror those of tens of thousands of workers who migrated to
oil and gas boomtowns worldwide in the years of $100-a-barrel crude,
according to Tobias Read, Swift’s chief executive officer. While
much of the focus on layoffs has centered on the U.S., where the
shale fields that created the glut have seen the steepest cutbacks,
workers in oil-related businesses across the globe are suffering, he
said.
Job
Insecurity
“The
issue is one of uncertainty, of whether there’s a job out there,”
Read said in a phone interview. “For seven years, there was a
shortage of staff. Now for the first time, there’s a surplus.
Currently almost no one is hiring.”
One
by one, engineer Dipankar Das has heard from friends across the
industry as layoffs rolled out across Australia. A friend at one
company was asked to take a year of unpaid leave. Many are moving,
which is what Das said in an interview he plans to do.
“You
get all these skills, all these projects that have been completed
over the years, and then all of a sudden it’s over,” said Das, a
native of India who has worked in Australia for seven years. “It’s
disappointing, but what can you do?”
The
outlook isn’t brightening. Citigroup Inc. said oil could drop to
“the $20 range” by April as oversupplies build. U.S. crude rose
2.6 percent to $50.10 at 10:18 a.m. in New York.
Further
Tightening
How
long it will take for the job carnage to stop is now the main
question confronting industry workers. Executives at companies
including BP Plc and Royal Dutch Shell Plc have announced spending
cuts of more than $40 billion and assured investors they’re ready
to tighten further if the market doesn’t recover significantly.
Australia
stands out as especially hard hit, with a labor force already
decimated by a slowdown in the coal mining industry.
Energy
companies including BG Group Plc and Woodside Petroleum Ltd., which
are spending $70 billion to build natural gas export plants in
Australia, are seeing those projects delayed, postponed or winding
down, leaving workers with nowhere to go after losing their jobs.
In
Brazil, a graft scandal that led to the resignation of the CEO of
state-run Petroleo Brasileiro SA on Feb. 4 has deepened the crisis
surrounding oil. Brazil’s bounty lies offshore in the Campos basin,
a formation rich in hydrocarbons nestled beneath vast layers of salt
that make drilling expensive and risky.
Recovery
Uncertain
The
cloud over Brazil’s industry is halting development projects in
Macae, a city of 230,000 about 115 miles (186 kilometers) northeast
of Rio de Janeiro. International schools have closed as workers were
sent to other regions, and oil royalties to the city this year may be
cut in half, said Joao Manuel Alvitos, the city’s planning
secretary.
“The
scenario is extremely unfavorable,” he said. “We’re hoping for
a recovery in the long term, but I don’t believe that the industry
is going to recover quickly.”
Mexico’s
oil prospects also are grim. In late 2013, the country began taking
steps to revise its constitution and end a seven-decade monopoly,
anticipating billions in investment from the world’s biggest oil
companies.
Petroleos
Mexicanos, which employs 153,000 workers and has promised to protect
them amid the oil rout, began slashing contracts and purchases this
year in a bid to save $2 billion to $3 billion. That plan has left as
many as 8,000 workers, many concentrated in the port city of Ciudad
del Carmen, without work, said Gonzalo Hernandez, head of the city’s
Economic Development Chamber in Campeche state.
Dashed
Hopes
Many
workers who thought ending the monopoly would mean more jobs feel
betrayed.
“The
energy reform is a lie,” said Daniel Aquino, a drill rig welder who
was waiting for work alongside hundreds of others late last month
after the Pemex cuts were made public.
Around
the North Sea, where drilling is serviced largely from Aberdeen,
Scotland and Stavanger, Norway, job cuts now exceed 11,500, according
to DNB Markets and Unite, the U.K.’s largest labor union. As many
as 30,000 more may disappear, according to Menon Business Economics
AS. BP wrote down the value of its North Sea operations by $3.6
billion, and CEO Bob Dudley on Feb. 3 gave dire warnings about the
region’s future.
Late
last year, Aleksander Gumos knew many people who were losing their
jobs in Norway as the market crash worsened. Still, he just thought
he’d have to work more hours to make up for those who were let go.
Instead, he was added to the list of unemployed in December.
Gumos,
a Polish citizen who relocated to Norway and bought a house in 2009,
is trying to be flexible. He’s had several interviews with
potential employers, including in the industry and academia.
“I
thought I was doing my job well, at least judging by my record,
feedback from clients, not least on projects,” said Gumos, who
worked for Subsea 7 SA in data processing. “It was very surprising.
I almost couldn’t believe it.”
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