Ukraine military SITREP - 02/05/2015

Ukraine SITREP: *Extremely* dangerous situation in Debaltsevo

http://vineyardsaker.blogspot.co.nz/2015/02/ukraine-sitrep-extremely-dangerous.html

The Novorussian and the junta have agreed to a cease-fire to allow the civilian population to leave Debaltsevo.  In theory, each civilian will get to chose whether he/she wants to be evacuated to Novorussia or to the Nazi-occupied Ukraine.  The convoy of refugees will be escorted by senior OSCE officials.  Both sides to the conflict have pledged not to open fire during the time needed for this operation.  Now consider this:

1) The only thing protecting the junta forces are, precisely, these civilians.  If these civilians leave, then Debaltsevo will turn into Saur Mogila.  Until now, the Novorussians have advanced rather slowly precisely because they could not use the full power of their artillery to soften up the well dug-in junta forces.  But thanks to the Voentorg, the Novorussians now have plenty of firepower now and if they decide to really open up upon the junta forces the latter will suffer the same devastating consequences as their (now dead) colleagues in Saur Mogila.  Everybody understands that.

2) Tonight the junta has used white phosphorus again, and in the recent days they have used both ballistic missiles and cluster munitions.  Why this sudden concern with the Debaltsevo civilians (whom the Nazis consider as "bugs" anyway)?  Does anybody really believe that the Nazi freaks in Kiev care for Novorussian civilians?!

3) Kerry, Hollande and Merkel were in Kiev today.  The latter two will be in Moscow tomorrow.   In Germany, the Munich Security Conference is meeting.  NATO is still claiming that "hundreds and hundreds" of Russian Federation soldiers are operating in Novorussia.  While some US officials speak of sending "lethal aid" to the junta, others seem to oppose it.

What does that all tell you?

Me - it tells me that this is the PERFECT opportunity for the kind of false flag massacres NATO and the US are so good at.  That is how the "Empire of Kindness" justified bombing the Bosnian Serbs, that is how the "Empire of Kindness" justified bombing Kosovo and that is how the "Empire of Kindness" justified bombing Libya.

Tomorrow, such an attack will be very easy to organize.  Just send a group of men to post a Claymore mine anywhere along the convoy's route, plant a 152mm shell with a remote under the road where the bus will collect the refugees, pay some patsy to hide in the ditch with an RPG, or use a regular Grad strike at any time - and, voilà, you will have exactly the kind of atrocity which was used to justify all the previous wars of the "Empire of Kindness".

Except that this time around, the goal will not be to bomb or invade Novorussia (that is something the US/NATO simply cannot do), but to create the kind if hysteria which might make it possible to save the junta forces in the Debaltsevo cauldron.  That, at least, could be the plan.  Also, if a massacre happens at the evacuation of refugees, then this will "prove" that the Novorussians don't care about civilians and create a "Sarajavo-like" situation in which the surrounded force gets to shoot as much as it wants while the surrounding force is crucified by the imperial propaganda for every shell fired.

I sure hope that I am wrong, but I won't breathe normally again until tomorrow evening because if no false flag happens tomorrow this will be a real miracle.

The Saker

Mosiychuk announced the start of a guerrilla war against Russia

Мосийчук объявил о начале партизанской войны против России

http://riafan.ru/189133-mosiychuk-obyavil-o-nachale-partizanskoy-voynyi-protiv-rossii/

Kyiv, January 4. Ukrainian partisans are beginning military action in the territory of Russia, in the Rostov region, the deputy of the Verkhovna Rada, Igor Mosiychuk wrote on Facebook. According to him, Ukrainian partisans are mining the territory of the Kuibyshev district, to prevent "the penetration of the aggressor’s forces."

"Partisans carried out mining on the territory of the Kuibyshev district, Rostov region for the prevention of penetration into the territory of Ukraine by aggressive Russian troops Ukrainian-Russian border. They are laying mines, bombs, streamers, "- said Mosiychuk. He stressed that stretch grenades discovered on Saturday afternoon by residents of New Hope Farm in the Rostov region were the handiwork of the guerrillas.

"On the tree in the form of extensions installed in readiness hand grenade RGD-5, which had to be disarmed by Russian sappers. Local farmers and Russian mercenaries are afraid to move towards our border, fearing banners and land mines, "- said the MP.

We note that a hand grenade RGD-5 in fighting condition in the form of stretch marks was indeed found on Saturday near New Hope Farm. This was reported on Saturday by the press service of the regional department for emergency prevention and response.

"The grenade was attached to a tree in a farm four kilometres from New Hope. The explosive objects are under control" – it was said in a statement. Specialists have produced clearance.

.......

Киев, 4 января. Украинские партизаны начинают военные действия на территории России, в Ростовской области, написал в Facebook депутат Верховной рады Игорь Мосийчук. По его словам, украинские партизаны минируют территорию Куйбышевского района, чтобы не допустить «проникновения войск агрессора».

«У украино-российской границы на территории Куйбышевского района Ростовской области украинскими партизанами проводится минирование ради предотвращения проникновения на территорию Украины войск агрессора. Устанавливаются мины, фугасы, растяжки», — сообщил Мосийчук. Он подчеркнул, что обнаруженная в субботу днем жителями хутора Новая Надежда в Ростовской области растяжка с гранатой — дело рук партизанов.

«На дереве в виде растяжки была установлена в боевой готовности ручная граната РГД-5, которую пришлось обезвреживать российским саперам. Местные крестьяне и российские наемники боятся двигаться в сторону нашей границы, опасаясь растяжек и фугасов», — заявил нардеп.

Отметим, что в субботу в районе хутора Новая Надежда действительно была обнаружена ручная граната РГД-5 в боевом состоянии в виде растяжки. Об этом в субботу сообщила пресс-служба областного департамента по предупреждению и ликвидации ЧС.

«Граната закреплена на дереве в четырех километрах от хутора Новая Надежда, взрывоопасный предмет находится под контролем»,- говорилось в сообщении. Специалисты произвели разминирование.

NATO to Nearly Triple Size of Its Response Force

Part of this enhanced force will include the establishment of the Spearhead Force, which is expected to include some 5,000 personnel able to be deployed within a few days, NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg said.

"It is a response to what we are seeing from Russia over a period of time, and it is in full accordance with our international obligations," he added, referring to the crisis in Ukraine that the alliance is blaming Moscow for escalating.

Italy's Eurofighter Typhoon jet fighter prepares for take off during NATO's Baltic Air Policing Mission at the Siauliai airbase some 240 kms (150 miles) east of the capital Vilnius, Lithuania, Thursday, Jan. 29, 2015

The secretary general also said that he expected the ministers to decide on the establishment of six command and control units to be located in six of NATO's eastern allies, serving as a link between the countries' national defense and NATO forces.

The NATO Response Force (NRF) is a multinational force comprising land, air, maritime and Special Operations Forces elements that can be quickly deployed.

At its Wales summit in 2014, NATO decided to set up the Very High Readiness Joint Task Force (VJTF), a spearhead within the NRF that is to be deployed at the periphery of the alliance's territory. Earlier in January, NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe Gen. Philip Breedlove said the initial readiness of the Spearhead Force would be about seven days.

NATO has been strengthening its military presence in Eastern Europe in light of the Ukrainian crisis, accusing Russia of its involvement in the conflict. Moscow has repeatedly denied the allegations and expressed concern over the buildup of NATO forces along its western border.

"Ukrainian army is close to annihilation"--Kulik

http://fortruss.blogspot.co.nz/2015/02/ukrainian-army-is-close-annihilation.html

2/5/2015

Russian General: DPR and LPR will continue its offensive,the Ukrainian army is close to annihilation.

By Viktor Avin

Translated from Russian by J.Hawk

The Ukrainian army is in such a condition that the militia can freely advance until they reach the boundaries of Lugansk and Donetsk regions.

This opinion was expressed by Army General Anatoliy Kulikov, the former Minister of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, in an interview with the “Spetsialnyy Korrespondent” talk show.

“Ukraine has no prospects for an effective operation, from the perspective of either the political, moral, motivational, or technical point of view. They have created military groupings on Iraqi and Afghan model, namely company tactical teams. But over there it’s desert, while here it’s densely populated territory. So from the military-technical perspective it’s not a very appropriate decision.

Then there’s the question of weapons. The best was given to the territorial defense battalions, while the army stayed with the old weapons.

There is no repair base, no means of communications, loss of control.

Under such conditions DPR and LPR armed forces ought to continue their active offensive operations and reach their administrative borders. Only that will force Ukraine to start negotiating,” assured Kulikov.

J.Hawk’s Comment: Kulikov is entirely correct—DPR and LPR can do as they please, all they have to do is want to go on the offensive. The bulk of the UAF is already on the front line, with all the unpleasantness that it entails. The fact that the Rada had just passed a law that gives line commanders the authority to execute their own soldiers for insubordination is likewise suggestive that the level of discipline within the military is plumbing new depths. So there is a Plan B: if the Munich talks fail to accomplish anything, if Poroshenko continues to side with the party of war, then more war is what he will get. At this point, even large-scale NATO weapons supplies would do almost nothing to influence the conflict, except to antagonize Russia, which is why pretty much all EU member states have officially swore off such supplies. The US could still do it unilaterally, of course, but even the official White House position is against them—they know perfectly well that what Kulik describes above is true. Moreover, as detailed in earlier posts, Ukraine's economic position is getting worse with every passing day.